Friendlies Clubs
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
SCR AltachStatistically, this friendly brings together two sides with strong season scoring rates—Bregenz averaging 2. 73 goals for and 0.
Friendlies Clubs
Mlada Boleslav
Vysočina JihlavaThe market has Mlada Boleslav a heavy favourite at 1. 24, but the data does support a strong home advantage: they're unbeaten at home this season (6W, 0D, 0L, 19:4 goal difference) and arrive off a 5-match unbeaten run.
Friendlies Clubs
Vasteras SK FK
IF BrommapojkarnaThis fixture brings together two sides with contrasting defensive records but similar attacking output over the last five matches. Vasteras SK FK enter on a two-match winning streak, conceding just once in their last three, while IF Brommapojkarna have alternated between high-scoring wins and shutout defeats, underlining their volatility.
Friendlies Clubs
Turku PS
IlvesIlves arrive in rampant form, unbeaten in five and with a perfect head-to-head record against Turku PS, while the hosts are mired in a four-match losing streak and have struggled badly in front of goal. The gulf in momentum is stark, with Ilves' attack firing and Turku PS unable to convert possession and shots into goals.
Friendlies Clubs
VfL Bochum
VerlVfL Bochum enter this friendly on a surge of momentum, riding a three-match winning streak across league and cup, having netted seven goals in that span. Verl, by contrast, are in the throes of a four-game losing run, conceding 10 times in their last five and struggling to convert possession into results.
Friendlies Clubs
TSV Hartberg
Floridsdorfer ACMomentum could scarcely be more divergent as TSV Hartberg, on a three-game winning tear, welcome a Floridsdorfer AC side mired in a run of four defeats from their last five. Hartberg's recent form is built on both ends of the pitch: 13 goals scored in their last five, only six conceded, and three clean sheets, with no failures to score.
Friendlies
Singapore
ParaguayA vast gulf in quality separates Singapore and Paraguay as they meet at the National Stadium for this international friendly. The model assigns Paraguay a commanding Elo advantage of 696 points (1833 vs 1137), translating into an overwhelming 75.
Friendlies Clubs
SV Kapfenberg
UljanikStatistically, this friendly projects as a low-scoring, evenly matched contest between two sides with middling recent form and modest attacking rates. Kapfenberg average 1.
Friendlies Clubs
Dynamo Dresden
Dukla PrahaBookmakers have installed Dynamo Dresden as strong favourites at 1. 5, but the data paints a more nuanced picture.
Friendlies
United Arab Emirates
HondurasUnited Arab Emirates and Honduras meet in a friendly with little to separate them on paper, but the analytics model tips the scales slightly towards the hosts. Despite Honduras holding a modest Elo edge of 31 points (1571 vs 1540), the UAE’s recent attacking momentum—scoring 1.
Friendlies Clubs
Raków Częstochowa
Lechia GdanskThis fixture projects as a moderately high-scoring contest, with Raków Częstochowa's offensive output (2. 23 goals per game) and Lechia Gdansk's defensive frailties (1.
Friendlies
Kuwait
SyriaSyria enter this friendly against Kuwait with a clear analytical advantage, underpinned by a +163 Elo rating gap (1491 vs 1328) and a strong 52% win probability from the model. Both sides have struggled defensively in recent outings, but Syria’s superior ranking and form momentum tip the scales further in their favour.
Friendlies Clubs
HNK Rijeka
Orijent 1919Statistical rates point to Rijeka controlling the contest, with their superior defensive record at home and a consistent attacking output likely to prove decisive against an Orijent side that struggles away from home. Goal expectation is moderate, with both teams showing enough going forward to suggest a scoreline above two goals is probable.
Friendlies
Saudi Arabia
South KoreaSouth Korea enter this international friendly with a clear analytical edge over Saudi Arabia, underpinned by an Elo rating advantage of 184 points (1752 vs 1568) and a global ranking gap of nearly 40 places. The model’s blended expected-goals output, after accounting for both sides’ attacking and defensive profiles, points to a low-scoring contest: South Korea are projected at 1.
Friendlies
Qatar
AustraliaAustralia enter this friendly in Doha as strong favourites, with the model assigning them a commanding 65. 1% chance of victory against hosts Qatar.
Friendlies Clubs
Austria Vienna (Am)
Fach-DonaufeldAustria Vienna (Am) arrive in buoyant mood, unbeaten in their last five (DWWDW) and riding a wave of confidence from a string of disciplined, resilient displays. Their 2-1 away win at Wacker Innsbruck and a clean sheet against Sturm Graz II underline a defensive improvement, while their attack has found the net in every recent outing.
Friendlies Clubs
Rapid Wien II
DonauRapid Wien II enter this friendly with a patchy run (DLLDL), but their overall goal output remains high, while Donau's recent form is volatile but features a potent attack. The market has Rapid Wien II as clear favourites, but the numbers suggest Donau's attacking threat is being undervalued, especially given both teams' high-scoring tendencies.
Friendlies
Jordan
IndonesiaJordan host Indonesia in Amman with a substantial Elo advantage—359 points separate the sides (1690 vs 1331)—yet the model projects a much closer contest than the rankings suggest. While Jordan's attack is typically reliant on the likes of A.
Segunda División
Leganes
BurgosMomentum could not be more divergent: Leganes limp into this clash with four defeats in their last five and a defence leaking 2. 6 goals per game, while Burgos ride a wave of confidence after three wins and a draw from their last four league outings.
Friendlies
Colombia
ChileColombia enter this friendly in Cali with a commanding Elo advantage of +265 points over Chile, reflecting their status as the 7th-ranked side globally versus Chile’s 44th. The model’s expected goals line, after blending Elo and xG data, stands at 1.
Friendlies
Argentina
UruguayArgentina enter this friendly against Uruguay with a commanding analytical edge, powered by a 221-point Elo advantage (2113 vs 1892) and a recent run of flawless form. The model projects the Albiceleste to score 2.
Friendlies
Ecuador
Costa RicaEcuador host Costa Rica in Quito for a friendly that, on paper, is defined by a significant gulf in Elo ratings—Ecuador sit at 1933 (world rank 9), while Costa Rica lag behind at 1614 (rank 61), a difference of 319 points. The model's final expected goals after all adjustments stand at 1.
Friendlies
Peru
BoliviaPeru and Bolivia meet in Lima for a friendly that pits two struggling South American sides against each other, with the model giving Peru a slim edge. Despite holding a 50-point Elo advantage (1695 vs 1645) and a historical home dominance, both teams come into this fixture in poor form, reflected in a low overall confidence rating from the model.
Friendlies Clubs
Colo Colo
Racing ClubThis friendly brings together a Colo Colo side in strong recent form and a Racing Club outfit struggling for goals, with the underlying rates pointing to a closely contested, low-scoring affair.
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