Dagenham & Redbridge vs Billericay Town Predictions
National League - South · England
Dagenham & Redbridge
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Billericay Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Billericay Town Win
Recommended Bets: Dagenham & Redbridge vs Billericay Town
Dagenham & Redbridge vs Billericay Town: Match Preview
Dagenham & Redbridge enter this match seventh in the National League South, just one point ahead of eighth-placed Billericay Town but having played two more games. The hosts have collected five wins from seven at home, conceding only twice at Victoria Road all season, but recent form is patchy—just one win in their last four league matches. Billericay, meanwhile, are riding a four-match unbeaten league run and have scored 13 goals in their last five, including a 4-0 rout of Farnborough.
The statistical matchup is defined by extremes: Dagenham's home defence is among the best in the division (0.29 goals conceded per home match), while Billericay boast one of the league's most potent attacks (2.25 goals per game). However, Billericay's away defence is more vulnerable, shipping 7 in 5 away games, and their matches are high-event affairs with 75% over 2.5 goals. Dagenham's attack is the weak link, averaging under one goal per game across the season and failing to score in two of their last five.
The model projects that Billericay's offensive firepower will edge out Dagenham's defensive structure, with a likely 2-1 away win. The most plausible alternative is a low-scoring draw if the hosts' defensive rates hold, but the away side's season-long scoring trend and recent form tip the balance.
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Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS: Yes
60%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Dagenham & Redbridge vs Billericay Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Dagenham & Redbridge vs Billericay Town that most previews miss.
- 1Billericay Town's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 9 of 12 league games (75%), compared to just 21% for Dagenham & Redbridge.
- 2Dagenham & Redbridge have conceded only 2 goals in 7 home matches, a clean sheet rate of 71%.
- 3Billericay have scored in every away league match this season, averaging 1.6 goals per game on the road.
Who do you think wins: Dagenham & Redbridge vs Billericay Town?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Dagenham & Redbridge vs Billericay Town(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Billericay Town Win
Billericay Town average 2.25 goals per game this season (27 in 12), while Dagenham & Redbridge have scored just 0.93 per game and are winless in three of their last four. The away side's attack rate and recent form tilt the probabilities in their favour despite the hosts' strong home defensive record.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Billericay Town's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 75% of their league games, with a 2.25 goals for and 1.33 against per match rate, while Dagenham & Redbridge's home defence is strong but their last five have averaged 2.2 total goals. The model projects a moderate goal environment, with the away side's attack likely to drive the total.
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More National League - South Predictions
The Case For This Dagenham & Redbridge vs Billericay Town Prediction
This fixture pairs Dagenham & Redbridge's defensive home record against Billericay Town's prolific attack, with both sides tightly bunched in the National League South standings. Dagenham have five wins from seven at Victoria Road, conceding only twice at home all season, but their overall scoring rate is under one per game. Billericay, meanwhile, have netted 27 in 12 league outings and are unbeaten in their last four, with a recent run of high-scoring results. Statistically, the contrast is sharp: Dagenham's 0.93 goals scored per match (season) is dwarfed by Billericay's 2.25, and the visitors have averaged 2.6 goals per game across their last five. However, Billericay's away defence is not watertight (7 conceded in 5 away), and their matches see goals at both ends—over 2.5 goals in 75% of their fixtures. Dagenham's home clean sheet rate is 71%, but they've failed to score in two of their last five overall, hinting at a blunt attack. The model expects Billericay's attacking output to outweigh Dagenham's home defensive edge, projecting a 2-1 away win. The most likely route to error is if Dagenham's home defensive solidity suppresses Billericay's attack more than the underlying rates suggest, but the distribution of goals and recent form point to the away side having the upper hand.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Dagenham & Redbridge have conceded just 2 goals in 7 home matches (0.29 per game).
Match Context
- →Billericay Town average 2.25 goals per league game, highest among the two sides.
- →Billericay's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 75% of league fixtures.
How Dagenham & Redbridge and Billericay Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Dagenham & Redbridge vs Billericay Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Dagenham & Redbridgelast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Billericay Townlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Dagenham & Redbridge have stumbled recently, with just one win in their last four league games and a 'LWLDL' form string. Their home record remains strong, but they've struggled to score consistently. Billericay Town, in contrast, are unbeaten in their last four league outings and have scored 13 goals in their last five matches, showing clear upward momentum.
Dagenham & Redbridge vs Billericay Town — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season
What History Says: Dagenham & Redbridge vs Billericay Town
The only recorded meeting between these sides was a 3-2 friendly win for Dagenham & Redbridge at Billericay Town in 2021. With no competitive head-to-head data, there are no meaningful trends to draw from for this fixture.
Dagenham & Redbridge vs Billericay Town Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Dagenham & Redbridge wins
0
Draws
1
Billericay Town wins
Things to Watch: Dagenham & Redbridge vs Billericay Town
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges and EV cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Lack of shot, possession, and set piece data limits precision on attacking/defensive process.
- ⚠️Only one historical H2H, and it was a friendly five years ago—no relevant H2H sample.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Dagenham & Redbridge 1–2 Billericay TownThe model makes Billericay Town narrow favourites for a 2-1 away win, primarily on the strength of their 2.25 goals per game scoring rate and consistent attacking output. The main risk is Dagenham & Redbridge's excellent home defensive record (just 2 conceded in 7), which could contain the visitors better than the averages suggest and force a low-scoring draw.
Dagenham & Redbridge vs Billericay Town: Common Questions
Who will win Dagenham & Redbridge vs Billericay Town?
The model gives Billericay Town a 41% chance of victory, compared to 27% for Dagenham & Redbridge and 32% for the draw. The away side's superior scoring rate is the key factor.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in this match?
There's a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals, driven by Billericay Town's high-scoring matches (75% over 2.5 this season) and their 2.25 goals per game average.
Are both teams likely to score?
Both teams to score is rated at 54%, reflecting Billericay's attacking strength and Dagenham's tendency to keep clean sheets at home (71% clean sheet rate), making BTTS a marginal favourite.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Billericay Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 31 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Dagenham & Redbridge vs Billericay Town Resources
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Billericay Town Predictions
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Dagenham & Redbridge vs Billericay Town Stats
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results