Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree Predictions
National League - South · England
Weston-super-Mare
AI Predicted Score
2 - 2
Braintree
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
Recommended Bets: Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree
Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree: Match Preview
Weston-super-Mare enter this fixture with a strong home record (4 wins from 7) but in the midst of a five-game winless run, their last victory coming in mid-September. Braintree, despite sitting 20th, have just snapped a four-game league losing streak with a 2-1 win over Dagenham & Redbridge, but their defensive issues remain acute, conceding 34 goals in 13 matches. Both sides are under pressure to halt negative trends, with Weston looking to consolidate mid-table and Braintree desperate to climb out of the relegation zone.
The statistical matchup is defined by high goal averages and porous defences. Weston-super-Mare average 2.00 goals per home game (14 in 7) while conceding just 0.86, but their last five matches have seen them ship 13 goals (2.6 per game). Braintree's away games are even more volatile: 10 scored and 17 conceded in just 5 trips, and their overall over 2.5 goals rate is a remarkable 92%. Both teams have seen BTTS in 9 of their last 10 combined league matches, and neither has kept a clean sheet in the last five. Set-piece and discipline data are unavailable, but both sides' recent results suggest open, end-to-end football.
Given these rates, the model projects a high probability of multiple goals and both teams scoring. While Weston-super-Mare's home edge is real, Braintree's attack has found the net in four of their last five and their defensive frailty ensures no lead is safe. The most likely outcome is a score draw, with 2-2 the modal result, but both 2-1 and 1-2 are plausible given the volatility.
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Expected goals · model says 1.80
Expected goals · model says 1.85
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS: Yes
70%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 2-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree that most previews miss.
- 1Braintree's away matches average 5.4 total goals per game (10 for, 17 against in 5).
- 2Weston-super-Mare have seen both teams score in all of their last 5 matches.
- 3Braintree have kept 0 clean sheets in 13 league games this season.
Who do you think wins: Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams average well above 2.5 goals per game (Weston-super-Mare 1.62 scored/1.46 conceded, Braintree 1.54 scored/2.62 conceded), and over 2.5 goals has landed in 61.54% of home matches and a remarkable 92.31% of Braintree's games.
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BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in 5 of the last 5 for Weston-super-Mare and 4 of the last 5 for Braintree, with both sides showing defensive frailty and consistent scoring.
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More National League - South Predictions
The Case For This Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree Prediction
Statistically, this fixture sets up as a high-variance contest between two sides whose defensive records have contributed to some of the highest goal averages in the division. Weston-super-Mare's home record is solid (4W, 2D, 1L, 14 scored, 6 conceded), but recent form is poor (LLDLD), while Braintree are coming off a rare win but have conceded 34 in 13 games and have the league's highest over 2.5 rate. The numbers suggest an open game with little to separate the sides.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Weston-super-Mare have scored in every one of their last 5 matches but have not kept a clean sheet in that span.
- →Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per game over the last 5, but Braintree have conceded 3.2 per game in that period.
Match Context
- →Braintree's season over 2.5 goals rate is 92.31% (12/13).
How Weston-super-Mare and Braintree Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Weston-super-Marelast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Braintreelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Weston-super-Mare have struggled for results lately, going five matches without a win (LLDLD) and conceding 13 in that span, but remain strong at home overall. Braintree have lost four of their last five but did pick up a morale-boosting win last time out, despite conceding 16 goals in those five games. Both teams are scoring regularly but cannot keep the opposition out.
Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.6 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 92.31% of games this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 3.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree
Braintree have won both previous meetings, including a 1-0 win at Weston-super-Mare in April 2024. However, the sample is limited and neither match featured more than two goals, which contrasts sharply with both teams' current high-scoring trends.
Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
0
Weston-super-Mare wins
0
Draws
2
Braintree wins
Things to Watch: Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis; value edges and expected value cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set-piece data for recent matches; model relies on goal and result rates.
- ⚠️Small sample head-to-head (2 matches, both Braintree wins) may not reflect current team strengths.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Weston-super-Mare 2–2 BraintreeThe model calls this as a 2-2 draw, driven by Braintree's extreme defensive record (2.62 conceded per game, 0 clean sheets) and both teams' high BTTS and over 2.5 rates. The likeliest way this projection fails is if either side's attack falters unexpectedly, but the underlying rates point to goals at both ends.
Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree: Common Questions
Who will win Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree?
Model probabilities give Braintree a slight edge (37% away win, 34% home, 29% draw), but the most likely result is a high-scoring draw. Both teams have defensive weaknesses and similar scoring rates.
Will both teams score in Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree?
Yes is strongly favoured at 75% probability. Both teams have seen BTTS in 9 of their last 10 combined league matches, and neither has kept a clean sheet in their last five.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree?
The model estimates a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals, based on season-long rates (Weston-super-Mare 61.54%, Braintree 92.31%) and both teams' recent defensive records.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 31 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree Resources
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Braintree Predictions
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results