Granada CF vs Las Palmas Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Granada CF
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Las Palmas
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Granada CF Win
Recommended Bets: Granada CF vs Las Palmas
Granada CF vs Las Palmas: Match Preview
Granada CF come into this fixture in irresistible form, having reeled off five straight wins in all competitions and conceding just once in that span. Their surge has lifted them into the top five and firmly into the promotion conversation, a marked turnaround from a patchy start to the season. Las Palmas, meanwhile, sit 12th after a turbulent run: two wins in their last five have been offset by three defeats, and their defensive issues have kept them from climbing the table.
The tactical contrast is stark. Granada have built their run on defensive solidity—four clean sheets in five and just 0.2 goals conceded per game—while their attack has found rhythm, especially after the break (seven second-half goals in five). Las Palmas, despite flashes of attacking quality (1.4 goals per game in last five), have been porous at the back, conceding 2.0 per game and allowing early goals. Their away record (three wins, three losses, 13 conceded in six) underlines their unpredictability, while their discipline is a concern with 3.6 yellow cards per game recently. Set pieces may be a factor, as Granada have averaged just 1.8 corners in their last five, but have made those chances count.
The data suggests Granada's momentum is likely to continue, with their defensive structure and clinical finishing at home likely to be too much for a Las Palmas side that struggles to keep the back door shut on the road. The model expects a 2-1 home win, with the most plausible risk being Las Palmas finding a way through on the counter or from a set play.
How Granada CF and Las Palmas Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Granada CF vs Las Palmas Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Granada CFlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Las Palmaslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Granada CF are the form team in the division, having won five on the bounce and conceding just once in that stretch. Their results have been built on a watertight defence and a growing attacking threat, with Pascual and Gumbau both contributing key goals. Las Palmas, meanwhile, have been inconsistent: two wins in their last five have been mixed with heavy defeats, and their defence has looked vulnerable both home and away.
Granada CF vs Las Palmas — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +5/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
Granada CF vs Las Palmas Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Granada CF vs Las Palmas that most previews miss.
- 1Granada have kept four clean sheets in their last five, conceding only once across 450 league minutes.
- 2Las Palmas matches have averaged 3.4 total goals in their last five, with both teams scoring in three of those games.
- 3Granada have scored seven of their last ten goals in the second half, highlighting a strong finishing kick.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
53%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Granada CF vs Las Palmas?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
The Case For This Granada CF vs Las Palmas Prediction
Granada CF are riding a wave of momentum, having stitched together five consecutive wins in all competitions, including four clean sheets and a run of just one goal conceded in their last five league outings. Las Palmas, by contrast, have been far more erratic, mixing two recent wins with three losses in their last five, and their defensive frailties have been exposed repeatedly on the road (13 conceded in 6 away league matches). The home side's current surge has propelled them into the thick of the promotion race, while Las Palmas are mired in mid-table and still searching for consistency. Statistically, Granada's recent games have been defined by a blend of defensive discipline and clinical finishing: they average just 0.2 goals conceded and 2.0 scored per match over the last five, with 80% clean sheets in that span. Las Palmas, meanwhile, have managed 1.4 goals scored but are shipping 2.0 per game over the same period, with only one clean sheet and three matches where both teams scored. Granada's attack, led by Pascual (three goals in last five), has been particularly effective after half-time (seven second-half goals in five), while Las Palmas' defence tends to unravel early, conceding four first-half goals in that stretch. Set-piece threat and discipline could also play a role, with Las Palmas averaging 3.6 yellows per game recently. The model expects Granada's momentum to carry them through, especially given their ability to control matches at home and Las Palmas' vulnerability away. While Las Palmas have shown flashes of attacking promise, their defensive record and erratic recent form suggest they are unlikely to halt Granada's charge. A 2-1 home win is projected, with the most plausible risk being Las Palmas capitalising on a rare lapse or set-piece to snatch a draw.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Granada CF's five-match winning streak with four clean sheets and just one goal conceded.
- →Las Palmas conceding 2.0 goals per game on average in their last five, with only one clean sheet.
- →Granada's strong second-half scoring (seven goals in last five) versus Las Palmas' tendency to concede early.
Where the Model Sees Value: Granada CF vs Las Palmas(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Granada CF Win
Granada CF arrive with five straight wins, conceding just once in that spell (0.2 goals against per game), while Las Palmas have lost three of their last five and conceded two or more in four of those. The home side's momentum and defensive solidity at home (just 5 conceded in 5) gives them the edge.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have seen over 2.5 goals in at least half their matches this season (Granada 50%, Las Palmas 66.7%), and Las Palmas' last five average 3.4 total goals per game. Granada's attack is in rhythm, and Las Palmas' defence remains leaky away.
Read more ↓
More Segunda División Predictions
🚩 Granada CF vs Las Palmas Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for Granada CF and 4.2 for Las Palmas, for an expected total of 8.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (64%). Over 8.5: 49% · Over 10.5: 25%.
What History Says: Granada CF vs Las Palmas
Recent head-to-head meetings have been tight, with five draws in the last ten and low-scoring affairs common—Granada's last two home games against Las Palmas ended 0-0 and 1-1. Neither side has dominated this fixture, and only two of the last ten have been settled by more than one goal.
Granada CF vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Granada CF wins
5
Draws
3
Las Palmas wins
Things to Watch: Granada CF vs Las Palmas
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds are unavailable, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Granada's recent defensive record may be slightly flattered by a soft fixture run.
- ⚠️Las Palmas have won three of their last six away in the league, so their away threat cannot be discounted.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Granada CF 2–1 Las PalmasGranada CF's five-match winning streak, underpinned by four clean sheets and a surge in second-half goals, is the single strongest signal in the data. The model projects a 2-1 home win, but acknowledges Las Palmas' away scoring record and the history of close H2H matches as the main risks to this outcome.
Granada CF vs Las Palmas: Common Questions
Who will win Granada CF vs Las Palmas?
Granada CF are rated 51% likely to win, based on their five-match winning streak and defensive solidity (just one goal conceded in last five). Las Palmas have a 20% chance, with a 29% probability for the draw.
Will both teams score in Granada CF vs Las Palmas?
There's a 51% probability for both teams to score. Granada have kept four clean sheets in five, but Las Palmas have netted in four of their last five and both teams have scored in three of those.
Can Granada CF's winning run continue?
Granada's current momentum is exceptional, with five straight wins and four clean sheets. Their defensive and attacking numbers suggest the run is sustainable, especially against a Las Palmas side conceding 2.0 per game recently.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Granada CF vs Las Palmas: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 8 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.