ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
ES Hammam-Sousse
AI Predicted Score
0 - 1
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Recommended Bets: ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer: Match Preview
ES Hammam-Sousse come into this match at their lowest ebb, rooted to the bottom of the table with six defeats from seven and a five-game losing streak. Their only point came on opening day, and since then the goals have dried up—just two scored all season, with three games in the last five failing to find the net. Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, meanwhile, have established themselves as one of the league’s toughest units to break down, conceding just twice in seven matches and keeping three clean sheets in their last five. Their recent form string of DLWDW shows a side that, while not prolific, is exceptionally hard to beat.
Statistically, the matchup is stark: Hammam-Sousse average just 0.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last five, while Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer’s last five have averaged a combined total of just one goal per game. The away side’s defensive setup is particularly effective on the road, where they have drawn two and lost one, conceding only twice and scoring once. Hammam-Sousse’s home record offers little hope—one goal in three matches, with five conceded—while their discipline is becoming a concern, as evidenced by five yellow cards in their most recent home outing.
Given these trends, the model expects a slow-burning contest with few clear chances. Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer’s defensive discipline and Hammam-Sousse’s lack of attacking spark point towards a low-scoring draw or a narrow away win. The most likely scenario is a single-goal margin, if any, with neither side equipped to chase the game should they fall behind.
How ES Hammam-Sousse and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
ES Hammam-Sousselast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïerlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
ES Hammam-Sousse are mired in a five-match losing streak, having conceded 11 and scored just two in that run. Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, by contrast, have lost only once in seven and come off a run of three clean sheets in their last five, with their defensive discipline underpinning a steady climb up the table.
ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer — Last 7 Matches
Concerns
- −5/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +71.43% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer that most previews miss.
- 1ES Hammam-Sousse have failed to score in three of their last five matches, averaging just 0.4 goals per game in that span.
- 2Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer have kept three clean sheets in their last five, conceding only one goal in that run.
- 3All three of Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer’s away games this season have finished under 2.5 goals, with a combined total of just three goals scored.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 0.40
Expected goals · model says 0.65
Over 2.5 Goals
9%
BTTS: Yes
16%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
The Case For This ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer Prediction
ES Hammam-Sousse enter this fixture in freefall, having lost five on the bounce and still searching for their first league win of the campaign. Their attack has been blunt—just two goals in seven games—while defensive frailty has seen them ship 12. Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, by contrast, ride in with real defensive momentum: three clean sheets in their last five, only two goals conceded all season, and a sturdy if unspectacular away record built on discipline and containment. The tactical battle will likely be dictated by Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer’s ability to suffocate games on the road. They average just 0.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per away match, and their last three away games have produced a solitary goal between both sides. ES Hammam-Sousse’s inability to create chances or threaten regularly—0.4 goals per game in their last five—means they are unlikely to break down a defence with a 71% clean sheet rate. Set piece and discipline data is limited, but Hammam-Sousse’s recent five-card outing hints at frustration and possible indiscipline under pressure. Expect a cagey, attritional contest, with Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer content to keep things tight and Hammam-Sousse lacking the confidence or firepower to force the issue. The model leans towards a low-scoring draw or narrow away win, with the visitors’ defensive solidity and the hosts’ ongoing struggles in front of goal the decisive factors.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer have the league's second-best defensive record with just two goals conceded and a 71% clean sheet rate.
- →The away side have drawn two of three away games, scoring only once but conceding just twice.
Match Context
- →ES Hammam-Sousse have lost five straight matches and scored only two goals in seven league games.
Where the Model Sees Value: ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Both sides have shown a strong tendency towards low-scoring, tight matches—Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer have drawn three of seven and their away record is two draws and one defeat with just one goal scored, while ES Hammam-Sousse have failed to win in seven and average only 0.29 goals per game. The form guide points to a stalemate, particularly given the away side's conservative approach on their travels.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Neither side has shown attacking threat—Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer have not had a single away game over 2.5 goals this season, and ES Hammam-Sousse have scored just two goals in seven matches. The combined last 10 league games for these teams have produced just 7 goals, with both averaging under one goal scored per match.
Read more ↓
BTTS: No
Eight of the last ten combined matches for these sides have seen at least one team fail to score, and ES Hammam-Sousse have failed to score in three of their last five. Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer have kept three clean sheets in their last five and concede just 0.29 per game this season.
Read more ↓
More Ligue 1 Predictions
What History Says: ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
The only previous meeting between these sides ended in a 3-2 away win for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, but current form points to a much tighter contest. Both teams have shifted towards defensive, low-scoring games this season, making a repeat of that five-goal thriller unlikely.
ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
ES Hammam-Sousse wins
0
Draws
1
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer wins
Things to Watch: ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️No detailed shot, possession, or set piece data for either side—limits precision on attacking/defensive process.
- ⚠️Only one previous head-to-head meeting, so little H2H trend data.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
ES Hammam-Sousse 0–1 Progrès Sakiet EddaïerThe Form Guide points to a 0-1 away win, with Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer’s defensive solidity—just two goals conceded in seven league games—the single strongest factor. The main risk is that their conservative away setup produces another stalemate, especially if Hammam-Sousse can frustrate and drag the game into a midfield battle.
ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer: Common Questions
Who will win ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
The model gives Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer a 35% chance of victory and ES Hammam-Sousse just 17%, with the draw the most likely outcome at 48%. Hammam-Sousse's five-game losing streak and lack of attacking threat tilt the probabilities towards the visitors or a stalemate.
Will both teams score in ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
Both teams to score is rated unlikely, with just a 19% probability. Eight of the last ten combined matches for these sides have seen at least one team fail to score, and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer have kept three clean sheets in their last five.
Can ES Hammam-Sousse end their losing streak?
The data suggests it is unlikely—Hammam-Sousse have lost five straight and scored only twice all season, while Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer have conceded just two goals in seven matches and are unbeaten away from home in their last two.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 13 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer Resources
ES Hammam-Sousse Predictions
All ES Hammam-Sousse fixtures & tips
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer Predictions
All Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer fixtures & tips
ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Ligue 1 Predictions
All fixtures for this competition
Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results