PAOK vs FK Partizan Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
PAOK
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
FK Partizan
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.83(+4% edge)
Recommended Bets: PAOK vs FK Partizan
PAOK vs FK Partizan: Match Preview
Both PAOK and FK Partizan come into this friendly on the back of strong attacking form. PAOK have won three of their last five, scoring at least once in every match and averaging 1.8 goals per game in that stretch. Partizan arrive with three consecutive wins, netting 11 goals in those matches, and have shown they can score freely, but their defensive record is patchy with just one clean sheet in their last five.
Statistically, this fixture projects as high tempo and open. PAOK’s home attack has produced 3.25 goals per game this season, with every match going over 2.5 goals. Partizan’s away record is less dominant, but they have still managed 11 goals in seven away matches this season and average 15.4 shots per game over the last five. Both sides are vulnerable at the back—PAOK have not kept a clean sheet in their last five, and Partizan’s season clean sheet rate is just 11.1%. Corners are likely to be plentiful, with both teams averaging over five per game recently.
The model expects both teams to find the net, with a 2-1 PAOK win the most probable outcome, but a 2-2 draw or 3-1 are also realistic given the attacking numbers and defensive lapses. With no H2H or standings to anchor the analysis, the underlying rates point to goals and an even contest, with the draw offering a slight edge in the betting market.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 2.00
Expected goals · model says 1.50
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS: Yes
67%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
PAOK vs FK Partizan Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind PAOK vs FK Partizan that most previews miss.
- 1PAOK’s season over 2.5 goal rate is 100%, with all four matches finishing with at least three goals.
- 2Partizan have scored eight second-half goals in their last five matches, compared to just three in the first half.
- 3Combined, both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in eight of their last ten matches.
Who do you think wins: PAOK vs FK Partizan?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: PAOK vs FK Partizan(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.83
The model assigns a 27% probability to the draw, slightly above the 26% implied by odds of 3.83, creating a modest positive expectation. Both sides have shown goal output and defensive vulnerability, and with neither holding a clear edge in recent form, a high-scoring stalemate is plausible.
Read more ↓
More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This PAOK vs FK Partizan Prediction
Statistically, this friendly sets up as a high-scoring contest between two sides with strong recent attacking output but notable defensive leaks. PAOK average 3.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with all four of their matches going over 2.5 goals. FK Partizan’s matches have also been open, averaging 1.56 scored and 1.78 conceded per game, with 77.8% over 2.5 goals. Both teams have hit at least 15 shots per game across their last five. PAOK’s home attack, led by Ndiaye and Banza, has produced 1.8 goals per game over the last five, but they have not kept a single clean sheet in that stretch. Partizan, meanwhile, arrive on a three-match winning streak, scoring 11 goals in those games, but have kept just one clean sheet in their last five and have conceded in 89% of their season’s matches. Both sides generate high corner counts (PAOK 5.6, Partizan 6.6 per game last five), suggesting set-piece opportunities. The model expects an open game with both teams likely to score and the balance tilting slightly towards PAOK’s more consistent home attack. However, with both teams’ defensive records and recent form strings (PAOK WWLWL, Partizan WWWLL), the draw is a live outcome. The most probable scoreline is 2-1 to PAOK, but a 2-2 or 3-1 are also in play given the goal trends.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Partizan’s last five matches average 3.4 total goals, with both teams scoring in three of those games.
- →Both teams average over 15 shots per match across their last five, indicating high attacking volume.
Defence
- →PAOK have scored in every one of their last five matches and have not kept a clean sheet in that span.
🚩 PAOK vs FK Partizan Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.4 corners for PAOK and 7.1 for FK Partizan, for an expected total of 12.5. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (80%). Over 8.5: 88% · Over 10.5: 71%.
How PAOK and FK Partizan Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
PAOK vs FK Partizan Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
PAOKlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
FK Partizanlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
PAOK have posted three wins in their last five, scoring at least once in every match but struggling defensively with no clean sheets. Partizan, meanwhile, are on a three-match winning streak, scoring 11 goals in that run, but have also shown defensive frailty, conceding in four of their last five. Both teams bring attacking momentum but lack recent defensive solidity.
PAOK vs FK Partizan — Last 9 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 77.78% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 18 shots/game
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: PAOK vs FK Partizan
The model sees a small edge on the draw at odds of 3.83, with a 27% model probability versus a 26% implied. There is no significant value on the goals or BTTS markets, as bookmaker prices closely match the model’s expectations. With both teams’ attack and defence rates converging, the draw stands out as the best value in a high-variance friendly.
Odds from 1xBet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: PAOK vs FK Partizan
- ⚠️No head-to-head or league standings data available, increasing uncertainty about relative strength.
- ⚠️Friendlies can see rotated lineups and variable motivation, which may impact defensive intensity.
- ⚠️Recent form is strong for both sides, but small sample sizes and lack of competitive context limit confidence.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
PAOK 2–1 FK PartizanThe model projects a 2-1 win for PAOK, driven by their season-long average of 3.25 goals scored per game and Partizan’s low clean sheet percentage. The single strongest data point is the 100% over 2.5 goal rate in PAOK’s matches. The main risk is that friendly match dynamics or squad rotation reduce intensity, leading to a lower-scoring or less competitive contest than the underlying rates suggest.
PAOK vs FK Partizan: Common Questions
Who will win PAOK vs FK Partizan?
The model gives PAOK a 47% chance of winning, with the draw at 27% and Partizan at 26%. PAOK’s home scoring rate and Partizan’s defensive record make the home side slight favourites, but the draw is a live possibility given both teams’ recent form.
Will both teams score in PAOK vs FK Partizan?
There is a 67% probability that both teams will score, based on both sides’ recent attacking form and defensive vulnerabilities. PAOK have conceded in all of their last five, while Partizan have managed just one clean sheet in the same period.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in PAOK vs FK Partizan?
The model estimates a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals, with PAOK’s matches hitting that mark in 100% of their games this season and Partizan’s in nearly 78%.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for PAOK vs FK Partizan: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 7 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.