CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
CS Hammam-Lif
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
ES Metlaoui
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Recommended Bets: CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui
CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui: Match Preview
CS Hammam-Lif and ES Metlaoui both find themselves in the lower reaches of the Ligue 1 table, separated by a single point after seven rounds. Hammam-Lif have yet to win at home, managing just one goal in three matches at Stade Municipal, while Metlaoui have lost all three of their away fixtures, conceding six and scoring only once. Both teams are coming off improved recent form—Hammam-Lif are unbeaten in three, Metlaoui have won two of their last five—but neither has found a consistent attacking rhythm.
The underlying rates suggest a low-scoring contest. Hammam-Lif average 0.43 goals per game and have failed to score in four of seven matches, while Metlaoui's away attack is similarly blunt with one goal in three outings. Defensively, both sides are vulnerable but not catastrophic: Hammam-Lif concede 0.86 per game, Metlaoui 1.43. Notably, neither side has kept more than one clean sheet all season, but the lack of attacking output on both sides keeps the expected goal total low. Set-piece and disciplinary data are unavailable, but neither team has shown a tendency for high cards or corners in the limited available stats.
Given the historical pattern—seven draws in the last ten meetings, with five ending 1-1 or 0-0—and the current season's scoring rates, the model projects a tight, low-scoring affair with the draw as the modal outcome. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, with under 2.5 goals strongly favoured by the data.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.80
Expected goals · model says 0.60
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
BTTS: Yes
25%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui that most previews miss.
- 1CS Hammam-Lif's matches have not gone over 2.5 goals this season (0% over 2.5).
- 2ES Metlaoui have failed to score in two of their three away matches and have not drawn away all season.
- 3Across the last ten H2H meetings, only once has either side scored more than two goals in a match.
Who do you think wins: CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui?
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Where the Model Sees Value: CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Seven of the last ten head-to-heads have ended level, and both sides are among the league's lowest scorers with 0.43 and 0.71 goals per game respectively, making a stalemate statistically most likely.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
CS Hammam-Lif have yet to see a match go over 2.5 goals this season (0%), and ES Metlaoui's away games average just 2.33 goals, supporting a low total.
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More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui Prediction
Both sides arrive with bottom-four attacks and defensive records that, while not disastrous, have not compensated for their lack of scoring punch. The statistical shape of this fixture is defined by low expected goals: Hammam-Lif average just 0.43 goals per game, Metlaoui 0.71, and neither keeps clean sheets with regularity. Draws have dominated the historical matchup, and the underlying rates point to another tight contest.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Seven of the last ten head-to-heads have ended in draws, with five finishing 1-1 or 0-0.
Defence
- →ES Metlaoui have lost all three away matches, scoring just once and conceding six.
Match Context
- →CS Hammam-Lif have scored only 3 goals in 7 matches (0.43 per game), the lowest in Ligue 1.
How CS Hammam-Lif and ES Metlaoui Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
CS Hammam-Liflast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
ES Metlaouilast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
CS Hammam-Lif have taken five points from their last three matches, including a win and two draws, but remain winless at home and have scored just once in three home games. ES Metlaoui have lost three of their last five but did win their most recent match, and have yet to earn a point away from home, scoring only once in three away fixtures.
CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui — Last 7 Matches
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui
The last ten meetings between these sides have produced seven draws, with five finishing 1-1 or 0-0. CS Hammam-Lif have not beaten ES Metlaoui in this period, and Metlaoui have won three times, all away from home. The fixture is typically low-scoring and tightly contested.
CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
0
CS Hammam-Lif wins
7
Draws
3
ES Metlaoui wins
Things to Watch: CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Shots, possession, and set-piece data are missing, limiting granularity in attacking/defensive analysis.
- ⚠️Both teams' recent lineups are stable and there are no reported injuries.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
CS Hammam-Lif 1–1 ES MetlaouiThe model expects a 1-1 draw, driven by both teams' chronic lack of attacking output—Hammam-Lif at 0.43 goals per game, Metlaoui at 0.71—and the strong historical trend towards stalemates in this fixture. The main risk is that Metlaoui's defence, which has conceded two or more in every away match, collapses again, or Hammam-Lif's home drought continues and produces a goalless draw.
CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui: Common Questions
Who will win CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui?
The most likely result is a draw (39% probability), with Hammam-Lif given a 37% chance and Metlaoui 24%. Both sides have struggled to win, and seven of the last ten meetings have ended level.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui?
Under 2.5 goals is strongly favoured (81% probability). Hammam-Lif have yet to see a match go over 2.5 goals this season, and Metlaoui's away games average just 2.33 goals.
How often do CS Hammam-Lif and ES Metlaoui draw?
Seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings have ended in draws, including four 1-1s and two 0-0s, reflecting both sides' low scoring rates and cautious approach.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 13 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.