IFK Norrkoping vs KuPS Predictions

Prediction by The Form Guide — IFK Norrkoping and KuPS arrive in sharply different form (13 vs 3 points from the last five) — routed to The Form Guide, which weights momentum most heavily.
Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · World
high confidence
IFK Norrkoping

IFK Norrkoping

AI Predicted Score

2 - 0

KuPS

KuPS

🗓️ Thursday, 19 Nov 2026 at 13:00 UTC

Win Probability (1X2)

IFK Norrkoping 48%Draw 32%KuPS 20%

Best Value Pick

BTTS: No

@ 2.74(+97% edge)

Recommended Bets: IFK Norrkoping vs KuPS

Match Result: IFK Norrkoping Win
@ 2.437/10
BTTS: No
@ 2.746/10

IFK Norrkoping vs KuPS: Match Preview

IFK Norrkoping arrive at this friendly in the midst of a purple patch, having claimed four wins and a draw in their last five competitive outings. Their recent surge has been fuelled by a prolific attack—three goals per game on average—and a defence that has kept four clean sheets in that span. KuPS, on the other hand, have hit a rough patch, failing to win any of their last five and scoring just twice over that run, a stark contrast to their earlier season solidity.

The matchup pits Norrkoping’s high-octane, shot-heavy approach against a KuPS side that has dominated possession but struggled to turn that into goals. Norrkoping have averaged 20.4 shots and 9.4 on target per match in their last five, while KuPS have managed just 0.6 goals per game despite enjoying over 61% possession and earning 8.4 corners per game. The Swedish side’s knack for second-half goals (10 of their last 15) could prove decisive, especially as KuPS have shown signs of fading after the break.

Given the current trajectories, the model expects Norrkoping’s momentum to tell. Their blend of attacking threat and defensive discipline looks likely to overwhelm a KuPS team that has lost its cutting edge. Unless KuPS can reverse their recent trend of blunt finishing and rediscover their defensive cohesion, the home side should have the upper hand.

How IFK Norrkoping and KuPS Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

IFK Norrkoping vs KuPS Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

IFK NorrkopingIFK Norrkopinglast 5 matches
A. AleksanjanXI
4 goals in 5
80%

In exceptional form

C. NymanXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

R. Nelsonsub/out
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

E. JemalXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

M. Cissesub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. Neffatisub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

KuPSKuPSlast 5 matches
Saku Savolainensub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Jaime Morenosub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Petteri Pennanensub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Norrkoping are in the midst of a dominant run, unbeaten in five and winning their last three by a combined score of 9-0. Their attack is firing and the defence has been nearly impenetrable. KuPS, meanwhile, are winless in five, have failed to score in three of those matches, and look a side short on confidence and end product.

IFK Norrkoping vs KuPS — Last 10 Matches

IFK NorrkopingIFK NorrkopingLast 10 results
D0-0
L1-3
D1-1
W3-1
W3-1
D1-1
W5-3
W1-0
W2-0
W3-0
Dvs Kalmar FF0-0
L@ Degerfors IF1-3
D@ Norrby IF1-1
W@ Osters IF3-1
W@ Kalmar FF3-1
D@ United Nordic1-1
Wvs Sollentuna5-3
Wvs United Nordic1-0
Wvs IF Brommapojkarna2-0
Wvs Lindo FF3-0

Strengths

  • +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
  • +Prolific attack — 3.0 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
  • +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
KuPSKuPSLast 3 results
D0-0
W1-0
W2-0
D@ SJK0-0
Wvs JIPPO1-0
Wvs Mariehamn2-0

Strengths

  • +100% clean sheet rate this season
  • +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
  • +Dominant in possession — 61% avg

Concerns

  • −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game

IFK Norrkoping vs KuPS Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
48%
32%
20%
IFK Norrkoping 48%Draw 32%KuPS 20%
Both Teams to Score
28%
72%
Yes 28%No 72%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
51%
49%
Over 2.5 51%Under 2.5 49%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
82%
18%
Over 9.5 82%Under 9.5 18%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind IFK Norrkoping vs KuPS that most previews miss.

  • 1Norrkoping have kept four clean sheets in their last five, conceding just 0.4 goals per game.
  • 2KuPS have failed to score in three of their last five despite averaging 61.4% possession.
  • 3Norrkoping have scored twice as many second-half goals (10) as first-half goals (5) in their last five matches.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

IFK Norrkoping1.60

Expected goals · model says 1.60

KuPS1.05

Expected goals · model says 1.05

Win Probability
IFK Norrkoping 50% Draw 25% KuPS 25%

Over 2.5 Goals

49%

BTTS: Yes

52%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Who do you think wins: IFK Norrkoping vs KuPS?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

The Case For This IFK Norrkoping vs KuPS Prediction

IFK Norrkoping enter this friendly riding a wave of momentum, having strung together three consecutive wins and scoring 13 goals in their last five matches. Their attack has been relentless, with an average of 20.4 shots and 9.4 on target per game, while defensively they've conceded just twice in that period. KuPS, by contrast, have found the going tough: winless in their last five and shut out in three, their attack has sputtered despite healthy possession numbers. The tactical contrast is stark. Norrkoping’s high shot volume and clinical finishing meet a KuPS side that has struggled to convert possession into goals, averaging just 0.6 per game recently. While KuPS have maintained over 61% possession and generated 8.4 corners per match, their end product has been lacking, and their defensive solidity has wavered, conceding 1.4 goals per game in the last five. Norrkoping’s ability to strike in both halves—netting 10 of their last 15 goals after the break—suggests they can punish any lapses as KuPS tire. Given these dynamics, the model expects Norrkoping’s form to carry them. Their attacking efficiency and defensive discipline, combined with KuPS’s recent struggles in front of goal, point to a home win and a likely clean sheet. Unless KuPS can rediscover their early-season defensive resilience, they may find themselves chasing shadows for long spells.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Norrkoping average 20.4 shots per game in their last five, indicating sustained attacking pressure.

Defence

  • →Norrkoping have won four of their last five, scoring 15 and conceding just 2.

Match Context

  • →KuPS have failed to score in three of their last five and are winless in that stretch.

More Friendlies Clubs Predictions

🚩 IFK Norrkoping vs KuPS Corners Prediction

medium confidence
12.8expected total corners
Over 82%
Under 18%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 6.2 corners for IFK Norrkoping and 6.6 for KuPS, for an expected total of 12.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (82%). Over 8.5: 89% · Over 10.5: 73%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: IFK Norrkoping vs KuPS

The model sees notable value in backing the home win at odds of 2.43, with a calculated probability of 48% versus an implied 41%. Even more striking is the value on 'both teams to score: no' at 2.74, which the model rates at 72% probability—almost double the implied odds. These edges are driven by the recent form disparity and Norrkoping’s defensive solidity.

Odds from 1xBet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
IFK Norrkoping Winvalue2.4348.0%+6.8%
Drawvalue3.9132.0%+6.4%
KuPS Win2.1920.0%-25.7%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.51.3951.0%-20.9%
Under 2.5value2.6749.0%+11.5%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yes1.3728.0%-45.0%
Novalue2.7472.0%+35.5%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: IFK Norrkoping Win @ 2.43EV +0.166
1X2: Draw @ 3.91EV +0.251
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 @ 2.67EV +0.308
Both Teams Score: No @ 2.74EV +0.973

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: IFK Norrkoping vs KuPS

  • ⚠️No head-to-head or standings data is available, limiting context on historical matchups and relative league strength.
  • ⚠️Both teams may rotate lineups given the friendly context, increasing unpredictability.
  • ⚠️KuPS’s season-long defensive record is strong, but recent form has dipped.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

IFK Norrkoping 2–0 KuPS

The model calls a 2-0 win for IFK Norrkoping, anchored by their rampant recent form—three straight wins, 13 goals scored, and four clean sheets in five. The biggest risk is underestimating KuPS’s ability to turn possession into chances if they break their scoring drought, or if Norrkoping rotate heavily given the friendly setting.

IFK Norrkoping vs KuPS: Common Questions

Who will win IFK Norrkoping vs KuPS?

The model gives IFK Norrkoping a 48% chance of victory, compared to 20% for KuPS and 32% for a draw, reflecting the home side's outstanding recent form and attacking numbers.

Will both teams score in IFK Norrkoping vs KuPS?

Both teams to score is rated at just 28%, as KuPS have failed to score in three of their last five and Norrkoping have kept four clean sheets in that period.

Can IFK Norrkoping’s winning streak continue?

With three straight wins and 15 goals scored in their last five, Norrkoping’s momentum is strong, and the model expects their run to continue against a KuPS side struggling for goals.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for IFK Norrkoping vs KuPS: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 12 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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