SV Kapfenberg vs Uljanik Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
SV Kapfenberg
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Uljanik
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Recommended Bets: SV Kapfenberg vs Uljanik
SV Kapfenberg vs Uljanik: Match Preview
Kapfenberg come into this friendly off a mixed run, with a form string of LDDWL and just one win in their last five. Their season record in competitive action shows a negative goal difference and a modest scoring rate, with 19 goals for and 26 against in 15 matches. Uljanik, meanwhile, arrive with two wins in their last two outings but have also suffered two defeats in their last five. Their away sample is extremely limited, with a single goalless draw on the road this season.
Statistically, this matchup projects as a low-scoring affair. Kapfenberg average 1.27 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game, while Uljanik’s recent five-game average sits at 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded. Both teams have shown a tendency to start fast—each has five first-half goals in their last five matches—but second-half output drops sharply. Over 2.5 goals has landed in just a third of Kapfenberg’s matches, and Uljanik’s only away fixture ended 0-0, suggesting a tight contest.
Given the modest attacking output and lack of clean sheets on both sides, the model expects a balanced encounter likely to be decided by fine margins. The most probable scenario is a 1-1 draw, with a slight edge towards under 2.5 goals. Neither side has a clear statistical advantage, and the lack of head-to-head or league context further supports a cautious, evenly matched prediction.
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS: Yes
41%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
SV Kapfenberg vs Uljanik Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind SV Kapfenberg vs Uljanik that most previews miss.
- 1Kapfenberg’s matches have seen over 2.5 goals just 33% of the time this season.
- 2Uljanik’s only away fixture this season ended 0-0, and their last five away/neutral matches average just 1.2 total goals.
- 3Both teams have scored five first-half goals in their last five games, but Kapfenberg have not scored a second-half goal in that span.
Who do you think wins: SV Kapfenberg vs Uljanik?
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Where the Model Sees Value: SV Kapfenberg vs Uljanik(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both sides average just over a goal per game in recent matches, and neither has shown consistent attacking output or defensive solidity; the 1-1 is the statistical mode given the low over 2.5 rate (33% for Kapfenberg, 0% for Uljanik in their single away game) and a near-even BTTS split.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Kapfenberg’s season over 2.5 rate sits at 33%, and Uljanik’s away and recent matches have been low scoring, with just one of their last five seeing more than two goals; the model assigns a 61% probability to under 2.5.
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The Case For This SV Kapfenberg vs Uljanik Prediction
Statistically, this friendly projects as a low-scoring, evenly matched contest between two sides with middling recent form and modest attacking rates. Kapfenberg average 1.27 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game this season, while Uljanik’s recent five-game sample shows 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded, but their only away result was a 0-0. Both sides have struggled for clean sheets, and neither has a dominant home or away trend. The matchup is shaped by underwhelming attacking efficiency: Kapfenberg have failed to score in two of their last five and managed just one clean sheet, while Uljanik have kept one clean sheet and failed to score once in the same span. Over 2.5 goals has landed in only a third of Kapfenberg’s matches, and Uljanik’s away record is too thin to suggest a higher-scoring game. Both teams tend to score their goals early, with five first-half goals each in their last five, but second halves have been notably quieter. Given these rates, the model expects a tactical stalemate with few clear chances, likely decided by a single goal or ending level. The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, with a slight lean towards under 2.5 goals and a low probability of either side running away with the match.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Kapfenberg’s season over 2.5 goal rate is just 33%, indicating a tendency for low-scoring games.
- →Uljanik’s only away match this season finished 0-0, and their last five average 1.6 goals for, 1.4 against.
- →Both teams have scored five first-half goals in their last five matches, but second-half scoring is much lower.
How SV Kapfenberg and Uljanik Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
SV Kapfenberg vs Uljanik Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
SV Kapfenberglast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Uljaniklast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Kapfenberg’s recent form is patchy, with just one win in their last five and a negative goal difference, while Uljanik have alternated between wins and losses but are on a two-game winning streak. Both teams’ recent matches have been low scoring, and neither side has managed more than one clean sheet in their last five.
SV Kapfenberg vs Uljanik — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +100% clean sheet rate this season
Things to Watch: SV Kapfenberg vs Uljanik
- ⚠️No head-to-head data is available, reducing confidence in matchup-specific trends.
- ⚠️Standings and league context are missing, limiting the ability to assess motivational factors.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds are unavailable, so value edges cannot be computed.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
SV Kapfenberg 1–1 UljanikThe model projects a 1-1 draw, driven by both sides’ low over 2.5 rates and similar recent scoring patterns. The strongest data point is Kapfenberg’s 33% over 2.5 rate and Uljanik’s lack of away scoring, pointing to a controlled, low-event match. The main risk is the small sample size for Uljanik’s away record, which could mask volatility in their performance.
SV Kapfenberg vs Uljanik: Common Questions
Who will win SV Kapfenberg vs Uljanik?
The model gives Kapfenberg a 38% chance of victory, a draw 39%, and Uljanik a 23% chance, reflecting the evenly matched, low-scoring tendencies of both teams.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in SV Kapfenberg vs Uljanik?
Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 61%, based on Kapfenberg’s 33% over 2.5 rate this season and Uljanik’s single away match ending 0-0.
Are both teams likely to score in SV Kapfenberg vs Uljanik?
Both teams to score is rated at 51%, with each side averaging just over a goal per game recently and both failing to keep clean sheets reliably.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SV Kapfenberg vs Uljanik: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 12 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.