Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · World
medium confidence
Fehérvár FC

Fehérvár FC

Full Time

1 - 1

AI predicted 1 - 2

Ujpest

Ujpest

🗓️ Saturday, 3 Oct 2026 at 11:00 UTC

Win Probability (1X2)

Fehérvár FC 22%Draw 33%Ujpest 45%

Best Value Pick

See full breakdown below

Match Result

5/10

Fehérvár FC and Ujpest Share the Spoils in Stalemate

Fehérvár FC and Ujpest played out a 1-1 draw in their friendly encounter, with neither side able to find a decisive breakthrough. The match, held behind closed doors, saw both teams cancel each other out in a contest that lacked clear dominance and major incident. Despite each side finding the net once, the absence of further goals reflected a balanced affair with limited attacking inspiration. Neither team managed to assert control for prolonged periods, and the lack of disciplinary action underscored the friendly nature of the contest. Ultimately, both managers will take positives from their teams' efforts, but also recognize the need for greater cutting edge ahead of more competitive fixtures.

😅 AI Prediction Report

CLOSE BUT NO CIGAR

Predicted

1 - 2

⚡

Actual

1 - 1

❌Result
✅BTTS
❌O/U 2.5
❌Score

Key Moments

-' — Goal

Fehérvár FC scored to open their account, setting the tone for a balanced contest.

-' — Goal

Ujpest responded with an equalizer, ensuring the match ended level.

Fehérvár FC

Fehérvár FC

6/10

Fehérvár FC matched Ujpest stride for stride, managing to find the net once but unable to build on their advantage. The hosts showed solid organization, keeping the game tight and avoiding any bookings. However, they struggled to create sustained pressure or clear-cut chances to secure a win. While their defensive discipline was evident, Fehérvár will be disappointed not to have capitalized further on home advantage, especially in a match that offered few opportunities.

Strengths

Disciplined defendingMaintained composure throughout

Weaknesses

Lack of attacking threatFailed to capitalize on scoring opportunities
Ujpest

Ujpest

6/10

Ujpest matched Fehérvár FC in all departments, showing resilience to earn a draw on the road. Their ability to respond with a goal of their own highlighted their competitive spirit, and they too kept a clean disciplinary record. Despite flashes of promise, Ujpest were unable to find a winner, leaving questions about their attacking sharpness as they look ahead to future fixtures.

Strengths

Solid defensive organizationEffective game management

Weaknesses

Limited attacking creativityUnable to break down opposition defense

Tactical Analysis

With both lineups and formations unavailable, tactical nuances were difficult to discern, but the match unfolded as a closely contested affair with both sides prioritizing defensive solidity. The lack of cards and major incidents suggested a measured approach from both managers, likely focusing on structure and discipline over expansive play. Neither team appeared willing to take excessive risks, resulting in few clear chances and a midfield battle that defined the contest. Set pieces and wide play failed to yield significant advantages, and both teams seemed content to maintain shape rather than overcommit in attack, leading to a stalemate reflective of the overall balance.

Turning Point

Ujpest's equalizer, which quickly nullified Fehérvár FC's advantage and set the stage for a draw.

Man of the Match

N/A

No individual performance stood out in a balanced, low-event contest.

Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest: Match Preview

Fehérvár FC come into this friendly off a poor run, losing four of their last five matches and conceding twice per game in that stretch. Their season record is balanced at four wins and four losses from nine, but recent home form has faltered, and they have kept just one clean sheet in their last seven at home. Ujpest, by contrast, are unbeaten in seven competitive matches this season, averaging 1.86 goals scored and only 0.71 conceded per game, and have shown resilience both home and away.

Statistically, Ujpest's attack looks sharper, averaging 11.8 shots and 4.6 on target per game over their last five, while Fehérvár's defensive numbers have slipped. Both teams have seen four of their last five matches end with both teams scoring, but Ujpest's higher clean sheet rate (43%) and lower concession rate suggest they are better equipped to control the game. The head-to-head record also favours Ujpest, who have won six of the last ten meetings and three of the last four away at Fehérvár.

The model expects a moderate-scoring contest, with Ujpest's superior attacking output and recent dominance in the fixture tipping the balance. Fehérvár's current defensive frailty and Ujpest's ability to create chances on the road point toward a 2-1 away win, though the friendly context introduces some uncertainty around lineup strength and intensity.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Fehérvár FC1.15

Expected goals · model says 1.15

Ujpest1.60

Expected goals · model says 1.60

Win Probability
Fehérvár FC 27% Draw 25% Ujpest 48%

Over 2.5 Goals

52%

BTTS: Yes

55%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
22%
33%
45%
Fehérvár FC 22%Draw 33%Ujpest 45%
Both Teams to Score
58%
42%
Yes 58%No 42%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
54%
46%
Over 2.5 54%Under 2.5 46%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
33%
67%
Over 9.5 33%Under 9.5 67%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest that most previews miss.

  • 1Ujpest have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches, despite conceding just 0.71 per game over the season.
  • 2Fehérvár FC have scored in four of their last five matches, but have also conceded in all five.
  • 3Six of the last ten head-to-head meetings have seen both teams score, with Ujpest winning three of the last four away.

Who do you think wins: Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More Friendlies Clubs Predictions

The Case For This Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest Prediction

Ujpest arrive with a stronger season-long scoring rate (1.86 goals per game) and remain unbeaten across all competitions, while Fehérvár FC have lost four of their last five and are conceding two per match over that span. Both sides have seen four of their last five feature goals at both ends, but Ujpest's defensive record (0.71 conceded per game) suggests more control than Fehérvár's recent numbers. The data points toward a moderate goal environment, with Ujpest's away attack likely to find success against a Fehérvár side that has managed just one clean sheet in their last seven at home.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Ujpest average 1.86 goals scored and only 0.71 conceded per game this season.
  • →Fehérvár FC have lost four of their last five matches, conceding two goals per game in that stretch.

Match Context

  • →Ujpest have won six of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including three of the last four away matches.

🚩 Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest Corners Prediction

low confidence
8.4expected total corners
Over 33%
Under 67%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Fehérvár FC and 3.4 for Ujpest, for an expected total of 8.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (67%). Over 8.5: 46% · Over 10.5: 23%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Fehérvár FC and Ujpest Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

Fehérvár FCFehérvár FClast 5 matches
D. Nemeth
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

E. Kovacs
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

UjpestUjpestlast 5 matches
A. Matko
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

A. Krajcsovics
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

P. Stronati
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

E. Amenyido
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

G. Vlijter
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Fehérvár FC are struggling for momentum, having lost four of their last five and conceding twice per game in that period, while Ujpest remain unbeaten this season and have scored at least twice in three of their last five. The contrast in recent results and scoring rates points to Ujpest carrying more confidence into this fixture.

Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest — Last 10 Matches

Fehérvár FCFehérvár FCLast 10 results
D1-1
L0-1
W3-0
L0-1
W1-0
W2-0
L0-1
L1-2
D2-2
W4-1
Dvs Ujpest1-1
L@ Vasas0-1
Wvs Szombathelyi Haladas3-0
Lvs Pécsi MFC0-1
Wvs BVSC1-0
Wvs Nagykanizsai ULE2-0
Lvs Veszprém0-1
Lvs III. Kerületi TUE1-2
D@ MTK Budapest2-2
Wvs Puskás II4-1

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
UjpestUjpestLast 8 results
D1-1
W2-0
D2-2
D1-1
D0-0
W4-0
W2-1
W2-1
D@ Fehérvár FC1-1
Wvs Radnik Bijeljina2-0
D@ Diosgyori VTK2-2
D@ TSV Hartberg1-1
Dvs Universitatea Cluj0-0
W@ Cegledi VSE4-0
Wvs Mezokovesd-zsory2-1
Wvs FK Košice2-1

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games

Concerns

  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest

Ujpest have a clear upper hand in the recent head-to-head, winning six of the last ten meetings and three of the last four away at Fehérvár FC. Draws have been frequent (three in ten), but Fehérvár have managed just one win in this span, highlighting Ujpest's dominance.

Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

1

Fehérvár FC wins

3

Draws

6

Ujpest wins

10%30% draws60%
3 Oct 26Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest1-1
30 Mar 25Ujpest vs Fehérvár FC2-2
23 Nov 24Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest0-1
11 Aug 24Ujpest vs Fehérvár FC4-1
3 Mar 24Ujpest vs Fehérvár FC2-0
4 Nov 23Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest2-1

Things to Watch: Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges and recommended bets cannot be calculated.
  • ⚠️Standings data is missing, so league motivation and position cannot be fully assessed.
  • ⚠️Friendly match context may affect intensity and lineup choices, increasing result variance.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Fehérvár FC 1–2 Ujpest

The model projects a 2-1 win for Ujpest, with their season-long scoring rate (1.86 goals per game) and dominant recent head-to-head record the clearest statistical signals. The main risk is the unpredictable nature of friendlies, where rotation or reduced intensity could flatten the expected edge.

Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest: Common Questions

Who will win Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest?

Ujpest are favoured, with a 45% model probability of an away win compared to 22% for Fehérvár FC. Ujpest's unbeaten start (four wins, three draws) and six wins in the last ten head-to-heads underpin this edge.

Will both teams score in Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest?

The model gives a 58% probability for both teams to score, based on each side seeing four of their last five matches end with goals at both ends and six of the last ten head-to-heads following suit.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest?

There's a 54% model probability for over 2.5 goals, reflecting Ujpest's 57% season over 2.5 rate and Fehérvár's 44%, as well as recent defensive frailty from the home side.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Fehérvár FC vs Ujpest: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 30 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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