FC Andorra vs Leganes Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
FC Andorra
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Leganes
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: FC Andorra vs Leganes
FC Andorra vs Leganes: Match Preview
FC Andorra and Leganes meet in a critical lower-table clash, separated by just one point and both desperate to arrest poor league form. Andorra arrive with a DWLLW run, having scored eight in their last five league games but conceding seven, while Leganes have lost three of their last five and have the league's third-worst defensive record. Both sides are in need of points to avoid being dragged deeper into relegation trouble, and neither has established any real momentum this autumn.
The statistical matchup points towards goals. Andorra's attack is generating 10.6 shots and 5.2 on target per game over the last five, and their matches have finished over 2.5 goals in 58% of cases. Leganes, meanwhile, have conceded 14 in seven away matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five league games. Both sides are vulnerable after half-time, with Andorra and Leganes each conceding at least four second-half goals in their last five. Set pieces could be a factor, as both average around four corners per game and commit over 13 fouls per match, with cards likely given their recent discipline records.
Given the rates, the model expects a match with above-average scoring and defensive lapses on both sides. FC Andorra's home attack is likely to exploit Leganes' away frailty, but Leganes' recent shot output suggests they will not be passive. The likeliest outcome is a narrow home win with both teams on the scoresheet, but the volatility of both defences keeps the draw and BTTS very much in play.
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Expected goals · model says 1.50
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS: Yes
54%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
FC Andorra vs Leganes Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind FC Andorra vs Leganes that most previews miss.
- 1FC Andorra's home matches average 3.5 total goals this season, compared to just 2.7 for Leganes' away games.
- 2Leganes have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five league matches, conceding 11 goals in that span.
- 3Across the last eight H2H meetings, five have ended level or with a one-goal margin.
Who do you think wins: FC Andorra vs Leganes?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: FC Andorra vs Leganes(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides average over 1.7 goals conceded per game this season, and FC Andorra's matches have hit over 2.5 goals in 58% of cases, while Leganes have seen a recent spike in goals (seven in their last two league games).
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Match Result: Home Win Win
FC Andorra's attack (1.42 goals per game) faces a Leganes defence conceding 2.0 per away match, and the home side's shot volume (10.6 per game last five) suggests enough threat to edge a low-confidence relegation scrap.
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More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This FC Andorra vs Leganes Prediction
This fixture pits two struggling sides in the Segunda División, both hovering just above the relegation zone with a single point separating them. FC Andorra, despite a negative goal difference, have shown more attacking intent at home, averaging 1.67 goals per home match, while Leganes have struggled on their travels, conceding 2.0 goals per away game and scoring just 0.71. The recent form string for both (Andorra DWLLW, Leganes WLLDL) points to inconsistency, but Andorra's higher scoring output and shot volume give them a marginal edge. Statistically, this is a clash between a home side with a leaky but proactive attack and an away team with the league's third-worst defensive record. Andorra's last five league games average three goals, and their matches have finished over 2.5 goals in 58% of cases. Leganes, meanwhile, have conceded 14 in seven away games and have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five league outings. Both teams have shown a tendency to allow goals after half-time: Andorra have conceded four second-half goals in their last five, while Leganes have shipped five in the same period. Discipline could play a part, with both sides averaging over 2.4 yellow cards per game recently. The model expects a match with above-average scoring chances, driven by defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. FC Andorra's home attack should capitalise on Leganes' away frailty, while Leganes' recent uptick in shot output (12 per game last five) means they are not without threat. The likeliest scenario is a narrow home win in a match with goals at both ends, but the volatility of both defences keeps the draw and BTTS very much in play.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →FC Andorra average 1.67 goals scored per home game, while Leganes concede 2.0 per away game.
Match Context
- →Leganes have scored just five goals in seven away matches this season.
- →Both teams' matches have seen a high rate of over 2.5 goals: Andorra 58%, Leganes 38%.
🚩 FC Andorra vs Leganes Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.2 corners for FC Andorra and 5.4 for Leganes, for an expected total of 10.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (62%). Over 8.5: 73% · Over 10.5: 50%.
How FC Andorra and Leganes Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
FC Andorra vs Leganes Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
FC Andorralast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Leganeslast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
FC Andorra have shown attacking intent in recent weeks, scoring eight goals in their last five league matches but also conceding seven, with a DWLLW form string. Leganes, meanwhile, have lost three of their last five and conceded 11 goals in that period, with their only recent win coming in the cup. Both teams are struggling for consistency and defensive solidity.
FC Andorra vs Leganes — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: FC Andorra vs Leganes
The head-to-head record is notably balanced, with four draws in the last eight meetings and neither side establishing dominance. Recent matches at Andorra have been high-scoring and tight, with both teams finding the net in three of the last four encounters.
FC Andorra vs Leganes Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
2
FC Andorra wins
4
Draws
2
Leganes wins
Things to Watch: FC Andorra vs Leganes
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available; value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Both teams are highly inconsistent and prone to defensive errors, increasing volatility.
- ⚠️Recent lineups and tactical setups may shift, as both sides have rotated in cup matches.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
FC Andorra 2–1 LeganesThe model predicts a 2-1 win for FC Andorra, with the single strongest data point being Leganes' away defensive record—14 conceded in seven away games. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Andorra's own defensive lapses allow Leganes to take advantage, making a high-scoring draw a significant risk.
FC Andorra vs Leganes: Common Questions
Who will win FC Andorra vs Leganes?
The model gives FC Andorra a 41% chance of victory, with the draw at 34% and Leganes at 25%. This is based on Andorra's stronger home attack and Leganes' poor away defensive record.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in FC Andorra vs Leganes?
There's a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals, driven by both teams' high concession rates and Andorra's 58% over 2.5 goals rate this season.
Are both teams likely to score in FC Andorra vs Leganes?
Both teams to score is rated at 56%, as both sides have scored and conceded frequently in recent matches, and neither keeps clean sheets consistently.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for FC Andorra vs Leganes: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 13 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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