Eibar vs Cadiz Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Eibar
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Cadiz
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Eibar Win
Recommended Bets: Eibar vs Cadiz
Eibar vs Cadiz: Match Preview
Eibar enter this fixture sitting fourth in the Segunda División, with a strong home record (3W, 2D, 1L) and 10 goals scored at Ipurua. Their recent form is mixed, with just one win in the last five, but their overall season profile remains positive. Cadiz, by contrast, are in the relegation zone and have yet to win away, collecting just two points from five road matches and conceding 10 goals in the process.
Statistically, this match projects as an above-average goal environment. Eibar average 1.75 goals scored per game and 1.17 conceded, while Cadiz’s away defence is leaky (2.0 goals conceded per away match). Both sides have seen BTTS in four of their last five league games, and neither has managed a clean sheet in that span. Eibar’s shot volume (14.8 per game, 5.2 on target) dwarfs Cadiz’s away output (8.8 shots, 2.6 on target), suggesting the home side will control territory and chances.
The model expects Eibar to set the tempo early, with a 62% chance of a goal before the half-hour and a 57% probability they score first. Cadiz’s recent attacking improvement keeps them in the contest, but their defensive record and lack of away wins tilt the balance toward a 2-1 Eibar result. The most plausible deviation is Cadiz nicking a point if Eibar’s defence, which has conceded in every home game since September, fails to hold late on.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
53%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Eibar vs Cadiz Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Eibar vs Cadiz that most previews miss.
- 1Eibar’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 58% of league games this season, compared to the Segunda average of 44%.
- 2Cadiz are winless away and concede exactly 2 goals per away fixture, the third-worst such rate in the division.
- 3Across the last six H2H meetings, the home side has won four times and kept a clean sheet in three of those.
Who do you think wins: Eibar vs Cadiz?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Eibar vs Cadiz(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Eibar Win
Eibar’s home scoring rate (1.67 goals/game) and Cadiz’s winless away record (0W, 2D, 3L, 2.0 conceded/game) support a home edge, with the model probability at 51%.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have over 2.5 goals in more than half their matches (Eibar 58%, Cadiz 54%), and both average over 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
Four of the last five matches for both sides saw both teams score, and neither has kept a clean sheet in that span.
More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This Eibar vs Cadiz Prediction
Eibar’s robust home record and attacking output meet a Cadiz side struggling to collect points on the road. The underlying scoring and concession rates point to a match with above-average goal expectancy, with Eibar’s 1.75 goals per game and Cadiz conceding 2.0 per away match. The likeliest scenario is a narrow home win, but Cadiz’s recent attacking uptick and the high BTTS rate keep the draw and BTTS markets in play.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Eibar average 1.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per home game this season.
- →Cadiz have not won away (0W, 2D, 3L) and concede 2.0 goals per away match.
Match Context
- →Both teams have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5 league games.
🚩 Eibar vs Cadiz Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Eibar and 4.6 for Cadiz, for an expected total of 9.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 62% · Over 10.5: 37%.
How Eibar and Cadiz Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Eibar vs Cadiz Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Eibarlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Cadizlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Eibar’s recent form is patchy (DLDLW), but their season-long numbers remain strong, especially at home where they’ve scored 10 in six matches. Cadiz have lost four of their last five league games (LLWLL) and remain winless away, though they have found the net in four of their last five overall.
Eibar vs Cadiz — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Eibar vs Cadiz
Eibar have won both of the last two home meetings with Cadiz, including a 3-1 result last March. The overall head-to-head is balanced, but home advantage has been decisive in recent seasons, with the home side winning four of the last six encounters.
Eibar vs Cadiz Head-to-Head History
Last 6 meetings between these sides
2
Eibar wins
1
Draws
3
Cadiz wins
Things to Watch: Eibar vs Cadiz
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available; value calculations omitted.
- ⚠️Lineups are unavailable; late injuries or rotations could affect attacking/defensive balance.
- ⚠️Cadiz’s away attack has shown recent improvement, raising volatility.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Eibar 2–1 CadizThe model projects a 2-1 win for Eibar, driven by their superior home scoring rate and Cadiz’s persistent away defensive issues. The strongest data point is Cadiz’s 0% away win rate and 2.0 goals conceded per road match. The main risk is Eibar’s recent tendency to concede late, which could allow Cadiz to salvage a draw if the home side fail to convert their shot dominance.
Eibar vs Cadiz: Common Questions
Who will win Eibar vs Cadiz?
Eibar are favoured with a 51% win probability, based on their 1.67 goals per home game and Cadiz’s winless away record (0W, 2D, 3L). The draw is next most likely at 29%, with Cadiz given a 20% chance.
Will both teams score in Eibar vs Cadiz?
There’s a 56% probability both teams score, as four of the last five matches for each side have seen BTTS, and neither has kept a clean sheet in that span.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Eibar vs Cadiz?
The model assigns a 54% chance to over 2.5 goals, with both teams averaging more than 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game, and Eibar’s matches going over 2.5 in 58% of cases.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Eibar vs Cadiz: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 8 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.