Ingolstadt W vs Andernach W Predictions
2. Frauen Bundesliga · Germany
Ingolstadt W
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Andernach W
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
Recommended Bets: Ingolstadt W vs Andernach W
Ingolstadt W vs Andernach W: Match Preview
Ingolstadt W enter this match on a two-game winning streak and have lost just once at home this season, sitting fifth in the table with a +4 goal difference. Andernach W, in ninth, have struggled defensively but have picked up two away wins and a draw from five on the road. Both teams' recent form is marked by high-scoring games, with each averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over their last five.
The tactical shape is defined by Andernach W's defensive frailty—conceding 2.2 per game and keeping no clean sheets in ten league matches—against an Ingolstadt W attack that averages nearly two goals per home game. Both teams have seen BTTS in the majority of recent matches, and Andernach W's season over 2.5 goal rate is a striking 80%. The first half has been lively for both, with nine combined first-half goals in their last five matches.
The model projects a goal-rich contest, with Ingolstadt W's home advantage and marginally better defensive numbers making them favourites. However, Andernach W's scoring consistency, especially away, means the visitors are likely to get on the scoresheet. The likeliest scenario is a 2-1 home win, but a high-scoring draw is a plausible alternative.
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Ingolstadt W vs Andernach W Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Ingolstadt W vs Andernach W that most previews miss.
- 1Andernach W's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 league games (80%).
- 2Both teams have scored in all of Andernach W's last five matches and three of Ingolstadt W's last five.
- 3Four of the last six H2H meetings have seen both teams score, with three finishing 2-1 or 3-2.
Who do you think wins: Ingolstadt W vs Andernach W?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Ingolstadt W vs Andernach W(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes
Both sides have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over their last five matches, with Andernach W hitting BTTS in all of their last five and Ingolstadt W in three of five. Season-long, Andernach W have yet to keep a clean sheet and Ingolstadt W's clean sheet rate at home is 36%.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Andernach W's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 80% of league games (8/10), and Ingolstadt W's in 45% (5/11), but the recent defensive numbers and BTTS trends point to a higher goal environment than the season average.
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More 2. Frauen Bundesliga Predictions
The Case For This Ingolstadt W vs Andernach W Prediction
Statistically, this fixture brings together two sides with similar recent attacking output but divergent defensive records. Ingolstadt W have a stronger home record (3W, 2D, 1L, +4 GD) and sit five points above Andernach W, whose away form is middling and whose defence has been the league's leakiest among the top nine. Both teams have shown a tendency for matches with multiple goals and both teams scoring, especially recently. The matchup is shaped by Andernach W's inability to keep clean sheets (0% in 10 games) and their high goals-conceded rate (2.2 per game). Ingolstadt W's attack at home averages 1.83 goals per game, while Andernach W concede 2.2 per game overall and 2.2 away. Both have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over their last five, with BTTS landing in 8 of their combined last 10 league matches. The first half has seen nearly as many goals as the second for both, suggesting a strong chance of early scoring. Given these rates, the model expects a match with above-average goal probability and a high likelihood of both teams finding the net. Ingolstadt W's slightly better defence and home advantage tip the balance, but Andernach W's attack—averaging 1.4 away goals—means the visitors are likely to contribute. The most probable outcome is a narrow home win in a game with multiple goals.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Andernach W have not kept a clean sheet all season (0% in 10 matches).
- →Ingolstadt W average 1.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per home game.
Match Context
- →BTTS has landed in 8 of the last 10 combined league matches for these sides.
How Ingolstadt W and Andernach W Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Ingolstadt W vs Andernach W Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Ingolstadt Wlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Andernach Wlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Ingolstadt W have won back-to-back league matches and are unbeaten in their last three, showing improved form after a heavy cup defeat. Andernach W's recent form is mixed (DLWLW), but they have scored in every one of their last five, offset by conceding 11 goals in that span. Both sides are trending towards high-scoring games with defensive vulnerabilities.
Ingolstadt W vs Andernach W — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 80% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Ingolstadt W vs Andernach W
The last six meetings have been closely contested, with Ingolstadt W holding a slight edge (three wins to two) and only one draw. Four of those matches saw both teams score, and three ended with at least three goals. No clear dominance, but the fixture has a history of producing goals.
Ingolstadt W vs Andernach W Head-to-Head History
Last 6 meetings between these sides
3
Ingolstadt W wins
1
Draws
2
Andernach W wins
Things to Watch: Ingolstadt W vs Andernach W
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds are available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set-piece data is available, increasing uncertainty on secondary markets.
- ⚠️Lineups are not released; late injuries or rotations could impact the defensive baseline.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Ingolstadt W 2–1 Andernach WThe model predicts a 2-1 win for Ingolstadt W, underpinned by Andernach W's league-worst clean sheet rate (0%) and the high frequency of BTTS in both teams' recent games. The main risk to this outcome is Ingolstadt W's own defensive volatility, as shown by only one clean sheet in their last five and a 3-3 home draw just four matches ago.
Ingolstadt W vs Andernach W: Common Questions
Who will win Ingolstadt W vs Andernach W?
Ingolstadt W are modelled as 44% likely winners, with a 32% chance of a draw and 24% for Andernach W. Ingolstadt W's stronger home record and Andernach W's defensive issues make the hosts narrow favourites.
Will both teams score in Ingolstadt W vs Andernach W?
The probability for both teams to score is 68%, supported by Andernach W's 0% clean sheet rate and both teams scoring in 8 of their last 10 combined league matches.
How many goals are expected in Ingolstadt W vs Andernach W?
There is a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals, with both teams averaging over 1.5 goals scored and over 2 conceded per game in their last five. The most likely scorelines are 2-1, 2-2, or 1-1.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Ingolstadt W vs Andernach W: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 8 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.