This Week's Football Predictions

Friendlies●○○

Tajikistan

vs

Palestine

Tajikistan and Palestine meet in a friendly international where the model sees little between the sides, but hands a marginal edge to Palestine. Despite Tajikistan's strong recent form, including an 11-point haul from their last five matches, the Elo baseline tells a different story: Palestine's rating of 1469 (ranked 86th) is a significant 184 points above Tajikistan's 1285 (ranked 144th).

Friendlies●●○

Australia

vs

Brazil

Australia welcome Brazil to Suncorp Stadium for a high-profile friendly, but the analytics give the visitors a decisive edge. Brazil enter with a superior Elo rating of 1984 (world rank 5), a full 201 points clear of Australia’s 1783 (rank 26), and the model’s scoring projections reflect this gulf.

Professional Development League●●○

Charlton Athletic U21

vs

Millwall U21

Charlton Athletic U21 arrive with a real sense of momentum, unbeaten in five competitive outings and showing a knack for late equalisers and consistent scoring. Millwall U21, by contrast, are mired in a five-match losing streak, struggling to find the net and leaking goals at a worrying rate.

Professional Development League●○○

Coventry City U21

vs

Colchester United U21

Statistical indicators point to a high-scoring contest between two sides with porous defences and lively attacks. Coventry's home scoring rate and Colchester's away concession rate both suggest multiple goals, while neither side has shown an ability to keep clean sheets with any regularity.

Professional Development League●●●

Hull City U21

vs

Bolton Wanderers Res.

Bolton Wanderers Reserves arrive in relentless form, riding a perfect five-game league winning streak and averaging 3. 4 goals per match, while Hull City U21 are still searching for their first win and have struggled to keep opponents out.

Professional Development League●○○

Peterborough United U21

vs

Fleetwood Town U21

Statistically, this fixture sets up as a high-variance, high-scoring contest between two sides whose defensive records lag behind their attacking output. Both Peterborough United U21 and Fleetwood Town U21 average over 2 goals conceded per game, with over 2.

Professional Development League●○○

Wigan Athletic U21

vs

Huddersfield Town U21

Statistically, this fixture projects as a high-scoring contest between two sides with attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities. Wigan's matches average 6.

Friendlies●○○

Russia

vs

Iran

Russia and Iran meet in a friendly with both sides closely matched according to the analytics, as just 16 Elo points separate Russia (1776, rank 27) from Iran (1760, rank 31). The model sees Russia with a slight edge, projecting a 1-0 win, but the probabilities are finely balanced: 39.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Jagiellonia

vs

Suduva Marijampole

Statistically, this friendly projects as a moderate-scoring contest between a defensively solid Jagiellonia and a Suduva Marijampole side whose matches tend to be open. Jagiellonia's home record and overall defensive numbers contrast with Suduva's tendency to both score and concede, making the home side slight favourites but with both teams likely to find the net.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

Hertha Zehlendorf

vs

Hertha BSC

Hertha Zehlendorf limp into this friendly with four defeats from their last five, having conceded 13 goals and managed just one clean sheet in that stretch. In stark contrast, Hertha BSC are riding a tidal wave of momentum, boasting a perfect five-game winning run and averaging 3.

National League●○○

Boreham Wood

vs

Kidderminster Harriers

This is a fixture defined by contrasting scoring rates: Boreham Wood’s high-output attack (2. 56 goals per game, 88.

Premier League●○○

Cardiff MET

vs

Haverfordwest County AFC

Cardiff MET's robust home attack, averaging 2. 75 goals per game at Cyncoed Campus, faces a Haverfordwest side that has struggled for goals on the road (0.

National League●○○

AFC Fylde

vs

Carlisle

AFC Fylde's attack is producing at a top-four rate, but their defensive record keeps matches open. Carlisle's away struggles and lack of clean sheets set the stage for a high-probability BTTS outcome, with the hosts' superior scoring rate tilting the balance.

National League●○○

Barrow

vs

Scunthorpe

Statistically, this fixture profiles as a low-to-mid scoring contest between two sides with very similar season scoring rates and defensive vulnerabilities. Barrow's home scoring (1.

National League●○○

FC Halifax Town

vs

Boston United

Statistically, this fixture profiles as a mid-table National League clash with both teams showing moderate attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities. Halifax's home scoring (2.

National League●○○

Forest Green

vs

Wealdstone

The statistical profile points to a high-probability goal environment, with both teams showing defensive frailties and above-average rates of matches going over 2. 5 goals.

National League●●●

Gateshead

vs

Altrincham

Gateshead's form has nosedived, conceding 12 goals in their last three and failing to win since the opening weeks; confidence looks shattered. In stark contrast, Altrincham have surged up the table with four wins in five, including back-to-back away victories and a habit of scoring early.

National League●○○

Hartlepool

vs

Harrogate Town

Hartlepool limp into this fixture on the back of four consecutive defeats, their confidence clearly shaken after conceding eight goals and scoring just twice in their last five league outings. The home side’s early-season promise has evaporated, and they now sit 19th, just above the relegation zone, with no draws and a worrying lack of resilience.

National League●○○

AFC Hornchurch

vs

Aldershot Town

AFC Hornchurch and Aldershot Town enter this fixture locked on 15 points from nine matches, each with a positive home or away split but limited attacking output. The data points to a low-scoring, evenly matched contest, with both sides averaging just over a goal per game and defensive numbers that do not suggest a shootout.

National League●○○

Woking

vs

Solihull Moors

The statistical profile points to a moderate-scoring contest, with Woking's home attack and Solihull Moors' porous away defence driving the expectation of goals. Woking's recent upturn in output at Kingfield Stadium contrasts with Solihull's defensive frailty on their travels, making a home win the likeliest result, but both teams' low clean sheet rates invite the possibility of goals at both ends.

National League●○○

Yeovil Town

vs

Worthing

Statistically, this fixture projects as a high-scoring, competitive contest between two attack-minded sides with leaky defences. Both Yeovil Town and Worthing have scored and conceded at a near-identical rate—Yeovil at 2.

Friendlies●●●

Mexico

vs

Peru

Mexico enter this international friendly as clear favourites, with the model assigning them a commanding 67. 6% probability of victory over Peru.

Serie B●●●

Botafogo SP

vs

Ponte Preta

The market is pricing Botafogo SP as overwhelming favourites, but their recent form (DLLLL) hardly justifies such short odds. Ponte Preta are bottom for a reason, yet the draw is being overlooked, and the real value may lie in a low-scoring, one-sided contest.

Friendlies●●○

USA

vs

Chile

USA and Chile meet at CITYPARK in a friendly with both sides carrying similar Elo ratings—USA at 1721 and Chile at 1710—reflecting a razor-thin gap in global standing. The model, however, gives the USA a slight edge, factoring in a +60 host bonus and recent attacking form, resulting in a 50% win probability for the Americans versus 30% for Chile.

Friendlies Clubs●●○

San Antonio

vs

SV Darmstadt 98

This friendly brings together two sides with contrasting scoring profiles: San Antonio's recent matches have been low-scoring, while Darmstadt's campaign has been marked by prolific attacking output, especially away from home. The underlying rates suggest the German side's firepower is likely to decide the contest.

Friendlies●●○

Papua New Guinea

vs

Solomon Islands

Papua New Guinea enter this friendly with a notable Elo advantage of 81 points over Solomon Islands (1135 vs 1054), translating into a 54% win probability for the hosts. The model's expected-goals calculations, after blending Elo-driven and xG-based projections, suggest Papua New Guinea will generate 1.

Friendlies●●○

Fiji

vs

New Caledonia

As Fiji host New Caledonia in this international friendly, the model sees a clear edge for the visitors, driven by a significant Elo rating gap of 178 points (1108 vs 1286). Despite both teams lacking detailed recent attacking and defensive data, the analytics engine leans heavily on Elo and recent form to set expectations.

Friendlies Clubs●●○

Arges Pitesti

vs

Cetate Deva

Statistically, Arges Pitesti's superior scoring rate and home advantage should tell, but their defensive frailty and Cetate Deva's recent high-scoring draws keep the door open for an upset or a shootout.

Friendlies●○○

Mauritius

vs

Djibouti

Mauritius and Djibouti meet in an international friendly with both sides looking to build confidence after difficult recent runs. The model gives Mauritius a modest edge, underpinned by a 133-point Elo advantage (1073 vs 940) and a final expected goals line of 1.

Friendlies●○○

Seychelles

vs

Sri Lanka

In this Friendly International, Seychelles and Sri Lanka meet as two of FIFA’s lowest-ranked national teams, but the model sees a clear edge for the visitors. Despite just a 26-point Elo gap (Seychelles 853, Sri Lanka 827), momentum and recent form have swung the expected goals line in Sri Lanka’s favour.

Friendlies●○○

Lithuania

vs

Andorra

Lithuania host Andorra in a friendly that, on paper, looks like a low-scoring affair between two sides searching for form. The model gives Lithuania a notable Elo advantage of +214 points (1291 vs 1077), translating into a 45.

Friendlies Clubs●●○

Kalsdorf

vs

Grazer AK

Statistically, this friendly sets up as a higher-than-average scoring contest, with Kalsdorf’s defensive frailty (2. 17 goals conceded per game) likely to be tested by a Grazer AK side that averages 1.

National League●●○

Eastleigh

vs

Southend

Southend arrive at Silverlake Stadium in potent attacking form, averaging 2. 56 goals per game and riding a seven-match unbeaten run away from home.

National League●○○

Tamworth

vs

Sutton Utd

A statistical deadlock is forecast at The Lamb Ground, with Tamworth's porous defence and high-scoring home matches offset by Sutton Utd's more compact, lower-scoring away profile. Both sides' underlying rates point to a moderate goal environment, and the most likely outcome is a closely contested draw.

Friendlies●●●

Argentina

vs

Bolivia

Argentina host Bolivia at the Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, carrying a formidable Elo rating advantage of 468 points (2113 vs 1645) and a home win probability of 80. 4% according to the model.

Friendlies●●○

Panama

vs

New Zealand

Panama enter this international friendly with a notable advantage, as reflected by a 152-point Elo gap (1737 vs 1585) and a home win probability of 51. 3% according to the model.

Friendlies Clubs●●○

DC United

vs

SC Paderborn 07

This fixture pits a DC United side struggling for attacking output against a SC Paderborn 07 team with a much higher season scoring rate and recent momentum. The underlying numbers suggest a moderate goal environment, with the visitors more likely to dictate the tempo and create the better chances.

Friendlies●●●

Cook Islands

vs

Tahiti

A gulf in quality is evident as the Cook Islands host Tahiti in this international friendly, with the analytics model assigning Tahiti a commanding advantage. The Elo ratings paint a stark picture: Tahiti’s 1176 rating dwarfs the Cook Islands’ 622, a difference of 554 points that translates to a 77.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

AS Eupen

vs

Alemannia Aachen

AS Eupen are riding a wave of momentum, stringing together four consecutive wins across league and cup, while Alemannia Aachen's form has been more erratic with a recent win but two defeats in their last five. Eupen's recent run has been built on late goals and a resilient attack, while Aachen have shown flashes of quality but struggled for consistency, particularly away from home.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Stuttgart II

vs

Würzburger Kickers

Statistically, this fixture projects as a high-scoring contest between two attack-minded sides, with Würzburger Kickers' superior offensive rate offsetting their defensive frailties. Stuttgart II's home record is thin, but their recent matches have been open, with both teams scoring in four of the last five.

Friendlies●●●

Maldives

vs

Lebanon

A vast gulf in Elo ratings—Lebanon's 1332 to Maldives' 848—sets the tone for this international friendly, with the model assigning the visitors a commanding 79. 98% win probability.

FKF Premier League●○○

Mombasa Elite

vs

Kariobangi Sharks

Statistically, this fixture profiles as a low-scoring, tightly contested battle between a newly promoted side with defensive discipline and a Sharks team that draws more than it wins or loses. The away side's slight attacking edge is offset by a conservative away approach and the hosts' lack of attacking output.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

SSV Jahn Regensburg

vs

WSG Wattens

Regensburg enter this friendly with a curious blend of momentum and frustration: their last five matches read DLDLL, but they've found the net in every game and produced a 3-3 draw last time out away at Stuttgart II. Wattens, meanwhile, arrive buoyed by a 1-0 win over FC Liefering and a recent run of three wins in five, including a cup thrashing and a solid away victory at Austria Vienna.

Friendlies●○○

Uzbekistan

vs

Syria

Uzbekistan welcome Syria for a friendly that, despite the lack of competitive stakes, carries intrigue given the teams’ closely matched head-to-head history and contrasting recent form. The model gives Uzbekistan a modest edge, driven by a significant Elo advantage (+236 points, 1727 vs 1491) and a slightly higher final expected goals figure (1.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

VfB Stuttgart

vs

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Statistical rates point to a high-scoring friendly, with Stuttgart's prolific attack (4. 0 goals per game) facing a Fürth side that concedes regularly on the road.

Friendlies Clubs●●○

FC Liefering

vs

TSV St. Johann

Statistical rates point to a moderately high-scoring friendly, with Liefering's superior home record and attacking output giving them the edge, but defensive lapses on both sides suggesting TSV St. Johann will find the net.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

Real Betis

vs

AD Ceuta FC

Real Betis enter this friendly riding a wave of form, unbeaten in their last five and with four consecutive wins across league and Europe. Their recent run has been built on a blend of attacking intent—averaging nearly 18 shots and almost 7 on target per game—and a defence that has conceded just four goals in that span.

Serie B●○○

Athletic Club

vs

Sport Recife

Statistically, this is a mid-table clash between two sides with similar scoring and concession rates, both trending toward low-scoring, closely contested matches. Athletic Club's home record (6W-5D-4L, 18:14 goal difference) is nearly mirrored by Sport Recife's away record (4W-4D-6L, 13:14), and neither side has a clear momentum edge.

Serie B●○○

Novorizontino

vs

Goias

Novorizontino’s attack has been among the most productive in Serie B, averaging 1. 69 goals per game across the season and 2.

Major League Soccer●●○

Seattle Sounders

vs

Sporting Kansas City

Bookmakers have installed Seattle as heavy favourites at 1. 44, but the underlying data paints a more nuanced picture.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

Admira Wacker

vs

Austria Vienna

Austria Vienna arrive with a robust scoring record and a dominant head-to-head history, while Admira Wacker's defensive frailty continues to undermine their efforts. The statistical shape of this fixture points to a high-scoring contest, with the away side's attack likely to dictate proceedings.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

Gornik Zabrze

vs

Odra Opole

Gornik Zabrze enter this friendly in a rich vein of form, unbeaten in their last five matches and riding a four-game winning streak before a goalless draw last time out. In contrast, Odra Opole have struggled for consistency, picking up just one win in their last five and failing to score in three of those outings.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Saint Etienne

vs

FC Sion

Statistically, this friendly sets up as a high-scoring contest between two sides with prolific attacks and questionable defensive records. Sion's away form and scoring output tilt the balance slightly in their favour, but Saint Etienne's home scoring consistency keeps the contest open.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Sudtirol

vs

Wacker Innsbruck

This friendly pairs Sudtirol's methodical, defence-first approach against a Wacker Innsbruck side whose matches have tended to produce more goals, but whose recent results show a moderation in both attack and concession rates. With both sides showing a tendency to draw and a lack of recent injury disruptions, the statistical shape points to a balanced contest with no clear favourite.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

FC Lugano

vs

Hellas Verona

Statistically, this friendly profiles as a high-scoring, open contest between two sides in strong attacking rhythm. Lugano’s recent surge—four wins and a draw in their last five, averaging 2.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Raków Częstochowa

vs

Polonia Bytom

Statistical rates point to a high-probability goal environment, with Raków Częstochowa's home attack and Polonia Bytom's away defence setting the likely margin. Recent form is mixed for both, but underlying season averages for goals scored and conceded drive the model towards a 2-1 home win.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

1. FC Nürnberg

vs

FC Ingolstadt 04

Momentum is firmly with Nürnberg, who have surged through their last five fixtures unbeaten, racking up four victories and a draw while consistently finding the net. Ingolstadt, by contrast, have stumbled with two consecutive defeats and only one win in their last four, struggling to generate attacking threat.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

IF Elfsborg

vs

BK Hacken

Statistically, this friendly between IF Elfsborg and BK Hacken projects as a high-scoring, evenly matched contest. Both teams arrive with similar records and goal metrics, and their recent head-to-head history is rich in goals and drama.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Aarhus

vs

Vendsyssel FF

Aarhus’ prolific home attack meets Vendsyssel’s disciplined but recently vulnerable defence in a fixture that rates above average for goal expectancy. The hosts’ season-long scoring rate (2.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

AC Horsens

vs

Vejle

Statistically, this friendly between AC Horsens and Vejle projects as a closely contested, mid-tempo affair. Both sides arrive with similar season-long scoring and concession rates—Horsens averaging 1.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Radomiak Radom

vs

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Statistically, this friendly sets up as a moderate-to-high scoring contest, with Radomiak Radom's attack rate and defensive frailty both pulling the expected goal total upwards. The home side's 2.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

Sparta Praha

vs

Vysočina Jihlava

Sparta Praha come into this friendly on a surge of momentum, riding a four-game winning streak in all competitions and averaging three goals per match over that span. Vysočina Jihlava are themselves in strong form with three consecutive wins, but their away record this season has been patchy, particularly against higher-level opposition.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Wisla Plock

vs

Unia Skierniewice

Statistically, this friendly projects as a moderate-to-high scoring contest, with Wisla Plock's defensive solidity at home facing Unia Skierniewice's potent attack. Both teams' season-long scoring rates and over 2.

Friendlies●○○

South Korea

vs

Venezuela

South Korea and Venezuela meet in a friendly where the analytics model sees little to separate the sides, with the Koreans holding a marginal Elo advantage of just 25 points (1752 vs 1727). Both teams have shown similar recent form, each earning 9 points from their last 5 matches, but the data is notably sparse for Venezuela, especially in terms of attacking and defensive metrics.

Friendlies Clubs●●○

1. FC Heidenheim

vs

Würzburger Kickers

Heidenheim come into this friendly riding a surge of form, having taken 10 points from their last four league outings and scoring at least once in every match. Their attack has been especially lively, notching 11 goals in their last five and showing late-game resilience with a flurry of second-half strikes.

Friendlies Clubs●●○

FC Augsburg

vs

Hertha BSC

Momentum is the defining theme here, with Hertha BSC riding a five-match winning streak and Augsburg showing flashes of attacking quality but less consistency. The recent form of both sides points strongly towards a high-tempo, open contest, with neither defence convincing and both attacks in prolific mood.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

Sturm Graz

vs

Floridsdorfer AC

This fixture pits a high-scoring Sturm Graz side against a Floridsdorfer AC team struggling for consistency and defensive solidity. Sturm Graz have averaged 2.

Friendlies●●○

China

vs

Turkmenistan

China step into this international friendly against Turkmenistan with a significant Elo rating edge of +214 points (1423 vs 1209), suggesting a clear gap in overall team strength. The model's blended expected-goals (xG) line sits at 1.

Professional Development League●○○

Fleetwood Town U21

vs

Sheffield Wednesday U21

Statistical rates point to a marginally higher-scoring contest, with Sheffield Wednesday U21's defensive solidity and unbeaten start contrasting with Fleetwood Town U21's volatility at the back. The away side's superior goal difference (+3 vs -4) and recent attacking output give them a slight edge, but the home team's high over 2.

FKF Premier League●○○

APS Bomet

vs

Murang'a SEAL

APS Bomet come into this fixture on a four-match winning run before a draw, conceding just two goals in their last five, while Murang'a SEAL have alternated wins and losses but have found the net in every recent outing. Both teams sit in the lower half of the table, with no points recorded yet this season, so early momentum is at stake.

FKF Premier League●○○

GOR Mahia

vs

KCB

The data points to a low-scoring, cagey contest. GOR Mahia’s recent matches average just three goals in total, and KCB’s attack has not been prolific.

FKF Premier League●○○

AFC Leopards

vs

Homeboyz

Momentum is the defining theme as AFC Leopards return home after a mixed five-match run that included three straight wins before stumbling to back-to-back defeats. Homeboyz, meanwhile, limp in after a winless five-game stretch, their last victory now a distant memory.

FKF Premier League●○○

Migori Youth

vs

Mombasa Elite

Migori Youth enter this fixture in strong short-term form, unbeaten in five and conceding just three goals in that stretch, while Mombasa Elite have also kept three clean sheets in their last five. The data points to a low-scoring, closely-fought contest with neither side showing a clear attacking edge.

FKF Premier League●○○

Nairobi United

vs

Bandari

A low-scoring, closely contested match is projected, with neither Nairobi United nor Bandari showing a clear attacking edge in recent form. Both sides have struggled for goals but have maintained defensive discipline, making a draw the statistical baseline.

FKF Premier League●○○

Posta Rangers FC

vs

3K

This fixture projects as a low-scoring, cagey contest, with Posta Rangers FC's slightly superior attacking output and top-flight experience giving them the edge over newly promoted 3K. Both teams have shown defensive solidity in their recent five-match sample, and neither side has a clear attacking talisman to tilt the balance decisively.

FKF Premier League●○○

Shabana

vs

Police

A low-scoring, closely matched contest is projected, with both Shabana and Police struggling to generate attacking output in their recent fixtures. The statistical shape of this fixture points to a draw as the modal outcome, with under 2.

FKF Premier League●●○

Tusker

vs

Mara Sugar

A low-scoring, cagey encounter is likely, with Tusker's home edge and defensive solidity against a Mara Sugar side struggling for attacking output. The underlying rates point to a narrow home win with limited goalmouth action.

FKF Premier League●○○

Ulinzi Stars

vs

Mathare United

Statistically, this fixture projects as a low-scoring, tightly contested affair. Both Ulinzi Stars and Mathare United have averaged exactly one goal per game across their last five matches, with Ulinzi conceding just 0.

Friendlies●●●

Congo DR

vs

Uganda

Congo DR enter this friendly against Uganda with a commanding Elo edge of 261 points (1655 vs 1394), positioning them as clear favourites according to the model. The analytics blend a robust attacking profile for Congo DR, led by S.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

SV Wehen

vs

Karlsruher SC

This friendly brings together two sides with contrasting recent league form but similar underlying scoring rates, pointing to a closely contested encounter. SV Wehen have been solid at home, conceding just three goals in four matches, while Karlsruher SC have struggled defensively on their travels, conceding three in their only away match this season.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

HNK Gorica

vs

Bravo

Statistically, this friendly projects as a low-scoring, closely matched contest between two sides with similar defensive and attacking rates. Both HNK Gorica and Bravo average around a goal scored and conceded per match over their recent runs, and neither side shows a strong home or away bias in the available data.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Lille

vs

Zulte Waregem

A statistical matchup between two open, attack-minded sides with high goals per game rates and limited clean sheet records. Both Lille and Zulte Waregem arrive with proven scoring power but also defensive vulnerabilities, setting the stage for a fixture likely to be shaped by attacking efficiency and transitions.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Petrolul Ploiesti

vs

CS Afumati

Statistically, this friendly is set up for goals. CS Afumati's attack has been prolific, averaging 4.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Piast Gliwice

vs

Wisla Krakow

Both Piast Gliwice and Wisla Krakow arrive on the back of positive recent form, but the underlying season scoring rates and away side's attacking output point to a slight edge for Wisla. Piast have tightened up defensively in their last five (0.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Sigma Olomouc

vs

Žilina

Statistically, this friendly pits a robust home side with a perfect home record over the season against a Žilina team in a hot attacking spell but with defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams' recent matches trend towards goals, with neither consistently keeping clean sheets.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Grasshoppers

vs

Yverdon Sport

Grasshoppers approach this friendly with a record of 14 goals scored and 12 conceded in their six most recent matches, averaging 2. 33 goals for and 2 against per game.

Friendlies Clubs●●○

Lask Linz

vs

First Vienna

Momentum is the story here: Lask Linz’s recent results have been a rollercoaster of high-scoring contests, while First Vienna arrive riding a five-match winning streak and four straight clean sheets. The hosts’ firepower has been on full display, but defensive lapses have crept in, whereas the visitors’ run has been built on discipline and late goals.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Podbeskidzie

vs

Třinec

Statistically, this friendly sets up for a moderately high-scoring contest, with both sides showing a consistent tendency towards games with at least three goals. Podbeskidzie's season-long numbers (1.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Ried

vs

SKU Amstetten

Both Ried and SKU Amstetten arrive with high-scoring profiles and recent attacking momentum, each averaging over two goals per game in their respective league campaigns. Ried's home record is robust, with 16 goals scored in their last seven at home, while Amstetten have been prolific on their travels, netting 13 in six away fixtures.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

Eintracht Frankfurt

vs

Eintracht Braunschweig

Frankfurt arrive in rampant form, their attacking momentum unmissable with 20 goals scored in their last five matches and not a single blank in that span. Braunschweig, by contrast, are in a tailspin—winless in their last five and leaking goals at a rate of three per game, but still showing flashes of attacking intent with only one failure to score in that same period.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Wolfsberger AC

vs

Voitsberg

Statistical signals point to a moderately high-scoring friendly, with Wolfsberger AC's attack outpacing their recent defensive lapses and Voitsberg's consistent BTTS trend likely to continue.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Karviná

vs

Stal Rzeszów

Momentum is the defining feature of this friendly, with both Karviná and Stal Rzeszów arriving off the back of their hottest streaks of the season. Karviná have claimed three wins from their last five, but Stal Rzeszów have gone one better, stringing together five consecutive victories and conceding just three times in that span.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

FC Aarau

vs

BSC Young Boys

Statistically, this fixture projects as a high-scoring contest with Young Boys' offensive firepower likely to overwhelm an Aarau defence leaking over 2. 5 goals per game.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Luckenwalde

vs

Magdeburg II

Luckenwalde limp into this friendly on a five-match losing run, struggling to keep games tight and conceding 2. 4 goals per outing over their last five.

Friendlies Clubs●●○

Ermis

vs

Nea Salamis

This fixture sets up as a statistical mismatch, with Nea Salamis' attacking output and H2H dominance making them clear favourites on the underlying rates. The goal environment projects above average, driven by Nea Salamis' 2.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

Red Bull Salzburg

vs

FC BW Linz

Statistical rates point to a high-scoring contest, with Red Bull Salzburg's attacking output and home advantage likely to decide the outcome. Linz's tendency to be involved in open, BTTS matches raises the goal floor, but their away record suggests defensive vulnerability.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Teplice

vs

Dynamo Dresden

Teplice enter this friendly on a surge, having won four of their last five across competitions and averaging 2. 4 goals per game in that span, while Dynamo Dresden arrive with a more turbulent run, winless in their last four competitive outings but still carrying a potent attack.

Botola Pro●○○

FUS Rabat

vs

Amal Tiznit

Statistical indicators point to a low-scoring contest, with both FUS Rabat and Amal Tiznit struggling for attacking output in recent matches. Home advantage and marginally better defensive numbers tilt the balance towards FUS Rabat, but neither side has demonstrated consistent goal threat.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Rapid

vs

Genoa

Rapid enter this friendly on the crest of a wave, unbeaten in five and having won their last four across all competitions. Their attack is in full flow, with 1.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Grenoble

vs

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Statistical rates point to a moderate-to-high scoring friendly, with Stade Lausanne-Ouchy's prolific attack likely to edge a Grenoble side struggling for consistency. SLO's recent scoring run and Grenoble's defensive frailties shape the expected outcome.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

1. FC Kaiserslautern

vs

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

Statistically, this friendly brings together two sides with above-average attacking output and defensive records that invite goals. Kaiserslautern's recent home form is robust, but Grossaspach's away scoring rate is exceptional for their level.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

FC Saarbrücken

vs

Nancy

Both FC Saarbrücken and Nancy arrive with strong attacking numbers and a tendency for open matches, as reflected in their recent scoring rates and high over 2. 5 goal percentages.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Laval

vs

Rennes

Momentum is the defining theme as Rennes, fresh from a trio of Ligue 1 wins and a robust attacking output, visit a Laval side whose early-season spark has fizzled into a five-match winless run. Laval's recent outings have been marked by defensive frailty, conceding at least two goals in three of their last five, while Rennes have combined clinical finishing with a willingness to press high and create chances in volume.

Botola Pro●●●

Widad Témara

vs

UTS Rabat

This fixture brings together two sides at opposite ends of the form spectrum: Widad Témara are mired in a four-match losing run, while UTS Rabat have found their stride with three wins and two draws in their last five. The visitors' momentum is underpinned by a potent attack and late-game resilience, whereas the hosts have looked toothless, failing to score in three of their last five outings.

Segunda División●○○

Eldense

vs

Oviedo

This fixture pits two of Segunda División’s lowest-scoring sides against each other, with both Eldense and Oviedo struggling for attacking output but showing some defensive resilience. Eldense have yet to win at home and sit 17th, while Oviedo’s away record is a relative bright spot with two wins from three, underpinned by a league-low goals conceded rate on their travels.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Sevilla

vs

Aston Villa

This friendly in Sevilla brings together two sides with contrasting season scoring rates but similar recent defensive records. Sevilla average just 1 goal scored per game both over the season and their last five, but have conceded only 0.

Botola Pro●○○

Ittihad Tanger

vs

Moghreb Tetouan

Momentum is firmly with Ittihad Tanger, who come into this fixture riding a four-game winning streak across all competitions, capped by a 3-1 victory away to Amal Tiznit in their league opener. Moghreb Tetouan, newly promoted, have not played a top-flight match this season but closed their Botola 2 campaign with three wins and two draws, conceding just two goals in their last five.

Serie B●○○

São Bernardo

vs

CRB

This fixture is shaped by two sides with nearly identical scoring rates and defensive records, but São Bernardo's home struggles and CRB's unconvincing away defence flatten the edge for either team. The statistical expectation is a contest with moderate shot volume and a high likelihood of a stalemate, with both teams averaging just under 1.

Serie B●○○

Londrina

vs

Criciuma

This fixture pits relegation-threatened Londrina, 18th in the table, against a Criciuma side holding 6th but on a three-match losing run. Londrina have shown flashes of attacking potency at home, notably the 6-0 demolition of Ponte Preta, but their overall home record (W4 D5 L6) and 1.

Serie B●○○

Juventude

vs

Operario-PR

This is a meeting of Serie B's best home defence and one of its most in-form attacks, with both teams in the promotion race and separated by just three points. Juventude's home record (9W, 4D, 2L, 19:6 goal difference) is built on a disciplined, low-risk approach, while Operario-PR have scored 41 in 29 games and arrive unbeaten in five, averaging 2.

FA Cup●○○

Brentwood Town

vs

Dagenham & Redbridge

This tie brings together a Brentwood Town side in prolific form and a Dagenham & Redbridge outfit with a more measured, defensively sound approach. Brentwood's matches have been high-scoring affairs, while Dagenham's recent cup outings suggest a more balanced threat.

FA Cup●○○

Barton Town Old Boys

vs

Chorley

A statistical clash between a lower-league home side with a strong defensive Cup record and a National League North visitor whose away form is inconsistent but whose underlying rates suggest a narrow edge. The goal environment projects as moderate, with neither side showing a sustained trend for high-scoring games, and the likeliest outcomes cluster around 1-2 goals for Chorley.

FA Cup●○○

Brackley Town

vs

Chelmsford City

Statistically, this fixture presents two sides with similar defensive records and limited attacking output, suggesting a low-scoring, closely contested tie. Brackley Town's recent form is mixed, but their home matches have been tight, while Chelmsford City arrive on the back of four straight draws before a narrow FA Cup win.

FA Cup●●●

Bury

vs

Bromsgrove Sporting

Bury arrive in this FA Cup tie riding a tidal wave of attacking form, having blasted 24 goals in their last five matches and notched three consecutive home wins by scorelines of 5-1, 4-0, and 8-0. Their only recent blemish was a narrow 2-1 away defeat, but their current trajectory is defined by ruthless finishing and a defence that has kept three clean sheets in five.

FA Cup●○○

Bury Town

vs

Spalding United

Momentum is the defining feature of this FA Cup tie, with both Bury Town and Spalding United riding impressive streaks into the fixture. Bury Town have won four of their last five, including high-scoring cup ties, while Spalding United are unbeaten in five and have strung together four consecutive victories.

FA Cup●○○

Buxton

vs

South Shields

Statistically, this is a balanced cup tie between two National League North sides whose recent form points to a moderate goal environment and a slight away edge. Buxton have won four of their last five, but South Shields' attack has produced both a 7-0 cup win and consistent scoring over the last month.

FA Cup●○○

Cambridge City

vs

Alvechurch

Statistically, this tie projects as a high-scoring, closely-matched contest, with both teams showing strong attacking output but some defensive vulnerability in recent fixtures.

FA Cup●○○

Chesham United

vs

Real Bedford

Momentum is the defining feature of this FA Cup tie, with Chesham United and Real Bedford both riding prolific attacking streaks but offering little defensive resistance. Chesham's recent 7-2 demolition of Ware and a 4-1 win at Horsham highlight a side that has rediscovered its scoring touch after a wobble, while Real Bedford arrive on the back of five straight wins, three of them by a margin of at least two goals.

FA Cup●○○

Ebbsfleet United

vs

Sholing

A statistical deadlock is forecast between Ebbsfleet United and Sholing, with both sides showing similar goal output and defensive records in recent outings. The underlying rates point to a contest where neither attack is likely to overwhelm the other, and the draw emerges as the likeliest result.

FA Cup●○○

Guiseley AFC

vs

Bradford (Park Avenue)

Guiseley AFC’s prolific attack, averaging over three goals per game across their last five, faces a Bradford (Park Avenue) side with a more modest output but a solid defensive record in recent weeks. The statistical shape of this fixture points to a match with above-average scoring potential, driven by Guiseley’s high conversion rate and Bradford’s tendency to concede away from home.

FA Cup●○○

Hanwell Town

vs

Dover

A statistical deadlock looms between two sides with modest scoring rates and little to separate them in recent form. Hanwell Town have split their last five evenly between wins, draws and losses, while Dover arrive on a three-match unbeaten run, but neither has produced explosive attacking numbers.

FA Cup●●○

Harborough Town

vs

St Albans City

The statistical shape of this tie is defined by St Albans City's strong away scoring rate and defensive solidity, set against a Harborough Town side struggling to create chances and break down opponents. The away side's recent results point to a high probability of a clean sheet, while the hosts' lack of attacking output makes a low-scoring home performance likely.

FA Cup●○○

Kettering Town

vs

Worcester City

Kettering Town have been marginally more productive in attack, but both teams arrive with solid defensive records and a tendency toward low-scoring affairs. The underlying rates suggest a contest likely to be decided by a single goal, with neither side showing a clear attacking edge.

FA Cup●○○

Leatherhead

vs

Hanworth Villa

Statistically, this FA Cup tie sets up as a high-variance contest between two sides with robust attacking records and recent defensive inconsistencies. Leatherhead average 1.

FA Cup●○○

Leiston

vs

Coventry United

A statistical matchup between two sides with strong early-season cup records but contrasting defensive trends. Leiston's home scoring rate and clean sheet percentage give them an edge, but Coventry United's recent attacking output and BTTS frequency suggest they can threaten.

FA Cup●○○

Macclesfield

vs

Scarborough Athletic

A statistical deadlock is the defining feature of this FA Cup tie, with both Macclesfield and Scarborough Athletic arriving on the back of mixed but closely-matched recent form. The last three head-to-heads have all ended level, and neither side has shown a consistent attacking edge in the weeks leading up to this fixture.

FA Cup●○○

Marine

vs

Warrington Town

The underlying numbers point to a high-scoring, closely contested FA Cup tie between Marine and Warrington Town, with both sides carrying attacking momentum but defensive vulnerabilities. Marine’s home record in this fixture is strong historically, but Warrington Town’s recent scoring rate and clean sheet percentage suggest little to separate the teams on current form.

FA Cup●○○

Morecambe

vs

Darlington 1883

Morecambe have combined a formidable defensive record with efficient attacking output, conceding just twice in their last five and averaging 2. 2 goals scored per match over that run.

FA Cup●○○

Mulbarton Wanderers

vs

Gloucester City

This tie matches a Mulbarton Wanderers side with patchy recent scoring against a Gloucester City outfit whose away form and attacking rate in cup competition have been notably strong. The underlying season rates point to Gloucester City’s attack as the likeliest difference-maker, but Mulbarton’s defensive numbers and home clean sheet suggest they could frustrate for spells.

FA Cup●○○

Oxford City

vs

Enfield Town

Statistical rates suggest a competitive FA Cup tie between two sides in good scoring form, with Enfield Town's higher attacking output slightly outweighing Oxford City's defensive solidity.

FA Cup●○○

Plymouth Parkway

vs

Horsham

Momentum is the defining feature of this FA Cup tie, with Plymouth Parkway riding a five-match winning streak that has seen them combine defensive discipline with clinical finishing. Horsham, by contrast, have struggled for consistency, picking up just one win in their last five and leaking goals at a rate that will concern their supporters.

FA Cup●○○

Redditch United

vs

Berkhamsted

This fixture pairs two sides with strong early-season attacking numbers but contrasting defensive records. Redditch United have combined a 66.

FA Cup●○○

Salisbury

vs

Dulwich Hamlet

Momentum is the defining trait for both Salisbury and Dulwich Hamlet heading into this FA Cup clash. Salisbury have put together an unbeaten five-game run, scoring 12 times and conceding just four, while Dulwich Hamlet are riding a four-match winning streak, including back-to-back 4-1 FA Cup victories.

FA Cup●○○

Sheppey United

vs

Chertsey Town

Chertsey Town arrive with a sharper attacking profile, averaging 2. 6 goals per game across their last five, while Sheppey United's defensive record (1.

FA Cup●○○

Spennymoor Town

vs

Chester

Both Spennymoor Town and Chester enter this FA Cup tie with mixed recent form, each having just one win in their last five league and cup outings. Spennymoor's attack has been more consistent, averaging 1.

FA Cup●○○

Stafford Rangers

vs

Halesowen Town

Stafford Rangers arrive in this FA Cup tie in the midst of a remarkable surge, unbeaten in their last five and stringing together four consecutive wins, including a 3-2 victory over Hereford and a pair of clean-sheet performances. Halesowen Town, meanwhile, have also found their stride with three straight wins, but their form is less convincing away from home, with their last away outing ending in a 3-1 defeat at Redditch United.

FA Cup●○○

Tadley Calleva

vs

Dartford

Momentum is the defining theme as Tadley Calleva and Dartford clash in the FA Cup, with both sides riding multi-game unbeaten streaks. Tadley Calleva have stitched together three straight wins, including a resilient 1-0 away victory at Bishop's Cleeve, but Dartford's recent form is even more emphatic: four consecutive wins, 12 goals scored, and three clean sheets in their last five outings.

FA Cup●○○

Tonbridge Angels

vs

Torquay

Tonbridge Angels and Torquay enter this FA Cup clash with both sides showing strong attacking output in recent weeks, but Torquay's superior conversion rate and head-to-head edge tilt the balance. The statistical profile points to a match with above-average goal expectancy, driven by high recent scoring rates and a lack of clean sheets on both sides.

FA Cup●○○

Trafford

vs

Atherton Collieries

The statistical profile points to a competitive tie with a modest edge for Atherton Collieries, driven by their recent head-to-head superiority and a slightly higher away scoring rate. Both sides are averaging 2.

FA Cup●○○

Weymouth

vs

SE Dons

Both Weymouth and SE Dons arrive in the FA Cup on the back of perfect starts, each winning their opening two matches and averaging 2. 5 goals scored per game.

FA Cup●○○

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

vs

Braintree

Statistically, this is a high-goal expectation tie between two sides whose recent FA Cup and league matches have produced a combined 15 goals in their last four competitive outings. Both AFC Rushden & Diamonds and Braintree are converting chances at a rate of 3.

FA Cup●○○

Bedford Town

vs

Wingate & Finchley

Statistical rates point to a moderately open FA Cup tie, with Wingate & Finchley's recent scoring output and Bedford Town's home edge offsetting each other. Both sides have shown a tendency for goals at both ends, but the away side's higher attacking average and unbeaten away run tilt the probabilities their way.

FA Cup●○○

Cray Wanderers

vs

Chippenham Town

This FA Cup tie brings together two sides with matching league records, each unbeaten in their opening four fixtures and averaging 1. 5 goals scored per game.

FA Cup●○○

Crowborough Athletic

vs

Wimborne Town

This tie features a high-scoring Crowborough Athletic side at home against a Wimborne Town outfit with a defensive streak but limited attacking output. The statistical shape is defined by Crowborough’s 2.

FA Cup●○○

Dorking Wanderers

vs

Chatham Town

Statistically, this tie projects as one of the highest goal environments in the round. Dorking Wanderers' matches have averaged 4.

FA Cup●○○

Gainsborough Trinity

vs

Anstey Nomads

This tie brings together two sides with strong early-season cup form but contrasting scoring profiles. Gainsborough Trinity have alternated between convincing FA Cup wins and blunt league performances, while Anstey Nomads arrive unbeaten in five and averaging 2.

FA Cup●○○

Truro City

vs

Cirencester Town

Statistically, this tie projects as a low-scoring, closely matched FA Cup encounter. Truro City have shown a defensive edge at home, conceding just once in their last three at their own ground, while Cirencester Town arrive with a punchy away scoring rate but little history of breaking down higher-level opposition.

FA Cup●○○

Uxbridge

vs

Hungerford Town

This fixture profiles as a closely matched FA Cup tie between two sides with strong recent attacking output and a history of competitive encounters. Both Uxbridge and Hungerford Town have posted impressive cup form, with Uxbridge unbeaten in their last three and Hungerford Town winning both of their FA Cup ties away from home.

FA Cup●○○

Worksop Town

vs

United of Manchester

This fixture pits two attack-minded sides with leaky defences against each other, as Worksop Town host United of Manchester in the FA Cup. Both teams arrive with impressive scoring records but little evidence of defensive solidity, suggesting a high-tempo, open contest with multiple goals likely.

FA Cup●○○

Thame United

vs

Eastbourne Borough

Momentum is the defining feature heading into this FA Cup tie, with Eastbourne Borough riding a four-game winning streak and Thame United unbeaten in five. Both sides have been prolific in front of goal, but Eastbourne's defensive edge could prove decisive.

Friendlies●○○

Colombia

vs

Paraguay

Colombia enter this international friendly against Paraguay with a notable Elo advantage of +142 points (1975 vs 1833), positioning them as clear favourites according to the model. The analytics blend Colombia's robust attacking profile—highlighted by a finishing factor of 1.

Serie B●●○

Fortaleza EC

vs

Nautico Recife

A clash of home solidity versus away inconsistency, with Fortaleza EC's defensive rates and home record setting the statistical tone. Expect a low-event contest, with the hosts' ability to control matches at home likely to restrict Nautico Recife's output.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Perth Glory

vs

Adelaide United

Adelaide United arrive with a sharper attacking profile, averaging 2. 2 goals per game over their last five and recording three clean sheets in that stretch.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Arges Pitesti

vs

Slatina

Slatina's surge in form is the defining storyline coming into this friendly, as they ride a three-match winning streak and have not tasted defeat in their last four. In contrast, Arges Pitesti are mired in a rut, winless in five and struggling to find the net, with just two goals in that period.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Lokomotiv

vs

FC Orenburg

A statistical matchup between two sides whose recent attacking output has dipped, with Lokomotiv's home defensive record and Orenburg's away bluntness driving a low goal expectation.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Artis

vs

AS Trencin

This friendly features two sides with comparable season-long scoring rates (Artis 1. 7 goals for, 1.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Halmstad

vs

Osters IF

Statistically, this friendly sets up as a high-scoring contest between two sides with porous defences and a history of decisive results in their meetings. Osters IF's away attack (10 goals in 6 away games) faces a Halmstad side conceding 1.

Friendlies Clubs●●○

Hannover 96

vs

Verl

Statistically, this friendly sets up as a high-probability win for Hannover 96, who have swept all seven matches this season with a dominant +20 goal difference and a clean sheet in six of those. Verl, while competitive in 3.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Cracovia Krakow

vs

Nieciecza

Nieciecza's surge in form could not be more pronounced: four consecutive wins, 11 scored and just 4 conceded in their last five, and a remarkable 40 goals in 14 matches this season. Cracovia Krakow, by contrast, are mired in a four-match losing streak, conceding at least two in each of their last three outings.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

SC Freiburg

vs

FC Luzern

This friendly pits a Freiburg side in prolific scoring form against a Luzern team that has combined attacking output with defensive frailty. Both clubs have shown a clear tendency towards high-scoring matches, with their recent games averaging well above three goals per fixture.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Genk

vs

Fortuna Sittard

Both Genk and Fortuna Sittard enter this friendly with similar season-long defensive frailties and above-average goal rates, making a high-scoring contest plausible. Genk's home attack, averaging 2.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Malmo FF

vs

FC Nordsjaelland

Statistically, this friendly features two sides with negative goal differences and a tendency for open, chance-heavy matches. Nordsjaelland's higher scoring rate and greater defensive leakage point to a game with multiple goals, while Malmo FF's recent home solidity and shot volume keep them competitive.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

Waldhof Mannheim

vs

FSV Mainz 05

Mainz 05 arrive with a formidable attacking record, averaging 4. 75 goals per game this season and posting 24 goals in just three away matches.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Radomiak Radom

vs

ŁKS Łódź

Statistically, this friendly sets up as a relatively open contest between two sides who have regularly seen goals in their matches this season. Radomiak's home attack is notably productive, while ŁKS's away scoring has been less reliable, but both teams' defensive numbers point to chances at both ends.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Sandviken

vs

GIF Sundsvall

Statistically, this fixture pitches Sandviken's average attack against one of the division's most prolific travelling sides. GIF Sundsvall's away scoring rate and perfect road record are the key numerical levers, while Sandviken's home defence has struggled to keep clean sheets.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

FC Thun

vs

SC Kriens

FC Thun's home scoring rate (3. 8 goals per match this season) and dominant head-to-head record against SC Kriens set the statistical tone for this friendly.

League Two●○○

Chesterfield

vs

Tranmere

Both Chesterfield and Tranmere arrive on the edge of the playoff places, with just one point separating them after seven rounds. Chesterfield have found momentum with three straight wins in all competitions, averaging 2.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Hammarby FF

vs

Vasteras SK FK

Statistically, this fixture projects as a moderately high-scoring contest between two sides whose season-long attacking output outstrips their defensive reliability. Hammarby’s home record is unbeaten (two draws, three goals scored, three conceded), while Vasteras have struggled away (no wins, four goals scored, six conceded in three matches), suggesting a marginal edge to the hosts.

Segunda División●●●

Albacete

vs

Eibar

Albacete limp into this fixture bottom of the table, winless in seven and having lost four of their last five, while Eibar arrive brimming with confidence after five consecutive victories and just one goal conceded in that span. The contrast in momentum is stark: Albacete’s attack has dried up, failing to score in three of their last five, whereas Eibar’s front line has been ruthless, racking up 11 goals in their last five outings.

Friendlies●○○

Sri Lanka

vs

Djibouti

Two of international football’s lowest-ranked sides meet as Sri Lanka (Elo 827, world #207) host Djibouti (Elo 940, world #194) in a rare friendly. Despite trailing by 113 Elo points, Sri Lanka are marginal favourites, with the model assigning them a 43% chance of victory and projecting a 2-1 scoreline.

Friendlies●○○

Tunisia

vs

Mali

Tunisia and Mali meet in a friendly with the model narrowly favouring the away side, giving Mali a 41% chance of victory compared to Tunisia’s 29%. Despite Tunisia’s slight Elo edge (+40 points, 1636 vs 1596), the analytics point to Mali’s greater attacking threat, especially after recent form adjustments.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Arminia Bielefeld

vs

Rot-Weiß Essen

The underlying rates for both Arminia Bielefeld and Rot-Weiß Essen point to a match with attacking intent from both sides and a strong likelihood of goals at both ends. Bielefeld's season average of 4.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Holstein Kiel

vs

Viborg

Statistically, this friendly sets up as a relatively open contest between a Holstein Kiel side with a strong home scoring record and a Viborg team that struggles for clean sheets on the road. Both teams show attacking intent but lack defensive solidity, especially in recent matches.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

IK brage

vs

Degerfors IF

The statistical profile points to a balanced contest, shaped by both teams’ season-long scoring rates and recent downturns in attacking output. Degerfors IF’s matches have produced 2.

Friendlies Clubs●●○

Jagiellonia

vs

Polonia Warszawa

Jagiellonia's perfect home record and Polonia's leaky away defence set up a contest where the hosts' efficiency at both ends is likely to tell, but Polonia's attacking output means a clean sheet is far from assured.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Llapi

vs

Shkendija

Llapi limp into this friendly battered by a brutal run of form, losing four of their last five matches and conceding four goals in three of those defeats. Shkendija, by contrast, are riding a wave of momentum, with three wins and a draw from their last five and a potent attack averaging 2.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Petrolul Ploiesti

vs

Chindia Targoviste

Statistical rates point to a high-scoring, balanced friendly between two sides with attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities. Petrolul Ploiesti average 1.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Ruch Chorzów

vs

Lechia Gdansk

Both Ruch Chorzów and Lechia Gdansk arrive with attacking momentum, each averaging over 1. 4 goals per game this season and showing a clear tilt towards high-scoring contests in recent weeks.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Varbergs BoIS FC

vs

Kalmar FF

Varbergs BoIS FC come into this friendly with the wind at their backs, having picked up three wins and a draw from their last five and notching eight goals along the way. Their late goals and ability to grind out results—such as the 2-1 away win at Norrby IF and the 3-2 home victory over IK Brage—suggest a side brimming with belief.

Friendlies Clubs●●○

FC Viktoria Köln

vs

1. FC Köln

Statistically, this friendly sets up as a goal-rich encounter between two attacking sides with leaky defences. Viktoria Köln arrive in strong domestic form, but their concession rate and the step up in opposition quality favour 1.

FA WSL●○○

Manchester United W

vs

Liverpool W

Liverpool W's superior attack and Manchester United W's defensive frailty set the statistical tone for this fixture, with the away side's away scoring rate and United's home struggles pointing to an edge for Liverpool.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Aris

vs

Riga

This friendly features two sides with similar recent attacking outputs but a clear difference in defensive reliability, with Riga's matches trending higher scoring and Aris showing volatility at the back.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

Brühl

vs

FC ST. Gallen

Brühl have struggled for defensive solidity, conceding 1. 8 goals per game across their last five and posting just one win in their last six competitive outings.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Dunfermline

vs

Aberdeen

The statistical profile points to a low-scoring, closely contested friendly. Dunfermline arrive with a solid defensive record (0.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

Rodez

vs

Inter Club d'Escaldes

This friendly pits Rodez, a side in the midst of a wild run of high-scoring, error-strewn matches, against an Inter Club d'Escaldes team riding a wave of confidence from three straight wins. Rodez's recent form string of LLLDW belies a potent attack (11 goals in five) but also exposes a defence leaking 13 in the same period.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

Rosenborg

vs

Ostersunds FK

Rosenborg enter this friendly in rampant form, having strung together four consecutive wins and netted a remarkable 18 goals in their last five outings. In stark contrast, Ostersunds FK have struggled to impose themselves in the final third, registering just four goals in their last five and failing to score in three of those matches.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Sandefjord

vs

Fredrikstad

Statistically, this fixture projects as a moderately high-scoring contest between two sides with above-average attacking output and home/away splits that slightly favour Sandefjord. Both teams have demonstrated a capacity to score, but Sandefjord's home scoring rate and Fredrikstad's tendency to concede away point to a narrow home advantage.

Premier League●●●

Airbus UK

vs

Trefelin

Airbus UK enter this clash with the wind at their backs, having rediscovered their scoring touch at The Airfield with 10 goals in their last three home matches. Trefelin, by contrast, are mired in a winless run that stretches all season, and their recent form string of DLLDL reflects a side struggling for both confidence and solutions at both ends of the pitch.

Premier League●○○

Ammanford AFC

vs

Holywell

Statistically, this is a meeting between the league's two lowest-ranked sides, both winless after ten matches, but Holywell's attack has been marginally more productive and the defensive numbers point to a high-scoring contest.

Premier League●●●

Briton Ferry

vs

Colwyn Bay

Colwyn Bay are riding a wave of momentum, having won three on the bounce while racking up 12 goals in that span. Briton Ferry, by contrast, are mired in a five-match winless run and have struggled badly at the back, conceding 13 in their last five.

Premier League●○○

Caernarfon Town

vs

Barry Town

This fixture matches two of the league’s most attack-minded sides, both averaging over 2. 5 goals per game and sitting level on 22 points from 10 matches.

Premier League●○○

GAP Connah S Quay FC

vs

Penybont

Momentum collides with resilience as Penybont, unbeaten and surging with four consecutive wins, travel to an Essity Stadium where Connah’s Quay have lost just once all season. Both sides have been relentless in front of goal recently, but it’s Penybont’s knack for striking early and often that could tilt the balance in a fixture with real implications for the title race.

Premier League●●○

Haverfordwest County AFC

vs

Flint Town United

Haverfordwest County are riding the crest of a form wave, having transformed a dire start into a three-win surge that’s pulled them clear of the bottom. Flint Town United, by contrast, are stuck in a rut: ten games without a win, eight defeats, and a defence that’s leaking goals at a worrying rate.

Premier League●○○

Llandudno

vs

Cardiff MET

This fixture pits Llandudno's strong home record against Cardiff MET's robust away defence and more consistent goal output. Llandudno have stumbled recently, while Cardiff MET's away form and scoring rates give them a statistical edge.

Premier League●●●

The New Saints

vs

Cambrian & Clydach

Momentum is the defining feature of this fixture, with The New Saints riding a wave of five straight wins and a perfect home record, while Cambrian & Clydach arrive reeling from a 9-1 away defeat but had previously shown attacking promise. The home side's form and defensive solidity set the tone, but the visitors' recent scoring streak hints at a match with goals at both ends.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

FC St. Pauli

vs

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Momentum is the story here: St. Pauli have steadied after a wobbly patch, but Gladbach arrive with a deceptive losing streak that belies their attacking output.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

VfL Osnabrück

vs

Djurgardens IF

Statistically, this fixture matches two sides with above-average attacking outputs but contrasting defensive reliability. Osnabrück's recent matches have been high-scoring, but their defensive record is patchy, while Djurgardens IF arrive with a strong run of results and a notable second-half scoring bias.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

Kundl

vs

Wacker Innsbruck

This friendly brings together a Kundl side with a leaky but potent attack and a Wacker Innsbruck team operating at a higher competitive level, with both recent form and historical meetings pointing the visitors' way. The statistical profile suggests a match tilted towards goals, with Wacker Innsbruck's superior scoring rate and Kundl's defensive frailty likely to dictate the outcome.

Serie B●○○

Avai

vs

Ceara

Statistically, this is a meeting of two sides with nearly identical season-long scoring and concession rates, both struggling to keep clean sheets and rarely pulling clear of opponents. The distribution of outcomes is broad but weighted toward a draw, with a slight lean to Ceara based on away form and head-to-head record.

League Two●○○

Accrington ST

vs

Cheltenham

This is a high-variance League Two fixture between a leaky Accrington side and a Cheltenham team with a strong attacking rate but defensive vulnerabilities. Both sides are trending towards high-scoring matches, and Cheltenham's away output gives them the statistical edge.

League Two●○○

Barnet

vs

York

Statistically, this fixture projects as a high-scoring contest between two attack-minded sides, with Barnet's home output and York's away defensive frailty driving the goal expectation. Barnet's unbeaten start and prolific scoring at The Hive contrast with York's struggles to secure points on the road, despite their own attacking intent.

League Two●○○

Colchester

vs

Port Vale

This fixture pits a Colchester side with a solid home base against a Port Vale team struggling badly on the road. With both teams showing limited attacking output and Port Vale especially blunt away, the numbers point to a low-scoring contest with the home side more likely to edge it.

League Two●○○

Crewe

vs

Bristol Rovers

Crewe’s unbeaten start is built on defensive stability and a high draw rate, while Bristol Rovers’ campaign has been defined by home strength and away volatility. The underlying rates suggest a contest where neither side is likely to dominate, with Crewe’s low concession rate (0.

League Two●○○

Exeter City

vs

Rotherham

A meeting of two sides trending in opposite directions offensively, this fixture is shaped by Exeter's defensive solidity at home and Rotherham's higher but inconsistent attacking output. Exeter average just 0.

League Two●○○

Gillingham

vs

Newport County

Statistically, this is a fixture where Gillingham's robust home form and Newport's travel struggles define the shape of the contest. Gillingham's attack is trending up, averaging 2.

League Two●●○

Grimsby

vs

Shrewsbury

This fixture pits a Grimsby side with one of the league's stingiest home defences against a Shrewsbury team struggling for attacking output on their travels. The underlying rates point to a low-scoring contest, with Grimsby's home goal difference (+5 from 4 games) and Shrewsbury's away scoring drought (one goal in four) setting the statistical tone.

League Two●○○

Northampton

vs

Oldham

A low-scoring, attritional contest is the statistical baseline at Sixfields, with neither Northampton nor Oldham showing much attacking efficiency or defensive collapse. Both sides have struggled for goals—Northampton averaging just 0.

League Two●○○

Rochdale

vs

Swindon Town

Momentum is swinging towards Rochdale, who have stabilised after a rocky start and now look to exploit a Swindon Town side stuck in a rut. The hosts' recent home form and defensive solidity contrast sharply with Swindon's ongoing travel woes and blunt attack away from home.

League Two●○○

Salford City

vs

Fleetwood Town

Statistically, this is a mid-table League Two contest between two sides with near-identical scoring and defensive records, both sitting on 10 points from 7 matches. Salford City have made Peninsula Stadium a relative fortress (3 wins from 4 at home, conceding only twice), while Fleetwood Town have been hard to beat on their travels, losing just once in four away outings.

League Two●●○

Walsall

vs

Crawley Town

Walsall enter this fixture riding a wave of early-season momentum, unbeaten in League Two and sitting second in the table, while Crawley Town are mired in a four-game losing streak and rooted to the bottom. The home side's defensive solidity has been a key theme, with three clean sheets in their last five league matches and just four goals conceded all season.

League One●○○

AFC Wimbledon

vs

Stevenage

AFC Wimbledon host Stevenage in a fixture shaped by defensive reliability and modest attacking output. Wimbledon have yet to concede at Plough Lane this season (4 home matches, 2 goals scored, 0 conceded), while Stevenage have allowed just 3 goals in 4 away league outings.

League One●○○

Barnsley

vs

Milton Keynes Dons

Both Barnsley and Milton Keynes Dons have struggled for wins early in the League One campaign, with the hosts leaking goals at home and the visitors proving hard to beat but unable to convert draws into victories. The underlying rates point to a contest between two sides whose defensive frailties and moderate attacking output have led to a high frequency of draws and BTTS outcomes.

League One●○○

Blackpool

vs

Leicester

Leicester arrive at Bloomfield Road riding a wave of attacking momentum, while Blackpool are mired in a defensive crisis. The visitors’ recent surge in goals and shot creation stands in stark contrast to a home side leaking nearly three goals per game over their last five.

League One●○○

Bromley

vs

Wycombe

This fixture pits a leaky Bromley defence (2. 57 conceded per game) against a Wycombe side with a clear attacking edge and a three-match winning streak.

League One●○○

Burton Albion

vs

Huddersfield

Statistical indicators point to a competitive, open contest at the Pirelli Stadium, with Huddersfield's defensive solidity on the road tested by Burton's high-scoring but leaky home form.

League One●●○

Leyton Orient

vs

Plymouth

Plymouth ride into East London with the division’s hottest hand, having rattled off four consecutive wins and scoring 15 goals in that spell. Leyton Orient, by contrast, have struggled to find consistency at home, losing three of their four league fixtures at Brisbane Road and conceding eight goals in the process.

League One●○○

Luton

vs

Doncaster

Statistically, this fixture profiles as a low-to-moderate scoring contest between two sides in the bottom third of League One, both with negative goal differences and limited attacking output. Luton's home record (1W, 2D, 1L, 5-4 GF-GA) is marginally stronger than Doncaster's away (1W, 1D, 2L, 5-5 GF-GA), but neither side exerts dominance in either phase.

League One●○○

Peterborough

vs

Notts County

Both Peterborough and Notts County enter this fixture with modest attacking outputs and defensive vulnerabilities, as reflected in their season-long scoring rates (Peterborough 0. 57 goals for, 1.

League One●○○

Reading

vs

Bradford

Momentum collides with firepower as Reading’s free-scoring home form meets a Bradford side riding a five-match winning streak, all built on defensive solidity. Reading have netted 13 goals in four home league games and have not failed to score in any of their last five, while Bradford have conceded just two goals in their last five league outings, keeping three clean sheets and winning three straight away.

League One●○○

Sheffield Wednesday

vs

Cambridge United

This fixture brings together two of League One’s early-season pacesetters, both with strong underlying numbers but contrasting home and away records. Sheffield Wednesday have been near-impenetrable at the back, conceding just 0.

League One●○○

Wigan

vs

Mansfield Town

Both Wigan and Mansfield Town have struggled to keep clean sheets this season, with each managing just one in their last five league outings. Wigan’s home attack has been blunt, averaging 0.

National League●○○

Aldershot Town

vs

Carlisle

Aldershot's defensive solidity at home and Carlisle's bluntness on the road point to a low-scoring, closely contested fixture. Both sides' overall rates suggest a narrow margin, with Aldershot's home record and Carlisle's away form nearly cancelling each other out.

National League●○○

Barrow

vs

Wealdstone

Barrow and Wealdstone meet with both sides seeking traction in the lower half of the National League table. Barrow have stabilised after a poor start, taking 8 points from their last 5, while Wealdstone have shown a sharper attack lately but remain defensively vulnerable, especially on the road.

National League●○○

Boreham Wood

vs

Altrincham

This fixture sets up as a high-scoring contest between the league leaders Boreham Wood and mid-table Altrincham, both of whom have leaned heavily towards open games this season. Boreham Wood have been relentless at home, averaging 2.

National League●○○

Eastleigh

vs

Woking

The statistical profile points to a low-event contest between two sides with limited attacking output and a recent trend towards draws in their direct meetings. Eastleigh's unbeaten home record (3W, 2D) is offset by a modest scoring average, while Woking's away struggles (0W, 1D, 3L, 1 goal scored in 4 away) cap their ceiling.

National League●●●

Gateshead

vs

Worthing

Momentum is everything in football, and this fixture pits a Gateshead side in full-blown crisis against a Worthing outfit riding the crest of a form wave. Gateshead have not tasted victory since the opening fortnight, collecting just one point from their last eight league outings and conceding 20 goals in nine matches.

National League●○○

Harrogate Town

vs

AFC Hornchurch

Statistically, this fixture sets up as a clash between one of the league's most prolific attacks and a visiting side whose away defensive record is a clear vulnerability. Harrogate Town's home scoring rate and Hornchurch's away concession rate point to a match with above-average goal expectation.

National League●○○

Hartlepool

vs

Tamworth

Hartlepool limp into this fixture on the back of four straight defeats, their last win now a distant memory and their attack firing blanks in two of the last three. Tamworth, by contrast, have just snapped their own winless run with a morale-boosting 2-1 victory over Wealdstone and have shown a consistent knack for finding the net, even as their defence remains porous.

National League●●○

Kidderminster Harriers

vs

Sutton Utd

Kidderminster Harriers arrive as one of the division’s form sides, unbeaten in five and boasting a defence that has conceded just twice in that stretch. Sutton Utd, by contrast, are searching for answers after three defeats in their last five, with a blunt attack and no clean sheets in that run.

National League●○○

Scunthorpe

vs

Forest Green

This fixture pits a struggling Scunthorpe side, 22nd in the National League with just two wins from nine, against a Forest Green team sitting mid-table and showing greater attacking output. Scunthorpe's home record is unconvincing—just one win and six goals conceded from four at the Attis Arena—while Forest Green have been steady away, taking seven points from a possible twelve and conceding only four times on the road.

National League●●○

Solihull Moors

vs

FC Halifax Town

Solihull Moors have endured a torrid start, sitting 23rd with just one win and the league's worst defensive record at 2. 56 goals conceded per game.

National League●○○

Southend

vs

AFC Fylde

This fixture pairs two of the National League's most prolific attacks, each averaging over two goals per game and ranking in the top four. Southend's home record (3W, 1L) is mirrored by AFC Fylde's strong away form (4W, 1L), and neither side has managed a clean sheet in their last five outings.

National League●○○

Yeovil Town

vs

Boston United

Goal rates for both Yeovil Town and Boston United are well above National League averages, with Yeovil's home attack (2. 4 goals/game at Huish Park) facing a Boston side that concedes 1.

Friendlies●●●

India

vs

Brazil

A vast gulf in pedigree and recent form separates India and Brazil as they meet in this World Cup 2026 international friendly. The analytics model assigns Brazil an overwhelming Elo advantage of 846 points (1984 vs 1138), translating into a near-certain expected score share of 0.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Slask Wroclaw

vs

Slovan Liberec

Slovan Liberec arrive in Wrocław riding a wave of momentum, unbeaten in their last five with four wins and a draw, and conceding just a single goal in that stretch. Śląsk Wrocław, by contrast, are in the midst of a sharp downturn, having lost three consecutive league matches despite scoring in each.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

FC Winterthur

vs

FC Basel 1893

Momentum collides with pedigree as a resurgent Winterthur, riding a three-match winning streak, host a Basel side whose attack remains potent but whose defence has unravelled in recent weeks. While Basel's historical dominance in this fixture is undeniable, their recent run of just one win in five and a porous back line set the stage for a far more open contest than previous meetings.

Segunda División●○○

Almeria

vs

Burgos

Almeria and Burgos both arrive in the top six, separated by a single point after six matches, with Almeria boasting a perfect home record and Burgos showing resilience away. Both sides have identical season scoring rates at 1.

Friendlies●●●

Russia

vs

Namibia

Russia enter this international friendly with a commanding Elo advantage of 473 points over Namibia (1776 vs 1303), reflecting their 27th world ranking compared to Namibia's 134th. The model's final expected goals line, after all adjustments, sits at 2.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

GKS Katowice

vs

Baník Ostrava

Statistical rates point to a moderately high-scoring friendly, with GKS Katowice's strong home attack (2. 09 goals per game season average) facing a Baník Ostrava side that has conceded 2.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

KV Mechelen

vs

Karpaty

This friendly sees a Mechelen side in a scoring rut host a Karpaty team with a more consistent attacking output and a recent run of positive results. The numbers point to a contest where the away side’s offensive reliability meets a home defence that has struggled to keep clean sheets lately.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Orebro SK

vs

United Nordic

Orebro SK and United Nordic meet in a friendly with both sides showing attacking intent but defensive frailties in recent matches. United Nordic's superior season-long scoring rate (2.

Botola Pro●○○

Hassania Agadir

vs

Maghreb Fès

Statistically, this fixture profiles as a low-scoring, tightly contested game. Hassania Agadir's attack has sputtered, producing just 0.

Friendlies Clubs●○○

Stade Brestois 29

vs

Monza

This friendly pits two sides with leaky defences and above-average attacking output, as Brest and Monza both arrive averaging over 2 goals conceded per game this season. The underlying rates point to a high-scoring, open contest, with neither side consistently keeping clean sheets and both showing a tendency for matches to go over 2.

Friendlies Clubs●●●

Turan

vs

Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe's superior scoring rate and defensive record point to a one-sided contest, with Turan likely to struggle for clear chances. The data signals a high probability of a clean sheet for the visitors and a multi-goal margin.

Segunda División●○○

Cadiz

vs

Leganes

Cadiz limp into this fixture mired in a three-match losing run, their early-season optimism evaporating as they sit 19th without a win from six attempts. Leganes, by contrast, have built real momentum with three victories in their last five, including a spirited 3-2 win over Granada, and have climbed into the top half of the table.

Segunda División●●○

Sabadell

vs

FC Andorra

Momentum could hardly be more divergent as Sabadell, riding a wave of confidence at home, welcome an FC Andorra side mired in a losing spiral. Sabadell's recent surge—three wins in four, including a 3-1 dispatch of Oviedo—contrasts sharply with Andorra's five consecutive defeats, each marked by defensive frailty and a lack of cutting edge away from home.

Friendlies●●○

Canada

vs

Peru

Canada enter this international friendly against Peru with a notable Elo advantage of +149 points, further boosted by a 60-point host bonus. The model rates Canada as the 25th strongest side globally, compared to Peru's 47th, and this gap is reflected in the predicted scoreline of 2-1 in favour of the hosts.

Botola Pro●○○

CODM Meknès

vs

Kawkab Marrakech

All available indicators point to a tightly contested, low-scoring fixture. Both CODM Meknès and Kawkab Marrakech have struggled to produce high shot volumes or sustained attacking pressure in recent outings, with neither side averaging above 1.

Botola Pro●○○

Difaa EL Jadida

vs

Wydad AC

Difaa EL Jadida enter this fixture with a tailwind, having avoided defeat in four of their last five and showing a knack for finding the net in every recent game. In stark contrast, Wydad AC are mired in a five-match losing streak, struggling badly for goals and confidence.