Accrington ST vs Crewe Prediction
League Two · England
Accrington ST
Crewe
📍 The Wham Stadium, Accrington
🗓️ Friday, 3 Apr 2026 at 14:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 17.0%
Draw: 28.0%
Away: 55.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
61.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — no@ 2.06
EV: 12.5%
Accrington have failed to score in 4 of their last 5, averaging just 0.2 goals per game, while Crewe have kept 1 clean sheet but face a very blunt home attack. BTTS 'no' is value at these odds.
1x2 — away@ 1.7
EV: -3.8%
Crewe are in playoff contention, have won their last two, and face an Accrington side on a 3-game losing streak with major attacking issues. Model probability is slightly below market, but still a reasonable single.
Match Analysis
Crewe travel to Accrington with strong momentum and a clear edge in both recent form and season-long attacking output. Accrington are in a rut, goalless in four of their last five, and have lost three straight. Crewe's away record is inconsistent but their attack (1.5 goals/game season, 1.6 last 5) should be enough to break down a home side that looks toothless. Expect Crewe to control the game, likely scoring first and keeping Accrington at bay. A low-scoring away win is the likeliest scenario.
Key Factors
- →Accrington: 0.2 goals scored per game in last 5, failed to score in 4/5.
- →Crewe: won last 2, 1.6 goals scored per game in last 5.
- →Accrington home form: 8W 4D 8L, but only 21 goals in 20 games.
- →Crewe away: 7W 5D 8L, 28 goals in 20 games.
- →H2H: 4 wins each in last 10, but Crewe won reverse fixture 2-0.
- →No major injuries for either side.
- →Accrington's season over 2.5 goal % is low (30.77%), Crewe's much higher (55%).
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some match stats missing for recent games (shots, possession, etc.)
- ⚠️League Two is unpredictable; Accrington's home record is not terrible.
- ⚠️Crewe's away defence is only average (1.15 conceded/game).
- ⚠️Market odds are efficient; value is marginal except on BTTS 'no'.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.