New York Red Bulls vs Club America Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
New York Red Bulls
AI Predicted Score
2 - 2
Club America
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
Recommended Bets: New York Red Bulls vs Club America
New York Red Bulls vs Club America: Match Preview
New York Red Bulls arrive off a patchy run—two wins and three defeats in their last five—but their attack has been consistently productive, averaging 1.8 goals per match in that stretch. Club America, meanwhile, have drawn three on the bounce and are unbeaten in four, but their defence has been breached in every recent outing. With no league table context or head-to-head history, both sides will see this friendly as a chance to test their attacking units and squad depth.
Statistically, this fixture is shaped by high shot volumes and poor clean sheet records. The Red Bulls’ home matches have averaged 4.0 goals, and their last five have seen 16.4 shots and 6.4 on target per game. Club America’s recent matches have been even more open, with 18 shots per game and both teams scoring in all five. Second-half goals are a trend for both—NYRB with 5 in their last five, America with 7—suggesting the match may open up after the break. Set-piece opportunities should be plentiful, with both teams averaging over 4.5 corners and 13 fouls per match.
The model projects a high-scoring, evenly-matched contest where neither defence is likely to hold firm. Both teams’ attacking rates and defensive vulnerabilities converge on a 2-2 draw as the modal outcome, with a high probability of over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. Volatility is high, but the underlying rates point to goals at both ends.
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS: Yes
65%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
New York Red Bulls vs Club America Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind New York Red Bulls vs Club America that most previews miss.
- 1Club America have seen both teams score in each of their last five matches, with an average of 4.0 total goals per game.
- 2New York Red Bulls’ home matches this season have produced an average of 4.0 goals, with a 100% over 2.5 goals rate.
- 3Second-half scoring is prominent: 7 of Club America’s last 11 goals and 5 of NYRB’s last 8 have come after the break.
Who do you think wins: New York Red Bulls vs Club America?
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Where the Model Sees Value: New York Red Bulls vs Club America(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes
Both sides have averaged over 1.8 goals scored per game in their last five, and Club America have seen BTTS in all five recent matches, with New York Red Bulls at 2/5. Defensive clean sheet rates are low (NYRB 16.7%, America 0% in last 5), supporting a high BTTS probability.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
New York Red Bulls' season over 2.5 goal rate is 100%, and their last five average 3.4 total goals per game; Club America’s last five average 4.0. Both teams’ attack rates and defensive frailties point to a high-scoring environment.
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More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This New York Red Bulls vs Club America Prediction
Goal rates are the headline here: both New York Red Bulls and Club America come off recent stretches marked by frequent scoring and defensive lapses, with neither side keeping more than two clean sheets in their last five. The Red Bulls’ home games have produced an average of 4.0 goals per match this season, while Club America’s last five outings have all seen both teams score. Shot volumes are robust on both sides—NYRB averaging 16.4 attempts, Club America 18.0—suggesting the open, transitional nature typical of friendlies may be amplified. The Red Bulls’ attack has been particularly productive at home (9 goals in their last 4), but their concession rate (1.75 per home game) leaves them vulnerable. Club America’s defence has not travelled well (3 conceded in last 2 away), and their recent matches have skewed heavily towards second-half action (7 of their last 11 goals after the break). The model expects a high-probability goal environment, with both teams likely to find the net and a draw the modal outcome. The likeliest scenario is a match that opens up after the interval, with neither defence able to shut down the other’s main threats. A 2-2 draw is the most probable scoreline, but volatility is high given the attacking intent and defensive inconsistencies on both sides.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams average over 16 shots and 6 shots on target per match in their last five, indicating high attacking output.
Defence
- →NYRB’s season over 2.5 goals rate is 100%, with an average of 2.17 scored and 2.17 conceded per game.
- →Club America have seen both teams score in all of their last five matches, conceding 1.8 per game in that span.
🚩 New York Red Bulls vs Club America Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for New York Red Bulls and 4.4 for Club America, for an expected total of 9.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (53%). Over 8.5: 60% · Over 10.5: 34%.
How New York Red Bulls and Club America Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
New York Red Bulls vs Club America Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
New York Red Bullslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Club Americalast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
New York Red Bulls have alternated wins and losses in their last five, with a strong attack (1.8 goals per match) offset by defensive lapses (1.6 conceded). Club America are unbeaten in four, but have drawn their last three and conceded in every game, with 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match in that span. Both sides arrive with momentum in attack but questions at the back.
New York Red Bulls vs Club America — Last 6 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 18 shots/game
- +Dominant in possession — 57% avg
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Things to Watch: New York Red Bulls vs Club America
- ⚠️No head-to-head or standings data is available, increasing uncertainty about relative strength.
- ⚠️Friendlies often feature experimental lineups and variable motivation, potentially skewing defensive and attacking intensity.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds are available, so value estimation is limited to model probabilities.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
New York Red Bulls 2–2 Club AmericaThe model forecasts a 2-2 draw, driven by both teams’ high attacking output and poor recent defensive records—NYRB’s 100% over 2.5 rate and Club America’s BTTS streak are the clearest signals. The main risk is lineup rotation or a drop in intensity typical of friendlies, which could dampen the expected goal volume.
New York Red Bulls vs Club America: Common Questions
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Club America?
The model rates home and draw outcomes equally at 36% each, with Club America given a 28% chance of victory. Both teams’ recent form and attacking rates point to a high-probability draw, most likely 2-2.
Will both teams score in New York Red Bulls vs Club America?
Yes is rated at 73% probability, supported by Club America’s five-match BTTS streak and both teams averaging over 1.8 goals scored per game recently.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in this match?
The model gives a 68% probability for over 2.5 goals, with New York Red Bulls hitting this mark in 100% of their season matches and both sides averaging over 3.5 total goals per game in their last five.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for New York Red Bulls vs Club America: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 12 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More New York Red Bulls vs Club America Resources
New York Red Bulls Predictions
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Club America Predictions
All Club America fixtures & tips
New York Red Bulls vs Club America Stats
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results