Billericay Town vs Waltham Abbey Predictions
FA Trophy · England
Billericay Town
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Waltham Abbey
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Billericay Town vs Waltham Abbey
Billericay Town vs Waltham Abbey: Match Preview
Billericay Town enter this FA Trophy tie off the back of an impressive run at home, having won three of their last four at New Lodge by a combined margin of 12-2. Their last five matches have produced a form string of WDWWL, with a notable 5-0 win last time out. Waltham Abbey, meanwhile, have demonstrated attacking quality in cup competitions, scoring 14 goals in their last four competitive outings, but have conceded in four of their last five and have yet to face a side of Billericay's recent calibre.
The statistical matchup leans towards a high-scoring contest. Billericay's last five have averaged three goals scored and just one conceded per game, with three clean sheets. Waltham Abbey's attack has been prolific, but their defence has shown vulnerability, conceding 1.4 per game in the last five. Both teams tend to do their scoring early, with Billericay netting seven first-half goals in five matches and Waltham Abbey also showing a first-half bias. The absence of detailed set-piece or discipline data leaves some tactical unknowns, but the overall rates suggest an open game.
The model expects Billericay's home advantage and defensive edge to prove decisive against a Waltham Abbey side that has thrived against lesser opposition but may find it harder to keep the hosts at bay. The most probable scenario is a Billericay win in a match with multiple goals, with a 2-1 scoreline the statistical favourite. If Waltham Abbey's attack clicks early, however, a high-scoring draw cannot be ruled out.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
59%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Billericay Town vs Waltham Abbey Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Billericay Town vs Waltham Abbey that most previews miss.
- 1Billericay have scored at least three goals in four of their last five home matches.
- 2Waltham Abbey's season away record is perfect (2W, 0D, 0L) but with only five goals scored and two conceded, suggesting tighter games on the road.
- 3Both teams have scored in 60% of their combined last ten matches, supporting the BTTS market.
Who do you think wins: Billericay Town vs Waltham Abbey?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Billericay Town vs Waltham Abbey(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 2–1
Both sides have averaged over two goals scored per game in their last five, but Billericay have kept three clean sheets and are at home, making a narrow 2-1 home win the likeliest outcome by the model's distribution.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recent matches for both teams have seen high goal averages (Billericay 3.0, Waltham Abbey 2.6 per game in last five), and the model assigns a 58% chance to over 2.5 goals.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in 2 of Billericay's last 5 and 3 of Waltham Abbey's last 5, with both sides showing attacking threat and some defensive vulnerability.
Read more ↓
More FA Trophy Predictions
The Case For This Billericay Town vs Waltham Abbey Prediction
This fixture brings together two sides in strong attacking form, with Billericay Town averaging three goals per game across their last five and Waltham Abbey posting 2.6 in the same span. Defensive records diverge, however: Billericay have kept three clean sheets in their last five, while Waltham Abbey have conceded in four of their last five. With no head-to-head or league table context available, the model weights home advantage and recent defensive solidity in Billericay's favour. The statistical profile points to a high-probability goal environment. Both teams have cleared the 2.5 goal mark in the majority of recent fixtures, and neither side has failed to score in more than one of the last five. Billericay's first-half goal output (seven in five) suggests they start quickly, while Waltham Abbey have done most of their recent scoring before the break as well. Set-piece and discipline data are unavailable, but the moderate cards and corners estimates reflect typical rates for this level. Given the attacking rates and home clean sheets, the model expects Billericay to edge a competitive, open match. The likeliest path is a home side that capitalises on early momentum before absorbing pressure from a Waltham Abbey team that has shown it can score on the road, but is less consistent at the back.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in at least half of their recent matches, indicating a high scoring potential.
Defence
- →Billericay have scored 14 goals and conceded just 2 across their last four home matches.
- →Waltham Abbey have averaged 3.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game in their season record, but against weaker opposition.
How Billericay Town and Waltham Abbey Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Billericay Town vs Waltham Abbey Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Billericay Townlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Waltham Abbeylast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Billericay Town have built momentum at home, winning three of their last four with a combined tally of 12 goals scored and just two conceded. Waltham Abbey arrive in strong cup form, having won four of their last five and netted 14 goals, though their defensive record is less convincing with just one clean sheet in that span.
Billericay Town vs Waltham Abbey — Last 5 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 3.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Things to Watch: Billericay Town vs Waltham Abbey
- ⚠️No head-to-head or league standings data available; relative team strength is inferred from recent form only.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value assessment is limited and all recommended bets lack price context.
- ⚠️Lack of shot, possession, and set-piece data reduces confidence in secondary market predictions.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Billericay Town 2–1 Waltham AbbeyThe model forecasts a 2-1 win for Billericay Town, driven by their combination of home clean sheets and a three-goal per game attack in recent outings. The most significant risk to this outcome is Waltham Abbey's prolific cup scoring, which could expose any lapses in Billericay's defence and push the match towards a higher-scoring draw.
Billericay Town vs Waltham Abbey: Common Questions
Who will win Billericay Town vs Waltham Abbey?
The model gives Billericay Town a 44% chance of victory, with a 28% probability for both a draw and a Waltham Abbey win. Recent home form and defensive solidity tip the balance towards the hosts.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Billericay Town vs Waltham Abbey?
There's a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals, based on both teams averaging over two goals per game in their last five matches and frequent high-scoring results.
Are both teams likely to score in this match?
Yes, the model assigns a 54% chance to both teams scoring, reflecting that BTTS has landed in 2 of Billericay's last 5 and 3 of Waltham Abbey's last 5 matches.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Billericay Town vs Waltham Abbey: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 7 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Billericay Town vs Waltham Abbey Resources
Billericay Town Predictions
All Billericay Town fixtures & tips
Waltham Abbey Predictions
All Waltham Abbey fixtures & tips
Billericay Town vs Waltham Abbey Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Dagenham & Redbridge vs Billericay Town
Billericay Town — next match predictions
FA Trophy Predictions
All fixtures for this competition
Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results