Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United Predictions
FA Trophy · England
Farnham Town
AI Predicted Score
2 - 2
Ebbsfleet United
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United
Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United: Match Preview
Farnham Town and Ebbsfleet United approach this FA Trophy clash with nearly identical recent form, each taking three wins from their last five matches. Farnham have netted 13 goals in that span, including a 6-0 home rout, while Ebbsfleet United have been even more prolific with 15 goals, highlighted by a 6-0 away win. With both sides conceding over a goal per game and no significant injuries reported, the tie looks finely balanced on paper.
Statistically, the fixture is shaped by high attacking output and only moderate defensive solidity. Farnham Town average 2.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match in their last five, while Ebbsfleet United post 3.0 for and 1.2 against. Both teams have managed two clean sheets but have also failed to score just once, pointing towards a strong likelihood of both teams getting on the scoresheet. The first half could see early action, with both sides combining for 11 first-half goals in their last five outings.
With no clear separation in form or underlying rates, the model projects an open, high-scoring contest. The most probable outcome is a draw, with a 2-2 scoreline the statistical favourite, driven by the attacking rates and the frequency of multi-goal games for both. The absence of deeper season or home/away splits adds uncertainty, but the recent data points firmly towards goals at both ends.
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Expected goals · model says 1.65
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS: Yes
66%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United that most previews miss.
- 1Farnham Town and Ebbsfleet United have combined for 28 goals in their last five matches each, averaging 5.6 total goals per game.
- 2Both teams have scored in four of their last five matches, with each side failing to score only once.
- 3First-half scoring is strong: Farnham Town (5) and Ebbsfleet United (6) first-half goals in their last five matches.
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Where the Model Sees Value: Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have averaged over 2.5 goals per game in their last five (Farnham Town 2.6, Ebbsfleet United 3.0), with three matches of 4+ goals each in that sample, supporting a high-goal environment.
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BTTS: Yes
Each team has failed to score just once in their last five, and both have shown attacking threat with 13 and 15 goals respectively across those matches.
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More FA Trophy Predictions
The Case For This Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction
Goal rates on both sides point to a high-scoring contest, with both Farnham Town and Ebbsfleet United averaging over 2.5 goals scored per game in their last five. Neither side has a clear edge in recent form, with Farnham winning three of their last five and Ebbsfleet United matching that output. Defensive records are less convincing, with both conceding over a goal per game in the same period. The matchup is shaped by strong attacking output but only moderate defensive resilience: Farnham Town have scored 13 and conceded 5 in their last five, while Ebbsfleet United have scored 15 and conceded 6. Both sides have produced two clean sheets in that stretch, but with frequent multi-goal games and only one goalless outing each, the data points to a match where both teams are likely to score. First-half scoring is also notable, with 5 and 6 first-half goals respectively in the last five matches. Given the similar recent trajectories and the absence of significant injuries or suspensions, the model sees little to split these teams. The most likely scenario is a high-tempo, open game, with the probability distribution favouring a 2-2 draw and a strong chance of both teams finding the net.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Farnham Town: 2.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game in last five matches.
- →Ebbsfleet United: 3.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game in last five matches.
- →Both teams have kept two clean sheets and failed to score once in last five.
How Farnham Town and Ebbsfleet United Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Farnham Townlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Ebbsfleet Unitedlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Farnham Town have won three of their last five, including a 6-0 home victory, but have also suffered two defeats. Ebbsfleet United match that win count and have been even more prolific in attack, scoring 15 in their last five and recently winning 6-0 away. Both sides' recent form is positive but marked by high-scoring, open matches.
Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United — Last 5 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 3.0 goals/game (last 5)
Things to Watch: Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United
- ⚠️No season-long or home/away split data available for either side; all rates are based on last five matches only.
- ⚠️No head-to-head or league standings data provided, limiting context for relative strength.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value edges can be calculated.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Farnham Town 2–2 Ebbsfleet UnitedA 2-2 draw is the model's baseline, with both sides showing near-identical attacking and defensive rates over their last five matches. The strongest data point is the combined 28 goals scored by these teams in their recent form, signalling a high-probability goal environment. The main risk is that the lack of season-long or home/away data may mask a hidden quality gap or tactical mismatch not visible in this sample.
Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United: Common Questions
Who will win Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United?
The probabilities are nearly even, with Ebbsfleet United at 35%, Farnham Town at 33%, and the draw at 32%. Both teams have similar recent records, so the model expects a close contest.
Will both teams score in Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United?
There is a 67% chance of both teams scoring, as each side has failed to score only once in their last five matches and both average over 2.5 goals per game.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United?
The model gives a 68% probability for over 2.5 goals, based on both teams' recent high-scoring matches and a combined average of 5.6 total goals per game in their last five.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 7 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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