Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC Predictions
FA Trophy · England
Hebburn Town
AI Predicted Score
1 - 3
Guiseley AFC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Guiseley AFC Win
Recommended Bets: Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC
Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC: Match Preview
Momentum is firmly with Guiseley AFC as they visit Hebburn Town, having strung together four wins and a draw in their last five matches. The visitors have found the net 14 times in that stretch, spreading goals across the squad and showing resilience by coming from behind when needed. Hebburn, by contrast, have struggled to gain traction, drawing three and losing two of their last five, and have failed to score in two of those matches. With no clean sheets and a leaky defence, the hosts are under pressure to reverse their fortunes in the cup.
The tactical contrast is stark: Hebburn’s defence has allowed 1.8 goals per game over their last five, while Guiseley’s attack is averaging 2.8 goals and has failed to score only once in their last ten outings. Guiseley’s ability to strike in both halves (four first-half and six second-half goals in their last five) suggests they can sustain pressure throughout the match. Hebburn’s attack, by contrast, has been blunt, managing just four goals in five games and failing to score at all in two recent home fixtures. Set-piece data is limited, but Guiseley’s recent seven-corner performance hints at a side capable of creating chances from wide areas.
Given the current trajectories, the model expects Guiseley’s attacking form and psychological edge from recent head-to-heads to be decisive. Hebburn’s defensive vulnerabilities and lack of recent wins make them vulnerable to a Guiseley side that has already beaten them 4-1 at this ground this season. Unless Hebburn can find a new level of resilience, the visitors are well placed to continue their run.
How Hebburn Town and Guiseley AFC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Hebburn Townlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Guiseley AFClast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Guiseley AFC are in the midst of a purple patch, unbeaten in five and averaging nearly three goals per game, with their only blemish a late 2-2 draw at Redcar Athletic. Hebburn Town, conversely, are winless in five, have failed to score in two, and have not kept a clean sheet — their form string of DDLLD highlights a side searching for answers at both ends.
Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC — Last 5 Matches
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.8 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC that most previews miss.
- 1Guiseley AFC have scored at least two goals in each of their last four matches, averaging 2.8 per game over that span.
- 2Hebburn Town have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five, conceding eight times in total.
- 3Four of the last five head-to-heads have been won by Guiseley, all with at least a two-goal margin.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 2.25
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
BTTS: Yes
62%
Likely Scores
1-2 · 1-1 · 0-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC Prediction
Guiseley AFC travel to Hebburn Town riding a wave of momentum, having taken 13 points from their last five matches and scoring 14 goals in that stretch. In stark contrast, Hebburn are winless in five (form string: DDLLD), with their only recent solace coming from a pair of draws. The hosts have failed to score in two of those five and have not kept a single clean sheet, while Guiseley have scored at least twice in each of their last four outings. Statistically, this is a meeting of a side struggling to keep the back door shut against one in prolific attacking form. Hebburn's defensive frailties are clear: they have conceded eight goals in their last five and shipped three or more in two recent home fixtures. Guiseley, meanwhile, are averaging 2.8 goals scored and just 1 conceded per game over their last five, with their attack spreading the goals around (four different scorers last time out). The visitors have also shown the ability to strike early, netting four first-half goals in their last five, while Hebburn have managed just one before the break. The model expects Guiseley’s momentum to tell, especially given their dominance in recent head-to-heads (four wins from five, including a 4-1 away win in September). Hebburn’s lack of attacking punch and leaky defence look set to be exploited by a Guiseley side full of confidence and goals. Expect the visitors to take control early and maintain their scoring streak, with Hebburn likely to find themselves chasing the game.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Guiseley AFC are unbeaten in their last five (WDWWW), scoring 14 goals and conceding just 5.
- →Hebburn Town are winless in five (DDLLD), with no clean sheets and an average of 1.8 goals conceded per match.
Match Context
- →Guiseley have won four of the last five head-to-heads, including a 4-1 away win at Hebburn this season.
Where the Model Sees Value: Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Guiseley AFC Win
Guiseley AFC arrive with four wins and a draw from their last five, averaging 2.8 goals per game, while Hebburn Town are winless in five and have conceded 1.8 per match in that stretch. The away side's momentum is reinforced by a dominant head-to-head record, including a 4-1 win at Hebburn earlier this season.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Guiseley’s last five have seen an average of 3.8 total goals per game and Hebburn have conceded two or more in three of their last five. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 100% of Guiseley's league matches this season.
Read more ↓
More FA Trophy Predictions
What History Says: Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC
Guiseley AFC have dominated this fixture recently, winning four of the last five meetings and scoring at least twice in each of those victories. Their most recent trip to Hebburn ended in a 4-1 win just two months ago, underlining a clear psychological and tactical edge over the hosts.
Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings between these sides
1
Hebburn Town wins
0
Draws
4
Guiseley AFC wins
Things to Watch: Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges and expected value cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Limited shot, possession, and set-piece data for both sides restricts tactical detail.
- ⚠️Cup fixtures can produce unpredictable motivation and rotation compared to league form.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Hebburn Town 1–3 Guiseley AFCGuiseley AFC’s current form is the standout data point, with 14 goals and four wins in their last five matches suggesting a side in full flow. The predicted 3-1 away win reflects both their attacking momentum and Hebburn’s ongoing defensive struggles. The main risk to this outlook is the unpredictability of cup football and the potential for Hebburn to rally at home, but the recent head-to-heads and form trajectory point strongly toward another Guiseley victory.
Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC: Common Questions
Who will win Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC?
The model gives Guiseley AFC a 60% chance of victory, compared to just 17% for Hebburn Town and 23% for the draw. This is based on Guiseley's four wins and 14 goals from their last five matches, alongside their dominant head-to-head record.
Will both teams score in Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC?
There is a 56% probability of both teams scoring, as Hebburn have managed to find the net in three of their last five, while Guiseley have scored in every recent match. However, Hebburn's attack has been inconsistent, failing to score in two of their last five.
Can Guiseley AFC continue their winning streak?
Guiseley have won four of their last five and have a strong record against Hebburn, including a 4-1 away win earlier this season. The model rates their chances of extending the streak at 60%, with their attacking form and recent momentum the driving factors.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 7 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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