Ried vs First Vienna Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Ried
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
First Vienna
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Ried vs First Vienna
Ried vs First Vienna: Match Preview
Ried enter this friendly with a mixed but attack-minded run of form, having scored and conceded 22 goals across 11 league matches, and both teams have found the net in each of their last five games. Their recent results include a 3-2 home win and a 2-2 away draw, highlighting both their scoring consistency and defensive vulnerability. First Vienna, meanwhile, have alternated between heavy defeats and solid results, including a 6-0 home loss and a 2-0 away win in their last four, and arrive with two wins from their last five but a negative recent goal difference.
Statistically, this fixture projects as high-scoring. Ried's home matches average 2.38 goals scored and 1.50 conceded, with an 81.8% over 2.5 goals rate. First Vienna's away games see 2.86 goals per match, but their clean sheet rate is only 23%. Ried have not failed to score in any of their last five, while Vienna have blanked twice in that span. Both teams tend to start quickly: Ried have scored six first-half goals in their last five, and Vienna have netted three. Set piece and discipline data are limited for Vienna, but Ried average 4 corners and 2 yellow cards per game in their last five, indicating a moderate set-piece threat and typical card risk.
Given Ried's strong home scoring record and Vienna's defensive issues, especially away from home, the model expects a match with above-average scoring and a slight edge to the hosts. The likeliest outcomes are 2-1 or 2-2, with over 2.5 goals the most robust statistical angle. Ried's attacking output and Vienna's recent defensive lapses make a home win and goals the most probable scenario.
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Ried vs First Vienna Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Ried vs First Vienna that most previews miss.
- 1Ried's last five matches have all seen both teams score, with an average of 4 total goals per game.
- 2First Vienna have conceded 2 or more goals in three of their last five matches, including a 0-6 defeat.
- 3Ried's home matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 81.8% of league fixtures this season.
Who do you think wins: Ried vs First Vienna?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Ried vs First Vienna(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Ried's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 81.8% of league games this season, and both sides average nearly 2 goals scored per game; the underlying rates point to a higher goal environment than average.
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Match Result: Ried Win
Ried have a strong home scoring record (19 goals in 8 home games) and have lost only once at home this season, while First Vienna have conceded 10 in 7 away matches and lost heavily in their last two away fixtures against higher-tier sides.
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The Case For This Ried vs First Vienna Prediction
Ried approach this friendly with a mixed recent record but a clear attacking identity, having scored 22 and conceded 22 in 11 competitive matches this season. Their last five have produced 10 goals for and 10 against, with both teams scoring in all five. First Vienna, meanwhile, come in off a 1-1 away draw but suffered a heavy 0-6 home defeat two games ago, and their last five have seen them win twice and lose twice, with a negative goal difference over that span. Statistically, Ried's home fixtures are high-event: they average 2.38 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per home game, with an 81.8% over 2.5 goals rate. First Vienna's away matches are less volatile but still feature 2.86 goals per game (14 for, 10 against in 7 away), and their clean sheet rate away from home is just 23%. Ried's attack is consistent—no failed-to-score in the last five—while Vienna have failed to score in two of their last five and conceded multiple goals in three. Both teams' recent matches skew towards first-half scoring (Ried: 6 first-half, 3 second-half in last five), suggesting early goals are likely. Given these patterns and a head-to-head history dominated by Ried at home (three wins and a draw in four), the model expects a match with above-average scoring and a slight edge to the hosts. Ried's superior home attack and Vienna's defensive frailty, especially against higher-tier opponents, make a 2-1 or 2-2 outcome most plausible, with over 2.5 goals the strongest statistical angle.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Ried have scored in every one of their last five matches, with both teams scoring in all five.
Defence
- →First Vienna have conceded 10 goals in 7 away matches and lost 0-6 at home two games ago.
Match Context
- →Ried's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 81.8% of league games this season.
🚩 Ried vs First Vienna Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.6 corners for Ried and 5 for First Vienna, for an expected total of 9.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 62% · Over 10.5: 37%.
How Ried and First Vienna Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Ried vs First Vienna Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Riedlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
First Viennalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Ried's recent form is attack-driven, with 10 goals scored and 10 conceded in their last five, and a form string of LDDWW. They have not failed to score in any of those matches but have also failed to keep a clean sheet. First Vienna's form is more erratic, with DLLWW in their last five and a heavy 0-6 defeat standing out among otherwise competitive results.
Ried vs First Vienna — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 81.82% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
What History Says: Ried vs First Vienna
Ried have dominated the recent head-to-heads at home, winning three of the last four and scoring 13 goals in those games. The most recent meeting ended 1-1, but previous home fixtures produced 4-1 and 6-1 wins for Ried, suggesting a historical edge and a trend towards high-scoring outcomes.
Ried vs First Vienna Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings between these sides
3
Ried wins
1
Draws
1
First Vienna wins
Things to Watch: Ried vs First Vienna
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value calculations and expected value are omitted.
- ⚠️Standings data is missing; league context and motivation are harder to quantify.
- ⚠️First Vienna's last five match stats are incomplete (shots, possession etc.), adding uncertainty to defensive/attacking estimates.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Ried 2–1 First ViennaThe model projects a 2-1 win for Ried, driven by their 2.38 goals scored per home game and First Vienna's recent defensive frailty. The strongest supporting statistic is Ried's 81.8% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season. The main risk is Vienna's occasional attacking surges away from home, which could turn this into a higher-scoring draw.
Ried vs First Vienna: Common Questions
Who will win Ried vs First Vienna?
The model gives Ried a 44% chance of victory, with a 32% probability for a draw and 24% for a First Vienna win. Ried's strong home scoring record and dominance in recent head-to-head meetings tilt the edge their way.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Ried vs First Vienna?
There's a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals, based on Ried's 81.8% over 2.5 rate this season and both teams' average of nearly 2 goals scored per game.
Are both teams likely to score in Ried vs First Vienna?
Both teams to score is rated at 59%, with Ried having seen BTTS in all of their last five matches and First Vienna scoring in three of their last five.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Ried vs First Vienna: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 12 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.