Leicester vs Bradford Predictions
League One · England
Leicester
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Bradford
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
@ 2.2(+41% edge)
Recommended Bets: Leicester vs Bradford
Leicester vs Bradford: Match Preview
Leicester approach this fixture on the back of a five-match run featuring 13 goals scored and only one defeat, but their home record remains inconsistent (3W, 1D, 3L) and they sit 10th in League One. Bradford, seventh in the table, have built their position on defensive solidity rather than attacking output, with just 10 goals scored but only 8 conceded in 13 matches. Both sides are within striking distance of the play-off places, and a tight contest is expected given their respective strengths.
The defining statistical contrast is Leicester's attack, averaging 1.69 goals per game (2.8 in the last five), against a Bradford defence that has kept 9 clean sheets in 13 (69.2%) and conceded just 0.62 per game—the best in the division. Bradford's away matches are especially low scoring, with only 7 goals scored and conceded combined in 7 games (average 1.0 per match). Leicester's home games, by contrast, average 3.29 goals, but their defensive record at King Power (12 conceded in 7) is a concern. Set pieces could play a role, with both sides averaging over 7 corners per game recently, and disciplinary rates suggest a match with above-average cards (Leicester 2.0, Bradford 2.4 per game).
The model expects Bradford's defensive structure to limit Leicester's output, while the visitors' own attack—scoring just 0.77 per game—lacks the firepower to exploit Leicester's defensive lapses consistently. With both teams' season-long scoring rates pointing to a low goal environment, the likeliest scenario is a draw, with 1-1 the modal outcome. Under 2.5 goals is the strongest statistical angle, with both teams' recent and season-long numbers converging on a tight, low-scoring contest.
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Expected goals · model says 1.10
Expected goals · model says 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS: Yes
40%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Leicester vs Bradford Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Leicester vs Bradford that most previews miss.
- 1Bradford's away matches average just 1.0 total goal per game (4 scored, 3 conceded in 7), the lowest in the division.
- 2Leicester have scored in all of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.8 goals per game, but face a Bradford side with 4 clean sheets in their last 5 league outings.
- 3Both teams have seen under 2.5 goals in 4 of Bradford's last 5 league games and 9 of Bradford's 13 league matches this season.
Who do you think wins: Leicester vs Bradford?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Leicester vs Bradford(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5@ 2.2
Bradford's season over 2.5 rate is just 15.4%, and Leicester's attack faces a defence conceding only 0.62 per game; the model gives 64% for under 2.5, far above the 45% implied by the odds.
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Match Result: Draw@ 3.69
Both sides average more draws than wins, and Bradford's away record (3W 3D 1L, 4:3 goals) points to a low-margin contest; the model rates the draw at 36% versus a 28% market implied probability.
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More League One Predictions
The Case For This Leicester vs Bradford Prediction
Leicester's high-scoring home matches meet a Bradford side with the league's tightest defence and a strong away record. The statistical profile points to a low-scoring, closely contested fixture, with both teams' season-long rates converging on a 1-1 draw as the modal outcome.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Bradford have conceded only 8 goals in 13 league matches (0.62 per game), with 4 away goals conceded in 7 trips.
- →Leicester's home matches average 3.29 goals per game (11 for, 12 against in 7), but their attack will be tested by Bradford's 69% clean sheet rate.
- →Bradford's last 5 league matches have all finished under 2.5 goals, with just 2 goals conceded and 3 clean sheets.
🚩 Leicester vs Bradford Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 7.2 corners for Leicester and 6.6 for Bradford, for an expected total of 13.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (88%). Over 8.5: 93% · Over 10.5: 81%.
How Leicester and Bradford Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Leicester vs Bradford Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Leicesterlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Bradfordlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Leicester have found attacking rhythm in recent weeks, netting 14 times in their last 5 matches and suffering only one defeat. Bradford, meanwhile, have leaned on defensive resilience, recording 4 clean sheets in their last 5 league games but scoring just 4 goals in that span. The contrast is stark: Leicester's matches have been open and high scoring, while Bradford's have been tight, low-event affairs.
Leicester vs Bradford — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 69.23% of games this season
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Leicester vs Bradford
The model finds the strongest value in the under 2.5 goals market, where a 64% probability contrasts sharply with the 45% implied by odds of 2.2. The draw also rates as a value play, with a 36% model probability versus a 28% market price. Both angles are driven by Bradford's defensive record and low-scoring away profile.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Leicester vs Bradford
- ⚠️No head-to-head data available for these teams in recent seasons.
- ⚠️Leicester's recent attacking surge (2.8 goals per game last 5) could skew the goal environment if sustained.
- ⚠️Bradford's attack is blunt (0.77 per game), but a single early goal could open up the match.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Leicester 1–1 BradfordA 1-1 draw is the most probable outcome, underpinned by Bradford's exceptional defensive record (0.62 conceded per game, 69% clean sheet rate) and Leicester's inconsistent home form. The main risk is Leicester's recent attacking spike, but the season-long rates and Bradford's away discipline point to a cagey, low-scoring contest.
Leicester vs Bradford: Common Questions
Who will win Leicester vs Bradford?
The model gives Leicester a 37% chance to win, Bradford 27%, and a draw 36%. Both teams' season-long records and Bradford's defensive strength suggest a close contest, with the draw slightly favoured.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Leicester vs Bradford?
Under 2.5 goals is strongly favoured, with a 64% model probability compared to just 36% for over. Bradford's matches average only 1.38 goals, and their away games are especially low scoring.
Is both teams to score likely in Leicester vs Bradford?
Both teams to score is rated at 44%, with 'no' the more probable outcome (56%). Bradford have kept 9 clean sheets in 13 and failed to score in 3 of their last 5, making BTTS less likely than the market suggests.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Leicester vs Bradford: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 7 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.