Serie A
Mirassol
Atletico-MGMirassol approach this fixture with a sense of upward momentum, having collected two wins in their last four and showing renewed attacking intent at home. In contrast, Atletico-MG are mired in a five-match losing streak across all competitions, their output blunted and confidence visibly shaken.
Friendlies
Bahrain
YemenBahrain enter this friendly with a commanding Elo advantage of +267 points over Yemen (1418 vs 1151), positioning them as clear favourites on paper. However, the model's probabilities reflect a more nuanced outlook, granting Bahrain just a 44% chance of victory, with Yemen's win probability at 31% and the draw at 24%.
Friendlies
Japan
BrazilJapan welcome Brazil to the National Stadium in Kallang for a friendly that the analytics model expects to be both competitive and open. Brazil enter with an authoritative Elo advantage of 80 points (1984 vs 1904), translating to a 46.
Friendlies Clubs
PK-35
Inter Turku IIPK-35's defensive solidity and home edge contrast with Inter Turku II's recent attacking surge but leaky away record. The numbers point to a competitive match with a moderate goal expectation and a slight tilt towards the hosts.
Friendlies Clubs
Legia Warszawa
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiLegia Warszawa come into this friendly with a clear edge in momentum, having lost just once in their last 15 matches across all competitions and boasting a formidable home record. Pogoń Grod.
Friendlies Clubs
CSKA Moscow
Arsenal TulaStatistically, this fixture projects as a high-scoring, balanced contest. Both CSKA Moscow and Arsenal Tula enter with nearly identical season scoring (1.
Friendlies Clubs
Obolon'-Brovar
Nyva VinnytsyaObolon'-Brovar's defensive stability and home scoring rate set them up as clear favourites against a Nyva Vinnytsya side that has struggled badly away from home. The underlying rates point to a low-scoring match, with the home side's ability to keep clean sheets and the visitors' lack of attacking output the decisive factors.
Friendlies Clubs
Widzew Łódź
Unia SkierniewiceStatistically, this friendly brings together two sides with above-average attacking output and only moderate defensive records. Widzew Łódź have not lost in ten competitive outings this season and average over two goals per game at home, while Unia Skierniewice, though from a lower division, have posted a strong 2.
2. Frauen Bundesliga
Carl Zeiss Jena W
FC Koln II WThis fixture sets a mid-table Carl Zeiss Jena W side against a struggling Koln II W, whose defensive frailties and lack of attacking output have left them bottom of the 2. Frauen Bundesliga.
Friendlies
China
MalaysiaDespite China holding a 130-point Elo advantage and home turf at Tianhe Stadium, the model gives Malaysia a 48% chance of victory in this international friendly. China's recent struggles in front of goal and a downward momentum adjustment have significantly dampened their expected output, while Malaysia's recent form has been notably strong, reflected in their boosted attacking projection.
Friendlies Clubs
BFC Dynamo
Tasmania BerlinStatistically, this fixture projects as a moderately high-scoring contest between two sides with similar attacking output but contrasting recent defensive records. BFC Dynamo's defensive solidity—just one goal conceded in their last four matches—contrasts with Tasmania Berlin's volatility, whose last five have averaged 4.
Friendlies Clubs
Novi Pazar
Otrant-OlympicThis fixture features two sides with negative goal differences but recent attacking momentum. Novi Pazar come in off a 2-0 home win and have three victories in their last five, while Otrant-Olympic have scored seven goals across their last two outings, including a 4-1 away win.
League Two
Exeter City
CheltenhamThis fixture brings together Exeter City's defensive solidity at home and Cheltenham's high-variance, goal-heavy away profile. Exeter are unbeaten at St James Park (W4 D3 L0, 8 scored, 2 conceded), while Cheltenham have struggled on the road (W1 D2 L4, 9 scored, 15 conceded) but carry a much higher season scoring average.
Segunda División
Valladolid
CastellónStatistically, this is a clash between a mid-table home side with attacking intent and the division’s most consistent defensive outfit. Valladolid’s home matches average 4.
2. Frauen Bundesliga
Bochum W
Hoffenheim II WBochum W's dominant home defensive record meets Hoffenheim II W's persistent away struggles, setting up a fixture where the hosts' attacking rate and clean sheet frequency shape the statistical outlook. The underlying goal environment is high, with both sides involved in matches averaging at least 3.
2. Frauen Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt II W
Viktoria Berlin WViktoria Berlin W are riding a wave of momentum with five consecutive wins, while Eintracht Frankfurt II W have struggled for consistency, alternating between narrow victories and defeats. The away side's defensive discipline and efficiency in front of goal have set them apart, and Frankfurt's blunt attack faces a stern test.
Friendlies
Palestine
IranPalestine take on Iran in a World Cup 2026 friendly, with the analytics model tipping Iran as slight favourites. The Elo ratings show a substantial gap—Palestine's 1469 lags 291 points behind Iran's 1760, translating to a low 15.
Friendlies Clubs
Zorya Luhansk
FC KharkivFC Kharkiv arrive in Luhansk riding a remarkable four-match winning streak, having edged each of their last four opponents by a single goal and scoring exactly twice in each contest. Zorya, meanwhile, have lost just once in five and have found a new attacking rhythm, averaging 1.
Friendlies Clubs
Ried
First ViennaRied approach this friendly with a mixed recent record but a clear attacking identity, having scored 22 and conceded 22 in 11 competitive matches this season. Their last five have produced 10 goals for and 10 against, with both teams scoring in all five.
FA WSL
Chelsea W
Manchester City WChelsea W enter this top-of-the-table clash with momentum at their backs, riding a five-match winning streak that has seen them average four goals per game and keep three clean sheets. Manchester City W, though unbeaten in eight and level on points, have looked less watertight of late, conceding in each of their last five and relying on late goals to salvage results.
Friendlies Clubs
PAOK
FK PartizanStatistically, this friendly sets up as a high-scoring contest between two sides with strong recent attacking output but notable defensive leaks. PAOK average 3.
League Two
Bristol Rovers
ChesterfieldMarket prices this as an even contest, but Chesterfield's offensive numbers and Bristol Rovers' defensive issues tilt the model's probabilities towards the visitors. The away side's edge is most pronounced in attack, with a strong recent scoring record and a habit of scoring early, while Rovers struggle to keep clean sheets and have lost three of their last five.
League Two
Colchester
GillinghamThis fixture pits a Colchester side struggling for attacking output and momentum against a Gillingham team with a notably stronger away record and a consistent scoring threat. Gillingham's underlying numbers on the road—1.
League Two
Crewe
Newport CountyStatistically, this fixture profiles as a low-to-moderate scoring contest between a Crewe side that draws heavily at home and a Newport County team that struggles for away wins. Both teams' season-long scoring and concession rates converge around 1.
League Two
Port Vale
Accrington STStatistically, this fixture shapes up as one of League Two's more balanced encounters, with Port Vale's strong home defensive record offsetting Accrington's higher season-long scoring rate. Both sides have recent momentum—Vale unbeaten at home, Accrington with just three losses in fourteen—and neither is likely to dominate the shot count.
League Two
Rochdale
YorkThis fixture pits a Rochdale side in a steep defensive slump against a York team whose away record belies their top-seven standing. The model expects a high-probability goal environment, with York’s superior attack likely to exploit Rochdale’s recent frailties, but the away side’s own defensive record on the road (16 conceded in 7) keeps the door open for the hosts.
League Two
Rotherham
Crawley TownBoth sides enter this fixture languishing at the foot of League Two, with Rotherham 22nd and Crawley Town 24th. Rotherham's recent form is poor, having failed to win in five (LLDDL) and conceding 10 goals in that span, while Crawley at least arrive off a rare away win but have only two victories in twelve league matches.
League Two
Salford City
NorthamptonSalford City come into this fixture riding a remarkable wave of momentum, having won each of their last five league games and surging to the top of League Two. In contrast, Northampton's recent form is patchy, with just two wins in their last seven and a worrying lack of goals, especially away from home.
League Two
Shrewsbury
OldhamBookmakers are struggling to split Shrewsbury and Oldham, with the away side a marginal favourite but both priced above 2. 4 to win.
League Two
Swindon Town
GrimsbyThis fixture pits Swindon's defensive solidity at home against Grimsby's recent attacking surge, with both sides trending towards high-scoring outcomes. Grimsby's away attack has been notably productive, while Swindon's home form keeps them competitive but rarely dominant.
League Two
Walsall
BarnetThis fixture matches two of League Two's most consistent attacking outfits, with Walsall's home record (10 scored, 6 conceded in six) up against a Barnet side who are unbeaten away and averaging over two goals per game this season. The statistical profile points to a high-scoring contest, as neither side has shown much ability to shut games down: Barnet have yet to keep a clean sheet in any league match, while Walsall's recent defensive numbers have softened (1.
League One
AFC Wimbledon
BlackpoolTwo struggling sides meet in South London, but the data points to Blackpool's superior attacking output and Wimbledon's defensive frailties as the key factors. The market installs Blackpool as a marginal favourite, and the model agrees, with a slight edge on the away win price.
League One
Bromley
Notts CountyBromley enter this fixture rooted to the foot of League One, winless in their last five and leaking goals at an alarming rate, while Notts County have found a spark, picking up three wins and a draw in their last five and doubling their scoring output compared to earlier in the season. The contrast in momentum is stark: Bromley’s defensive woes have deepened, conceding 13 in their last five, while Notts County have conceded just four in the same span, including two clean sheets.
League One
Doncaster
Leyton OrientThis fixture pits a Doncaster side with one of the league's leakiest defences against a Leyton Orient team whose away record is built on defensive solidity and efficiency. Doncaster's home form is patchy, while Leyton Orient are disciplined travellers with a positive goal difference on the road.
League One
Leicester
BradfordLeicester's high-scoring home matches meet a Bradford side with the league's tightest defence and a strong away record. The statistical profile points to a low-scoring, closely contested fixture, with both teams' season-long rates converging on a 1-1 draw as the modal outcome.
League One
Luton
Cambridge UnitedLuton arrive at Kenilworth Road riding a wave of momentum, unbeaten in their last five league matches (DWWWW) and surging up to fourth in the table. Their recent form is underpinned by a potent attack, averaging 2.
League One
Milton Keynes Dons
Burton AlbionMomentum is squarely with Milton Keynes Dons, whose recent run has transformed their season. After a heavy 1-5 defeat to Reading, they have rattled off four wins in five, capped by a 6-1 demolition of Doncaster and a 4-1 victory over Bromley, both at home.
League One
Peterborough
Oxford UnitedOxford United travel to Peterborough carrying the division's most consistent recent form, having taken 11 points from their last five and conceding just twice in that run. The hosts, meanwhile, are mired in a two-game losing streak and have not won in five, with their attack and defence both underperforming key metrics.
League One
Sheffield Wednesday
PlymouthStatistically, Sheffield Wednesday's home defensive record (5 goals conceded in 7 at Hillsborough) meets a Plymouth side that scores 1. 86 per away game but concedes 1.
League One
Stevenage
Mansfield TownStatistically, this fixture projects as a balanced contest between two sides whose season-long scoring and concession rates are closely matched. Stevenage average 1.
League One
Stockport County
ReadingStockport County's strong home scoring rate (2. 29 goals per game at Edgeley Park) meets a Reading side that have struggled to create away (just 1.
League One
Wigan
BarnsleyA clash between two of League One's lowest scorers with nearly identical defensive records and a remarkable tendency to draw head-to-head matches. Wigan's home record (3W, 1D, 3L) is only marginally better than Barnsley's away (1W, 1D, 4L), and both sides have conceded at least 1.
League One
Wycombe
HuddersfieldThis fixture brings together a Huddersfield side with the league's most consistent away results and a Wycombe team whose home matches have been high-event affairs, particularly in terms of goals and corners. Huddersfield's attack is the standout unit, while Wycombe's defensive numbers at Adams Park remain vulnerable.
National League
Carlisle
Boston UnitedCarlisle arrive at Brunton Park as one of the form teams in the National League, riding a four-match winning streak that has reignited their promotion push. Boston United, while still sitting 19th, have pieced together three consecutive wins of their own after a run of heavy defeats, suggesting a side rediscovering belief.
National League
Eastleigh
AFC FyldeStatistically, this fixture projects as an above-average goal environment with AFC Fylde's away attack (1. 88 goals/game) facing an Eastleigh defence conceding 1.
National League
Gateshead
BarrowGateshead limp into this clash rooted to the foot of the table, their only win in any competition coming in the National League Cup against Stoke City U21s. A run of three straight defeats in all competitions was only broken by that cup win, but their league form remains dire, with just four points from fifteen games and a -25 goal difference.
National League
Harrogate Town
AltrinchamHarrogate Town's home scoring rate of 2. 88 per game is the standout figure in this fixture, but Altrincham's away record—four wins in eight, with 1.
National League
Hartlepool
WealdstoneThis fixture pits two sides with leaky defences and modest attacking output, but Wealdstone's away form and recent scoring trends give them the statistical edge. Hartlepool have lost 11 of 16 league matches and failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five, while Wealdstone have found the net in every one of their last five outings and boast three away wins this season.
National League
AFC Hornchurch
TamworthStatistically, this match projects as one of the National League's higher-scoring contests, with both Hornchurch and Tamworth conceding over 1. 6 goals per game and combining for a league-high 74.
National League
Kidderminster Harriers
FC Halifax TownThe market rates this as a dead-even contest, but recent data tilts slightly towards FC Halifax Town, whose attacking numbers and away over 2. 5 goal rate outstrip Kidderminster’s more conservative profile.
National League
Scunthorpe
WorthingScunthorpe's defensive frailty (2. 0 goals conceded per game, lowest clean sheet rate in the division) meets a Worthing side that travels well (4W, 2D, 1L away, 15GF, 11GA) but is not immune to conceding.
National League
Southend
Aldershot TownBookmakers have Southend as heavy favourites at Roots Hall, but the data paints a more nuanced picture: Southend's attack is prolific (2. 38 goals per game, 38 scored in 16), yet their defensive record is suspect, with just one clean sheet all season and 13 goals conceded in 7 home matches.
National League
Sutton Utd
Solihull MoorsStatistically, this fixture sets up as a high-goal environment: both teams combine for 61 goals conceded in 32 league matches, and Solihull Moors' away games average nearly 5 goals per match. Sutton Utd's attack has found rhythm at home, while Solihull Moors' defensive frailty on the road remains their defining feature.
National League
Woking
Forest GreenA mid-table clash with both sides showing attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities, the statistical profile points to a match with above-average goal probability and a slight edge for the visitors. Woking's home defensive record (14 conceded in 8) and Forest Green's high over 2.
National League
Yeovil Town
Boreham WoodBoreham Wood arrive at Huish Park riding a wave of momentum, unbeaten in 16 league matches and boasting a five-game winning streak that has seen them average four goals per game. Yeovil Town, by contrast, have stumbled recently—two defeats in their last three, including a 0-2 away loss at FC Halifax Town, have checked their early-season progress and exposed defensive vulnerabilities.
FA Trophy
AFC Telford United
Chelmsford CityAFC Telford United approach this FA Trophy tie on the back of a strong five-game run (WWDWL), averaging 1. 6 goals scored and 1.
FA Trophy
Alfreton Town
SouthportA statistical deadlock is in play between Alfreton Town and Southport, with neither side showing a decisive edge in recent output. Alfreton have averaged 1.
FA Trophy
Avro
ChesterAvro face a significant step up in class as they host Chester in the FA Trophy, bringing patchy league form (DLWWL) and a recent home win over Hyde United. Chester arrive from the National League North with a mixed run (LWLWL) but have consistently found the net, only failing to score once in their last five.
FA Trophy
Bath City
Truro CityMomentum collides at Twerton Park as Bath City and Truro City both ride four-match winning streaks into this FA Trophy tie. Bath have built their run on defensive resilience, conceding just once in their last five and shutting out opponents in four straight.
FA Trophy
Bedford Town
Chesham UnitedA low-scoring contest is projected at The Eyrie, with both Bedford Town and Chesham United entering off patchy form and limited attacking output. Bedford have managed just two goals in their last five outings, while Chesham have only fared marginally better with four, but have also conceded heavily of late.
FA Trophy
Billericay Town
Waltham AbbeyThis fixture brings together two sides in strong attacking form, with Billericay Town averaging three goals per game across their last five and Waltham Abbey posting 2. 6 in the same span.
FA Trophy
Bourne Town
Bromsgrove SportingBoth sides enter this FA Trophy tie on the back of unbeaten runs in the competition, with Bourne Town boasting a perfect 4-0-0 record and Bromsgrove Sporting also yet to taste defeat. Bourne Town have won three on the spin, including a 1-0 home victory over Banbury United, while Bromsgrove Sporting's recent 5-1 away win at Leighton Town highlights their attacking threat.
FA Trophy
Braintree
Kettering TownKettering Town's prolific attack, averaging 3. 4 goals per game across their last five, faces a Braintree side whose recent home form is strong but whose defensive numbers remain suspect.
FA Trophy
Bridlington Town
MacclesfieldThe statistical shape of this fixture points to a high-scoring, evenly matched contest, with both Bridlington Town and Macclesfield showing strong recent attacking output but defensive vulnerabilities. Bridlington Town have averaged 3.
FA Trophy
Chorley
BuxtonBuxton arrive in sharper form and with a strong recent record over Chorley, but the goal rates on both sides suggest a competitive tie with chances for both. The underlying numbers point to a goal-rich contest, with Buxton's attack likely to edge it.
FA Trophy
Dagenham & Redbridge
Dorking WanderersDagenham & Redbridge enter this FA Trophy tie struggling for attacking fluency, having scored only three goals in their last five matches and failing to find the net in three of those. Dorking Wanderers, by contrast, arrive in London on the back of two straight wins and have averaged 2.
FA Trophy
Darlington 1883
BuryThis fixture brings together two sides with contrasting attacking profiles: Darlington have averaged just 1. 4 goals per game in their last five, while Bury are scoring at a 2.
FA Trophy
Dartford
AFC TottonThis tie brings together a Dartford side with a high-scoring recent record and an AFC Totton team showing inconsistency but the ability to find the net away from home. Dartford have won two of their last three, including a 3-2 home victory in the previous FA Trophy round, while Totton have split their last five with two wins and three defeats, conceding heavily in losses but showing attacking intent.
FA Trophy
Didcot Town
Slough TownDidcot Town’s recent surge has seen them unbeaten in four, collecting two wins and two draws in their last four competitive outings and conceding just twice in that span. Slough Town, meanwhile, are mired in a five-game losing streak, shipping 15 goals in those matches and failing to keep a single clean sheet.
FA Trophy
Dover
Burgess Hill TownStatistical signals point to a match with above-average goal potential, driven by Burgess Hill Town's defensive frailty (3. 2 conceded per game in last five) and Dover's consistent scoring at home.
FA Trophy
Eastbourne Borough
Chertsey TownMomentum is the defining feature of this tie, with both Eastbourne Borough and Chertsey Town entering on the back of unbeaten league runs. Eastbourne have pieced together four consecutive wins since their heavy FA Cup exit, but their attack has relied on late goals at home and they’ve averaged just 1.
FA Trophy
Enfield Town
Spalding UnitedEnfield Town enter this FA Trophy tie in rampant form, riding a three-game winning streak and netting 15 goals in that period. Their attack has been relentless, with multiple players contributing and no sign of a let-up in the final third.
FA Trophy
Farnham Town
Ebbsfleet UnitedGoal rates on both sides point to a high-scoring contest, with both Farnham Town and Ebbsfleet United averaging over 2. 5 goals scored per game in their last five.
FA Trophy
Folkestone Invicta
Cray WanderersBoth Folkestone Invicta and Cray Wanderers arrive in the FA Trophy on the back of solid but not spectacular recent form, each showing resilience and the ability to avoid defeat. Folkestone have gone three unbeaten (DLWWD), while Cray Wanderers have won three of their last five and are on a two-match winning streak, scoring seven in their last two outings.
FA Trophy
Halesowen Town
Redditch UnitedStatistically, this fixture projects as a high-scoring, evenly balanced contest. Both Halesowen Town and Redditch United enter with strong attacking numbers—2.
FA Trophy
Hebburn Town
Guiseley AFCGuiseley AFC travel to Hebburn Town riding a wave of momentum, having taken 13 points from their last five matches and scoring 14 goals in that stretch. In stark contrast, Hebburn are winless in five (form string: DDLLD), with their only recent solace coming from a pair of draws.
FA Trophy
Hednesford Town
Hemel Hempstead TownHednesford Town come into this FA Trophy clash riding a wave of momentum, having won four of their last five matches and conceding just three goals in that stretch. Their recent run includes three clean sheets and a pair of hard-fought away victories, signalling a side that has found defensive stability and a knack for timely goals.
FA Trophy
Hereford
Brackley TownThis FA Trophy tie at Edgar Street brings together two sides with contrasting recent momentum but similar underlying numbers. Hereford come in on a two-match losing streak, having failed to score in three of their last five, while Brackley Town have taken four points from their last two away games.
FA Trophy
Horsham
TorquayThe data points to a tightly-matched contest with neither side holding a clear edge. Horsham arrive in strong form, unbeaten in five (WDWDW) and averaging 2.
FA Trophy
King's Lynn Town
StourbridgeStatistical indicators point to a low-scoring, closely contested tie with neither side holding a decisive edge. King's Lynn Town have alternated results in their last five (WLDDW), averaging 1.
FA Trophy
Leek Town
MorecambeLeek Town’s defensive frailties have been exposed of late, conceding 13 goals in their last five outings, while Morecambe’s recent run of three wins from five and a more robust defensive record point to an edge for the visitors. The statistical shape of the match suggests a higher-than-average goal environment, with Leek’s games averaging 4.
FA Trophy
Maidstone Utd
MaidenheadMaidstone Utd come into this FA Trophy clash riding a wave of momentum, having picked up three wins and a draw in their last five outings. Their recent run includes a 2-1 home victory over Maidenhead just four weeks ago, and they have found the net in every one of their last five matches.
FA Trophy
Merthyr Town
Harborough TownMerthyr Town's defensive frailties have left them winless in their last five, conceding 11 goals in that stretch, while Harborough Town arrive with a more balanced recent record and a sharper attack. Both teams tend to find the net but struggle for clean sheets, pointing towards a match with scoring opportunities at both ends.
FA Trophy
Newmarket
Oxford CityA high-scoring contest is likely given both sides' recent attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities. Newmarket's strong home scoring record (2.
FA Trophy
Radcliffe
MarineThis tie brings together two sides with near-identical defensive records over their last five matches (1. 4 goals conceded per game each), but Marine’s superior head-to-head record and greater consistency in front of goal tilt the balance.
FA Trophy
Salisbury
Chichester CitySalisbury's consistent scoring output and defensive solidity at home set them up as slight favourites against a Chichester City side who have travelled well but conceded regularly. With both teams showing a recent tendency for matches to go over 2.
FA Trophy
Spennymoor Town
Scarborough AthleticThis fixture brings together two sides with parallel struggles, both searching for consistency after mixed recent results. Spennymoor Town snapped a four-match losing streak with a 2-0 home win last time out, but their average of just 0.
FA Trophy
Walton & Hersham
AveleyAveley arrive in Surrey on a three-match winning streak, having scored ten goals in their last five outings and kept two clean sheets. Walton & Hersham, by contrast, are on a three-game losing run, failing to score in each of those defeats and conceding six goals in the process.
FA Trophy
Weston-super-Mare
FarnboroughTwo sides struggling for consistency meet in the FA Trophy, both conceding at an alarming rate but with little to separate them in attack. The statistical profile points to a low-scoring, closely-fought contest, with neither side showing the form or firepower to dominate.
FA Trophy
Weymouth
Hampton & RichmondWeymouth enter this FA Trophy clash riding a wave of attacking momentum, having notched three or more goals in three of their last five outings and dropping just one result in that span. Hampton & Richmond, by contrast, are mired in a five-match winless run, leaking goals at a rate of 2.
FA Trophy
Whitehawk
Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels arrive with clear upward momentum, having won three of their last five and kept three clean sheets, while Whitehawk are mired in a five-match winless run, conceding heavily. The contrast in recent trajectories is stark: Whitehawk's defensive frailty has seen them ship 15 goals in five, while Tonbridge's attack has found late goals and resilience.
FA Trophy
Wimborne Town
UxbridgeStatistically, this is a clash of two sides in robust form, each averaging over two goals per game and boasting a recent run of clean sheets. The underlying rates point to a match with above-average goal expectancy, but the head-to-head record and defensive trends temper the likelihood of a goal glut.
FA Trophy
Wingate & Finchley
Hashtag UnitedStatistically, this tie sets up as a high-variance, high-goal contest between two sides whose cup form is built on attacking output rather than defensive solidity. Both Wingate & Finchley and Hashtag United average over 2.
FA Trophy
Worksop Town
South ShieldsA high-scoring cup tie looks likely at Sandy Lane Stadium, with both Worksop Town and South Shields arriving off productive attacking spells. Worksop have posted a 'LWDDW' form string, netting ten times in their last five, while South Shields are on a three-match winning streak and have scored multiple goals in four of their last five.
FA Women's Cup
Dulwich Hamlet W
Portishead WThis tie brings together two sides with contrasting recent defensive records but similar attacking output, setting up a statistical toss-up with a slight edge to the hosts. Dulwich Hamlet W have outscored opponents 12-4 across their last five FA Women's Cup matches, while Portishead W have alternated between clean sheets and heavy defeats, conceding 13 in their last five but also keeping two clean sheets.
FA Trophy
Ashton United
WorkingtonThe statistical profile for Ashton United v Workington points to a goal-inclined contest, shaped by Workington's prolific recent scoring and Ashton's defensive vulnerabilities. Workington arrive with three consecutive wins and a season average of 3.
Segunda División
Real Sociedad II
Sporting GijonSporting Gijon travel to San Sebastian riding a surge of momentum, having won four of their last five matches in all competitions and boasting a perfect response to their heavy defeat at Castellón. Real Sociedad II, by contrast, have been mired in a difficult run, losing four straight before finally edging Girona 1-0 last time out.
League Two
Fleetwood Town
TranmereThis fixture pitches two sides with nearly identical scoring and concession rates, both trending towards low-scoring, closely contested matches. Fleetwood's home defensive record (5 goals conceded in 7) is a shade stronger than Tranmere's away defence, but Tranmere's tendency to draw away (4 in 7) and Fleetwood's home draw rate (3 in 7) point to a statistical stalemate.
Segunda División
Almeria
FC AndorraStatistically, this is a high-floor home favourite spot: Almeria's home record (5W 1D 0L, 2. 5 goals scored per game) contrasts sharply with Andorra's away struggles (1W 2D 3L, 1.
Segunda División
Mallorca
CordobaMallorca's defensive solidity at home (0. 5 goals conceded per home game) meets Cordoba's high-variance, attack-minded approach (1.
FA WSL
Arsenal W
London City Lionesses WArsenal W remain unbeaten at home but have yet to register a win at the Emirates this season, drawing all four home games with a combined 3-3 goal tally. London City Lionesses W, third in the table, boast the division's second highest away scoring rate (13 goals in 4 away games) and have lost just once on the road.
Women's Championship
Sheffield United W
Bristol City WStatistically, this is a high-goal environment between two sides with leaky defences and above-average attacking output. Bristol City W’s away record is solid but not dominant, while Sheffield United W’s home numbers are poor but with some attacking spark.
Serie B
America Mineiro
AvaiThis is a low-scoring, high-variance relegation scrap between two of Serie B's bluntest attacks. America Mineiro have found some momentum with three straight wins but remain 19th, while Avai have lost their last two and sit just above the drop zone.
Serie B
Atletico Goianiense
CuiabaAtletico Goianiense enter this fixture with momentum stalling, having failed to win in their last five matches (form string: DLDDL), but they have at least shown resilience with three draws in that run. Cuiaba, by contrast, are in freefall: four straight defeats and just one goal scored in their last five, a stretch that has seen their attacking confidence evaporate.
Serie B
CRB
CearaCRB’s strong home attack and Ceara’s travel struggles point to the hosts as favourites in a fixture that trends above the league average for goals and corners. The most likely outcome is a narrow home win, but Ceara’s ability to keep games close means a single moment could swing the result.
Serie B
Criciuma
NovorizontinoThis fixture brings together the league's most prolific attack in Novorizontino, averaging 1. 78 goals per game, against a Criciuma side whose defensive solidity at home (0.
Serie B
Fortaleza EC
Vila NovaFortaleza EC and Vila Nova enter this contest separated by a single point and both with promotion ambitions, but neither side has shown the cutting edge to break out of a congested top five. Fortaleza’s home record (9W, 8D, 1L) is among the league’s most resilient, while Vila Nova’s away form (6W, 4D, 8L) is more erratic but underpinned by a higher scoring rate overall.
Serie B
Juventude
Botafogo SPStatistically, this is a low-scoring, tightly matched fixture between a promotion-chasing Juventude side with the league's best defensive record at home and a Botafogo SP team in strong form but with only mid-table away numbers. The most likely scenario is a draw, with both teams averaging around a goal per game in their respective home/away splits and a strong undercurrent of low-scoring outcomes in their season data.
Serie B
Londrina
Nautico RecifeThis is a meeting between two sides in the lower reaches of Serie B, each with a negative goal difference and recent form that has drifted away from their best. Londrina, sitting 18th, have lost three consecutive matches and are fighting relegation, while Nautico Recife, 15th, have only one win in their last five and have struggled for goals on their travels.
Serie B
São Bernardo
Athletic ClubStatistically, this is a mid-table clash with little to separate the sides. São Bernardo's home attack and Athletic Club's away defence both operate at league-average rates, while the goal environment is dampened by each side's tendency to keep games tight.
Serie B
Sport Recife
GoiasGoias travel to Recife with momentum on their side, having surged into the play-off picture with a five-match unbeaten run and a defence that has rediscovered its bite. Sport, meanwhile, have stumbled at the wrong moment, collecting just one win from their last five and conceding late goals that have cost them vital points.
Segunda División
Oviedo
GironaThis is a mid-table clash between two sides separated by just three points, with Oviedo ninth and Girona seventh after 12 rounds. Oviedo have alternated between wins and losses in their last five (LDWWL), while Girona arrive off a rare defeat but with a strong recent run (LWWWD).
Friendlies Clubs
New York Red Bulls
Club AmericaGoal rates are the headline here: both New York Red Bulls and Club America come off recent stretches marked by frequent scoring and defensive lapses, with neither side keeping more than two clean sheets in their last five. The Red Bulls’ home games have produced an average of 4.
Friendlies
New Zealand
IndiaNew Zealand host India in Christchurch with the model assigning the All Whites a commanding edge, underpinned by a 447-point Elo advantage (1585 vs 1138) and a 72% win probability. The analytics reflect not only New Zealand's higher baseline quality but also a significant gulf in recent attacking and defensive output.
Friendlies
Kyrgyzstan
VietnamKyrgyzstan and Vietnam meet in a World Cup 2026 warm-up friendly, with the analytical model projecting a closely contested affair. Despite Vietnam's Elo edge of 60 points (1351 vs 1291), the probabilities are finely balanced: Kyrgyzstan are given a 40.
FA Women's Cup
Norwich City W
AFC Bournemouth WGoal rates define this FA Women's Cup tie, with both Norwich City W and AFC Bournemouth W producing high-scoring results in recent cup campaigns. Bournemouth W's recent attacking output (5.
Friendlies Clubs
FC Krasnodar
DruzhbaStatistical mismatches rarely come sharper: FC Krasnodar average 2. 3 goals per game across all competitions this season and have scored in every one of their last five, while Druzhba have not played a single top-flight away match and managed just one away goal in their most recent five.
Segunda División
Tenerife
AD Ceuta FCTenerife's defensive solidity at home and Ceuta's chronic away struggles point to a low-scoring match where the hosts are well positioned to control proceedings. The underlying rate data highlights a clear gap in both attacking output and defensive resilience, with Ceuta's concession rate on the road especially stark.
2. Frauen Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach W
Meppen WStatistically, this is a meeting of two mid-table sides with nearly identical records and a strong tendency towards high-scoring, competitive matches. Monchengladbach arrive with three straight league wins, but their home record is undermined by defensive lapses (11 conceded in 6 home games), while Meppen have drawn four of their last five and are yet to keep a clean sheet in that stretch.
2. Frauen Bundesliga
Ingolstadt W
Andernach WStatistically, this fixture brings together two sides with similar recent attacking output but divergent defensive records. Ingolstadt W have a stronger home record (3W, 2D, 1L, +4 GD) and sit five points above Andernach W, whose away form is middling and whose defence has been the league's leakiest among the top nine.
2. Frauen Bundesliga
Turbine Potsdam W
SC Sand WTurbine Potsdam W, anchored near the foot of the table with just one win in ten, face a SC Sand W side that has travelled well this season, collecting 11 points from six away fixtures. Potsdam's home record is especially poor, with no wins and only four goals scored in five matches, while SC Sand W's away output (eight goals in six) is among the better in the division.
2. Frauen Bundesliga
SGS Essen W
Hertha Berlin WSecond versus third in the 2. Frauen Bundesliga, with both sides level on 23 points after ten rounds, sets up a contest shaped by attacking output.
FA WSL
Manchester United W
Crystal Palace WManchester United W arrive in full stride, unbeaten in five and averaging 2. 4 goals per game across that stretch, while Crystal Palace W are mired in a five-match losing run, leaking goals and struggling for control.
FA Women's Cup
Derby County W
Bolton WThe data points to a high-variance cup tie, with both Derby County W and Bolton W showing recent attacking output but also defensive fragility. Derby's last five matches average 5 goals per game combined, while Bolton's limited sample includes a 3-1 win and a heavy 0-8 defeat, suggesting volatility.
FA Women's Cup
Exeter City W
Portsmouth WMomentum is the watchword here, with Exeter City W surging into this tie on the back of a four-win-in-five run, including a 6-0 demolition of Torquay United and a recent 2-0 home win over Hashtag United W. Portsmouth W, meanwhile, snapped a four-game losing streak in emphatic style by thrashing Cheltenham Town W 4-0 in their last outing, raising questions about whether that result marks a genuine turnaround or a blip against weaker opposition.
FA Women's Cup
Marine Academy Plymouth
Brentford WThis FA Women's Cup tie features two sides with contrasting recent defensive records: Marine Academy Plymouth have conceded five in their last two at home, while Brentford W come in with three clean sheets in their last five. Both have shown attacking output, but Brentford W's consistency and ability to limit opponents tip the balance.
FA Women's Cup
Milton Keynes Dons W
Chatham Town WMilton Keynes Dons W enter this FA Women's Cup tie with a convincing 3-0 home win in their only cup outing this season, extending a trend of strong attacking output in limited recent data. Chatham Town W, while victorious in their last match, have a more volatile cup record, including a heavy 8-0 defeat last campaign but also three clean sheets in their last five, illustrating both their ceiling and floor.
FA Women's Cup
Moneyfields W
Bristol Rovers WA high-scoring Cup tie looks likely, with both Moneyfields W and Bristol Rovers W arriving off emphatic wins and showing attacking intent but defensive fragility in their recent FA Women's Cup matches. The underlying rates point to a balanced contest, with neither side able to assert defensive control, so the likeliest outcome is a draw with multiple goals.
FA Women's Cup
Stoke City W
Liverpool Feds WGoal rates are high on both sides, with Stoke City W and Liverpool Feds W each averaging over 2 goals scored per game in their last five FA Women's Cup appearances. Defensive solidity is less pronounced, as both teams also concede at least a goal per game on average.
FA Women's Cup
Thornaby W
Crewe Alexandra WThe data points to a high-variance, open contest between two sides with contrasting recent defensive records. Thornaby W's home form is marked by volatility, having scored four and conceded two in their only home cup match this season, while Crewe Alexandra W arrive off a 1-0 away win but have shown both resilience and frailty in recent cup campaigns.
FA Women's Cup
Loughborough Lightning W
I2I International Soccer Academy WThis fixture presents a statistical clash between a high-scoring Loughborough Lightning W side and an I2I International Soccer Academy W outfit that has shown defensive solidity in a small sample. The home side's matches have averaged 5.
FA Women's Cup
Sjr Worksop W
Halifax WThis tie features two sides with limited recent data but both coming off clean-sheet wins in the previous FA Women's Cup round. Sjr Worksop W's 3-0 away victory over South Shields W highlights a potent attack, while Halifax W's 2-0 win at Lincoln W suggests defensive improvement after conceding heavily in prior ties.
FA WSL
Brighton W
Liverpool WBrighton W enter this fixture riding a wave of momentum, stringing together three consecutive league wins and scoring 10 goals in their last three outings. Their recent form string of WWWLW stands in stark contrast to Liverpool W, who have managed just a single point from their last four league matches and are on a worrying slide down the table.
FA WSL
Tottenham Hotspur W
Everton WTottenham Hotspur W's home fixtures have been high-scoring and volatile, with their 2. 88 goals scored and 2.
FA WSL
West Ham W
Charlton Athletic WWest Ham W host Charlton Athletic W in a meeting between two sides at the wrong end of the FA WSL table, but the underlying numbers point to a clear gap in quality and attacking output. West Ham's home record and recent scoring form are a stark contrast to Charlton's ongoing struggles to find the net or collect points on their return to the top flight.
Women's Championship
Burnley W
Southampton WBurnley W come into this fixture mired in a four-game losing streak, having conceded 13 goals in that run and still searching for their first league win of the season. Southampton W, by contrast, have built steady momentum with just one defeat in their last six league matches and are unbeaten in their last three away from home.
Women's Championship
Nottingham Forest W
Leicester City FC WNottingham Forest W enter this fixture with a wave of momentum, having extended their unbeaten league start to six matches and recently putting four past Burnley W in the cup. Leicester City FC W, by contrast, are trying to halt a slide: they've not won in five, conceding heavily and struggling for attacking fluency.
Women's Championship
Sunderland W
Newcastle United WThis is a top-of-the-table clash with Newcastle United W travelling to Sunderland W, both sides in the Championship’s top three. Newcastle’s unbeaten start and league-best defensive record contrast with Sunderland’s strong but less consistent home form.
Women's Championship
Watford W
Ipswich Town WIpswich Town W arrive at Vicarage Road riding a wave of momentum, unbeaten in the league and fresh off a dominant 4-1 win at this ground in the cup just two weeks ago. Watford W, by contrast, have struggled to string results together, with only one win from their last five and a defence that has looked increasingly porous.
Women's Championship
Wolverhampton W
Durham WMomentum is everything in the Women's Championship right now, and Wolverhampton W arrive with the wind at their backs after a crucial cup win over Bristol City W. Durham W, by contrast, are mired in a five-game losing run and have yet to register a point this season, their defensive frailties exposed week after week.
FA Women's Cup
Boldmere St. Michaels W
Stockport County WThis tie features two sides with mirrored recent form and a high-scoring profile, but Stockport County W's superior attacking output and defensive record in their latest FA Women's Cup outing tips the balance. Boldmere St.
FA Women's Cup
Gwalia United W
Oxford United WBoth sides arrive off emphatic 5-0 wins in their opening FA Women's Cup ties, but Oxford United W bring a deeper recent record of consistent scoring and competitive results at this level. Gwalia United W have impressed in limited cup action, yet their only defeat in the last three came away to higher-tier Plymouth Argyle W, hinting at a ceiling against more established opposition.
FA Women's Cup
Keynsham Town W
Millwall Lionesses WStatistically, this fixture brings together two sides with nearly identical scoring rates in their most recent cup campaigns, both averaging exactly one goal scored per game this season. Keynsham Town W have alternated wins and losses over their last five, while Millwall Lionesses W arrive following two straight defeats but with a similar underlying goal profile.
FA Women's Cup
Maidenhead United W
AFC Wimbledon WGoal rates on both sides point towards a match with attacking intent but some defensive vulnerability, especially from Maidenhead United W. AFC Wimbledon W's recent scoring consistency and higher five-game attacking average tilt the balance.
FA Women's Cup
Real Bedford W
Fulham WThe data points to a high-scoring tie between two sides with identical recent attacking output but defensive vulnerabilities. Real Bedford W have netted 2.
Friendlies Clubs
Zenit
TrabzonsporZenit enter this friendly at Gazprom Arena riding a five-match winning streak, having scored 13 goals and conceded just five over that span. Their momentum is underpinned by a consistent attacking output, averaging 2.
FA Women's Cup
Bridgwater United W
Lewes WA low-scoring, closely-matched cup tie is expected, with both Bridgwater United W and Lewes W showing modest attacking output and solid defensive numbers in their recent FA Women's Cup fixtures. The model projects a 1-1 draw as the likeliest outcome, with under 2.
FA Women's Cup
Durham Cestria W
Middlesbrough WThis FA Women's Cup tie features two sides with prolific recent scoring records and defensive vulnerabilities. Durham Cestria W have averaged 2.
FA Women's Cup
Kidderminster Harriers W
Chester-le-Street Town WThis tie brings together two sides with similar recent cup trajectories but a statistical edge for Chester-le-Street Town W, whose away scoring rate and defensive solidity tip the balance. Both teams have produced high-scoring games in the FA Women's Cup, but Chester-le-Street's ability to limit goals against on the road is a key differentiator.
FA Women's Cup
Leeds W
Norton & Stockton WStatistically, this is a contest between two sides with near-identical recent form and similar attacking output, but with Leeds W holding a slight edge on defensive numbers. The last five matches for both teams show a WLWWL pattern, with Leeds W conceding fewer goals on average.
FA Women's Cup
Notts County W
Mancunian Unity WThis FA Women's Cup tie brings together two sides with patchy cup form and modest attacking numbers, setting up a contest likely to be decided by defensive solidity and the ability to take limited chances. Notts County W have struggled for consistency, alternating wins and losses in their last four cup outings, and have failed to score in half of those matches.
FA WSL
Aston Villa W
Birmingham City WThis fixture brings together two sides in the lower half of the WSL, both showing attacking intent but defensive vulnerability. Aston Villa W have stabilised with an unbeaten run in their last five, while Birmingham City W are still searching for consistency, especially away from home.
FA Women's Cup
Barking W
Cambridge United WThis tie features two sides with recent Cup wins but contrasting defensive records: Barking W have conceded seven in their last three, while Cambridge United W arrive off a 3-0 away win. The model expects a moderately open contest, with Cambridge's higher away scoring rate tipping the balance.
FA Women's Cup
Chesterfield W
Leafield Athletic WThis tie sets up a clear contrast in recent scoring rates, with Leafield Athletic W entering on the back of a 4-0 cup win and a five-match average of 3. 4 goals scored per game, while Chesterfield W have struggled defensively, conceding 3.
Segunda División
Granada CF
Las PalmasGranada CF are riding a wave of momentum, having stitched together five consecutive wins in all competitions, including four clean sheets and a run of just one goal conceded in their last five league outings. Las Palmas, by contrast, have been far more erratic, mixing two recent wins with three losses in their last five, and their defensive frailties have been exposed repeatedly on the road (13 conceded in 6 away league matches).
Segunda División
Eibar
CadizEibar’s robust home record and attacking output meet a Cadiz side struggling to collect points on the road. The underlying scoring and concession rates point to a match with above-average goal expectancy, with Eibar’s 1.
Segunda División
Eldense
SabadellEldense and Sabadell both profile as mid-table sides with limited attacking output and no major defensive frailty, producing a statistical deadlock. The expected goal environment is low, with both teams averaging just over one goal scored and conceded per game, and neither side showing a clear home or away edge.
Friendlies
Andorra
AzerbaijanAzerbaijan travel to Encamp for a friendly against Andorra, with the model giving the visitors a commanding edge. The Elo ratings reflect a gulf in class, with Azerbaijan’s 1340 rating (ranked 122nd) towering over Andorra’s 1077 (175th), translating to an away win probability of 60.
Segunda División
Albacete
Celta de Vigo IIStatistically, this fixture projects as one of the more open contests in the Segunda División this round, with both teams among the league's most frequent participants in high-scoring matches. Albacete's recent surge (three straight wins) has come despite a leaky defence, while Celta de Vigo II's attack has been consistently productive but undermined by defensive lapses, particularly away from home.
FriendliesYemenMalaysiaYemen and Malaysia meet at Ali Muhesen Stadium in a friendly that the model expects to tilt Malaysia’s way, with a predicted 2-1 away win. Despite both sides lacking detailed player-level data, the analytics engine leans heavily on Malaysia’s Elo advantage of +142 points (1293 vs 1151) and their recent form, which includes four clean sheets in five matches.
Friendlies
SingaporeBrazilSingapore welcome Brazil to the National Stadium for a friendly that, on paper, looks like a daunting mismatch. The model rates Brazil as overwhelming favourites, assigning them an 89% chance of victory, with Singapore’s win probability languishing at just 3%.
FriendliesChinaBahrainChina and Bahrain meet in Guangzhou for a friendly that the analytics model rates as almost dead even, with Bahrain holding a slight edge. The Elo ratings are nearly identical—China at 1423 and Bahrain at 1418—translating into a razor-thin expected scoreline (0.
Professional Development League
Barnsley U21
Wigan Athletic U21Barnsley U21 limp into this fixture on a five-game winless run, having conceded 17 goals in that stretch and lost three straight at home. Wigan Athletic U21, by contrast, have found a spark in attack with 13 goals in their last five, and only one defeat in that period.
Professional Development League
Sheffield Wednesday U21
Hull City U21The data points to a high-probability goal environment, with both sides conceding at least two per game on average and a combined over 2. 5 goals rate above 70%.
Friendlies
Kuwait
HondurasKuwait hosts Honduras at the Al Sadaqua Walsalam Stadium in a friendly international, with the analytics model pointing to a clear advantage for the Central Americans. Honduras comes in with a hefty Elo edge of 243 points (1571 vs 1328), translating into a 52.
FriendliesJapan
ParaguayJapan enter this international friendly against Paraguay with a notable analytical advantage, underpinned by a 71-point Elo edge (1904 vs 1833) and a recent run of strong attacking form. The model sees Japan as slight favourites, assigning them a 49.
Professional Development League
Bristol City U21
Colchester United U21Statistically, this fixture projects as one of the highest-scoring on the slate, with both sides combining for 39 goals scored and 41 conceded across 17 league matches. Bristol City U21's home attack (2.
Professional Development League
Sheffield United U21
Huddersfield Town U21The statistical shape of this fixture points to a high-scoring, open contest between two sides with strong attacking records and defensive vulnerabilities, especially away from home. Huddersfield Town U21's matches average 5.
Friendlies
Qatar
South KoreaSouth Korea arrive in Doha with a commanding analytical advantage over hosts Qatar, as reflected by a striking Elo rating gap of 327 points (1752 vs 1425). The model's blended expected goals line, after factoring in both sides' attacking and defensive metrics, stands at 1.
Friendlies
United Arab Emirates
SyriaUnited Arab Emirates enter this international friendly against Syria with a modest Elo edge of +49 points (1540 vs 1491), translating to a 53% win probability according to the model. The analytics suggest a match with attacking intent on both sides, with UAE’s recent form providing a slight boost to their expected goals.
Friendlies
Saudi Arabia
UzbekistanSaudi Arabia host Uzbekistan in a friendly where the analytics model sees a clear, but not overwhelming, edge for the visitors. Uzbekistan arrive with a 159-point Elo advantage (1727 vs 1568), ranking 38th globally to Saudi Arabia’s 71st, which sets the baseline for the model’s forecast.
Friendlies
Jordan
AustraliaAustralia travel to Amman holding a clear edge in both Elo ratings and attacking metrics, but Jordan’s defensive organisation at home could keep things tighter than the raw numbers suggest. The model assigns Australia an Elo advantage of 93 points (1783 vs 1690), translating to a 54.
Friendlies
Russia
VenezuelaRussia welcome Venezuela to the Ozon Arena in Krasnodar for an international friendly, with the analytics model giving the hosts a clear but not overwhelming edge. Russia's Elo rating of 1776, ranked 27th, stands 49 points above Venezuela's 1727 (ranked 38th), setting the baseline expectation for a home advantage.
Friendlies
IraqIranIran enter this World Cup 2026 friendly with a clear statistical edge over Iraq, as reflected by a 153-point Elo advantage (1760 vs 1607) and a 48% win probability from the model. Iraq, despite flashes of attacking promise from key players like A.
EFL TrophyLutonPeterboroughLuton come into this EFL Trophy tie riding a wave of momentum, unbeaten in their last five matches (WDWWW) and fresh off a 2-0 away win over Peterborough just over two weeks ago. Their recent run has been built on a solid defensive platform, conceding just three goals in five games, and an attack that has found the net in every outing.
National League - NorthSouth ShieldsHarborough TownSouth Shields' unbeaten home record and recent scoring surges contrast sharply with Harborough Town's winless away campaign and blunt attack on the road. The statistical profile points to a low-probability of an away upset, with the hosts' defensive solidity and attacking output at home setting the likely tempo.
National League - NorthSpalding UnitedHebburn TownThis is a contest between two sides with similar points tallies but contrasting defensive profiles, with Spalding United's home solidity facing Hebburn Town's high-scoring, leaky away form. The underlying scoring and concession rates point to a game with above-average goal potential, especially given Hebburn's 1.
National League - SouthTruro CityBillericay TownTruro City and Billericay Town arrive level on points after ten matches, both boasting strong records and near-identical home/away splits. Truro's defensive discipline at home (just 3 goals conceded in 5) faces a Billericay attack averaging 2.
Friendlies
Chile
ColombiaChile welcome Colombia to Santiago for a high-profile friendly, but the analytics model sees a clear gap between the sides. Colombia's superior Elo rating (1975, world rank 7) dwarfs Chile's 1710 (rank 44), translating to a significant Elo edge of +265 points for the visitors.
Friendlies
Argentina
Costa RicaArgentina return to Cordoba for a friendly against Costa Rica, with the model projecting a one-sided contest. The hosts boast a formidable Elo rating of 2113 (ranked 2nd globally), dwarfing Costa Rica’s 1614 (rank 61), and that 499-point chasm sets the tone for the prediction.
Friendlies
Ecuador
BoliviaEcuador enter this international friendly with a commanding edge over Bolivia, both on paper and in recent history. The model gives Ecuador a robust Elo advantage of +288 points (1933 vs 1645), translating to a 53.
Friendlies
Uruguay
Dominican RepublicUruguay enter this friendly with a commanding analytical edge over the Dominican Republic, as reflected in a massive 608-point Elo gap (1892 vs 1284) and a 77. 8% win probability.
Serie A
Coritiba
SantosStatistically, this fixture projects as a high-variance contest between two mid-table sides with leaky defences and moderate attacking output. Santos travel with a marginally stronger away record (27 scored, 28 conceded in 17 away) and a higher season goal involvement, while Coritiba's home record is almost neutral (22 for, 21 against in 17).
Serie A
Remo
Chapecoense-scRemo and Chapecoense-sc meet in a bottom-of-the-table clash where both sides are desperate for points to escape the drop zone. Remo have managed just one win in their last five (form: LWLDD) and sit 19th, but Chapecoense-sc are in even deeper trouble, bottom with only four wins all season and a -35 goal difference.
Serie A
Cruzeiro
PalmeirasCruzeiro's four-game winning streak has injected real belief into the squad, but defensive frailties persist and they now face a Palmeiras side in imperious form, unbeaten in five and with the best defensive record in the league. Palmeiras' momentum is built on a blend of attacking variety and defensive discipline, while Cruzeiro's recent surge has been powered by a clinical frontline but remains vulnerable at the back.
Serie A
Flamengo
Atletico ParanaenseFlamengo storm into this fixture on a four-match winning streak in Serie A, having scored 13 goals in their last four league outings and sitting top of the table with 76 points. Their recent run has been powered by an attack that is not just prolific but also varied, with Pedro and Samuel Lino both finding the net consistently.
Professional Development League
Peterborough United U21
Bolton Wanderers Res.Bolton Wanderers Reserves arrive as league leaders with a formidable away record and the division’s best goal difference, while Peterborough United U21 are struggling to keep clean sheets and sit in the bottom half. The statistical profile points to a high-scoring contest, with Peterborough’s defensive frailties (over 2.
Serie A
Corinthians
BotafogoThis fixture sets up as a mid-table clash with relegation implications for Corinthians, who sit 17th, three points from safety, while Botafogo, 11th, are clear of danger but lack upward momentum. Corinthians' recent form is patchy (DWLDL), with just one win in five and a notable reliance on home points (6W, 4D, 7L at Neo Quimica Arena).
Serie A
Gremio
BahiaThis fixture pits relegation-threatened Gremio, who have found some recent defensive solidity, against a Bahia side pushing for continental qualification and boasting a superior attack. Gremio's home record (8W, 5D, 4L) is respectable, but their overall season numbers are undermined by a -9 goal difference and a low clean sheet rate.
Serie A
Vasco DA Gama
InternacionalVasco DA Gama are priced as clear favourites at São Januário, but the data suggests the market may be overestimating their home edge given their leaky defence and patchy form. Internacional, while just three points behind and with a comparable away record, are being offered at a long price despite a strong recent head-to-head record in this fixture.
Serie A
Vitoria
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino's late-season surge has them pushing for a top-six finish, powered by a potent attack that has found the net in four straight games. Vitoria, by contrast, are limping towards the finish line, winless in five and leaking goals at an alarming rate.
Friendlies Clubs
IFK Norrkoping
KuPSIFK Norrkoping enter this friendly riding a wave of momentum, having strung together three consecutive wins and scoring 13 goals in their last five matches. Their attack has been relentless, with an average of 20.
Bundesliga
Bayern München
1. FC KölnBayern München enter this fixture in full stride, unbeaten in the Bundesliga and fresh off a five-match run that has seen them rack up 15 goals with only 5 conceded. Their attacking machine is humming, with multiple players contributing and no sign of a post-European hangover.
La Liga
Athletic Club
EspanyolAthletic Club arrive in Bilbao with momentum, having taken 10 points from their last five league games and scoring 14 goals across all competitions in that stretch. Espanyol, by contrast, have just one win in their last five and have struggled to find the net, with only three goals scored in that period.
Ligue 1
ES Hammam-Sousse
Progrès Sakiet EddaïerES Hammam-Sousse enter this fixture in freefall, having lost five on the bounce and still searching for their first league win of the campaign. Their attack has been blunt—just two goals in seven games—while defensive frailty has seen them ship 12.
Ligue 1
CS Hammam-Lif
ES MetlaouiBoth sides arrive with bottom-four attacks and defensive records that, while not disastrous, have not compensated for their lack of scoring punch. The statistical shape of this fixture is defined by low expected goals: Hammam-Lif average just 0.
Ligue 1
Olympique Béja
AS MarsaA statistical deadlock is on the cards as Olympique Béja, still searching for their first win after seven rounds, host an AS Marsa side with the league's second-best defensive record but a blunt away attack. With both teams averaging under a goal per game and a combined 2.
Ligue 1
Estac Troyes
Le HavreTroyes have steadied after a brutal September, taking four points from their last three and showing improved defensive discipline, while Le Havre are mired in a five-match losing run and have yet to taste victory all season. Both clubs are sitting in the relegation zone, but Troyes' recent home win over Le Mans and a credible draw at Toulouse hint at a side beginning to halt their slide.
Serie A
Sao Paulo
FluminenseThis fixture brings together Sao Paulo’s strong home record (10 wins from 17) and Fluminense’s higher goal output but inconsistent away form. Both sides are coming off mixed recent results, with Sao Paulo unbeaten in three and Fluminense winning their last two after a run of three defeats.
Major League Soccer
Orlando City SC
FC CincinnatiA high-scoring draw is the statistical baseline, with both sides' defensive frailties and attacking output driving a strong probability for over 2. 5 goals and both teams to score.
Major League Soccer
Seattle Sounders
Real Salt LakeMomentum is the story here: Real Salt Lake’s late-season surge has been fuelled by a free-scoring attack, while Seattle Sounders limp into this clash with a solitary win in their last five and a defence that’s looked increasingly vulnerable. The visitors’ recent form—four wins from five, with 11 goals scored—contrasts sharply with the hosts’ inconsistency and inability to keep a clean sheet over the same stretch.
Indian Super League
East Bengal II
SC DelhiThis fixture matches two of the league's higher-scoring sides, both showing attacking intent but with defensive vulnerabilities. East Bengal II have hit 12 goals in their opening three league games (4.
Indian Super League
Bengaluru
Mumbai CityBengaluru arrive at the Sree Kanteerava Stadium riding a wave of momentum, unbeaten in their opening four matches and fresh from a dramatic 2-1 away win at Goa. Their form string of 'WDWWW' underscores a side that has found both attacking rhythm and late-game resilience, with goals in the 90th minute in two of their last three outings.
Premier League
FC Rostov
Krylia SovetovTwo closely matched mid-table sides meet with little to separate them in either form or underlying numbers. FC Rostov arrive unbeaten in five (DWWWD), averaging 2.
Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice
Korona KielcePiast Gliwice's home scoring rate (2. 43 per game) and Korona Kielce's away defensive frailty (1.
1. Lig
Iğdır FK
ÜmraniyesporA clash between Iğdır FK’s home solidity and Ümraniyespor’s recent attacking uptick sets up a contest likely to be defined by defensive organisation and low margins. The underlying rates for both sides point to a match where chances are at a premium and the draw is a live outcome.
Premier League
Zabbar St. Patrick
Gzira UnitedZabbar St. Patrick enter this fixture in the midst of a purple patch, having collected 10 points from their last four matches and scoring freely, while Gzira United are stuck in a rut with no league wins all season and a defence leaking nearly three goals per game over the last five.
2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld
1. FC MagdeburgThe statistical profile suggests a high-scoring, evenly matched contest between two sides whose attacking output outpaces their defensive reliability. Bielefeld's home scoring rate (2.
2. Bundesliga
SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC HeidenheimThis fixture pits a struggling Darmstadt side, winless in their last four league games, against a Heidenheim team whose away form is mixed but whose attack has consistently produced. With both teams trending above the league average for goals and corners, the statistical rates suggest a match with scoring opportunities at both ends, but Heidenheim's superior attacking output and Darmstadt's defensive frailty tip the balance toward the visitors.
Eliteserien
Molde
Bodo/GlimtThis fixture brings together the league's most prolific attack in recent weeks (Molde, 22 goals in last five) and the division's most consistent defence (Bodo/Glimt, 0. 88 goals conceded per game season-long, 13 conceded in 13 away).
Superliga
Aarhus
LyngbyAarhus’ strong home form and Lyngby’s defensive frailties on the road shape this as a contest where the hosts are statistically favoured, but the underlying goal rates suggest an open match with both sides likely to contribute on the scoresheet.
3. Liga
Havelse
FC Viktoria KölnA statistical mismatch: Viktoria Köln's league-best attack (2. 77 goals per game) faces a Havelse defence conceding 2.
Friendlies Clubs
AFC Eskilstuna
EnköpingMomentum is the defining theme for this friendly, with Enköping surging into form at precisely the right time. Their last five matches have yielded four wins and a draw, including an eye-catching 1-0 away victory over Eskilstuna just twelve days prior.
Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin
Slask WroclawPogon Szczecin’s robust home output (2. 00 goals per home game) meets a Slask Wroclaw side with the league’s second-worst away record, conceding 2.
Segunda DivisiónFC Andorra
LeganesThis fixture pits two struggling sides in the Segunda División, both hovering just above the relegation zone with a single point separating them. FC Andorra, despite a negative goal difference, have shown more attacking intent at home, averaging 1.
Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge
KVC WesterloThis fixture pits the league’s leakiest defences against each other, with Westerlo’s matches averaging 5. 1 total goals over the last five and Cercle Brugge conceding two per game at home.
Premier League
Airbus UK
Colwyn BayThis fixture brings together two sides separated by just two points and one place in the Welsh Premier League table, with Airbus UK (5th, 30 pts) hosting Colwyn Bay (4th, 32 pts) at The Airfield. Airbus UK arrive with momentum, riding a three-game winning streak and having scored at least three goals in each of their last four league outings.
Premier League
Briton Ferry
HolywellBriton Ferry enter this fixture having alternated wins and losses in their last five, but their home form is trending upward, highlighted by a 3-0 win over Llandudno and a five-goal cup rout. Holywell, by contrast, are mired in a four-match losing streak and remain winless this season, conceding 17 goals in their last five outings.
Premier League
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FCConnah's Quay arrive with the league's best defensive record and strong away form, while Caernarfon Town's attack ensures a competitive contest. The statistical profile points to a match with goals, but Connah's Quay's defensive solidity could be decisive.
Premier League
Cardiff MET
Ammanford AFCCardiff MET’s statistical profile points to a moderate goal environment with a clear edge over an Ammanford AFC side that concedes heavily away from home. The home side’s attack is efficient against bottom-half opposition, while Ammanford’s defensive record is among the league’s weakest.
Premier League
Flint Town United
Cambrian & ClydachStatistical signals point to a higher-scoring contest between two sides whose defensive records are among the weakest in the league. Flint Town United's home attack has found some rhythm lately, but Cambrian & Clydach's away games are consistently open, with 27 goals conceded in just 8 trips.
Premier League
Llandudno
Barry TownA mid-table Barry Town side with the league's fourth-best attack travels to a Llandudno team on a three-match losing streak, with both clubs conceding at a rate above 1. 8 per game.
Premier League
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFCPenybont arrive in rampant form, riding a four-match winning streak that’s seen them average 2. 6 goals per game and keep two clean sheets.
Premier League
The New Saints
TrefelinThe New Saints come into this fixture riding a wave of dominance, unbeaten in 16 league games and fresh from a 1-0 away win at Llandudno. Their last five matches have seen explosive attacking displays, including a 9-0 demolition of Ammanford and a 6-1 rout at Holywell, with only one goal conceded in that stretch.
National LeagueSouthendBoreham WoodMomentum is the story coming into this clash at Roots Hall. Southend have hit a patch of turbulence with just one win in their last five league outings (form string: LDDLW), conceding at least twice in each of those games and seeing leads slip away late.
Premier League
Balzan FC
MostaThis is a statistical dead heat between two mid-table sides with nearly identical records—Balzan FC (3W 5D 4L, 16:14) and Mosta (3W 6D 3L, 15:20)—separated by a single point and one league position. Recent form is patchy for both: Balzan snapped a four-match winless run with a 3-0 away win last time out, while Mosta are winless in five (DLDLD) and have struggled for goals, failing to score in three of those games.
League OneBarnsleySheffield WednesdayThis fixture pits a struggling Barnsley side, stuck in the relegation zone and conceding at a rate of 1. 83 per game, against a Sheffield Wednesday team with a positive goal difference and solid away record.
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