King's Lynn Town vs Stourbridge Predictions
FA Trophy · England
King's Lynn Town
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Stourbridge
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Recommended Bets: King's Lynn Town vs Stourbridge
King's Lynn Town vs Stourbridge: Match Preview
King's Lynn Town approach this FA Trophy tie with patchy recent form, alternating wins and draws in their last five outings (WLDDW) but showing defensive resilience with three clean sheets. Stourbridge, meanwhile, carry momentum from three consecutive victories, scoring four against Kettering Town and keeping two clean sheets in their last five. With both sides operating in different divisions, King's Lynn may enjoy a slight quality edge, but Stourbridge's form cannot be discounted.
The statistical matchup is defined by King's Lynn's defensive record—just 1.2 goals conceded per game across their last five—against a Stourbridge attack averaging 2.0 goals in the same period. However, both teams have shown a tendency for low-scoring games, with King's Lynn involved in just one BTTS match in five and Stourbridge conceding fewer than a goal per game away from home this season. Set pieces and defensive organisation are likely to be decisive, as neither side has produced high shot or possession numbers in recent matches.
Given these rates, the model projects a low-scoring, balanced contest. The most likely outcome is a draw, with the 1-1 scoreline leading the probabilities. Under 2.5 goals is favoured, reflecting both teams' recent defensive solidity and the historical head-to-head trend for tight margins.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS: Yes
46%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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King's Lynn Town vs Stourbridge Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind King's Lynn Town vs Stourbridge that most previews miss.
- 1King's Lynn Town have failed to score in two of their last five matches, but have kept three clean sheets in that span.
- 2Stourbridge's last five matches have averaged 2.8 total goals, but their two away FA Trophy games this season have both finished under 3.5 goals.
- 3All three previous FA Trophy meetings between these clubs have ended with no more than four total goals, and none have seen both teams score more than twice.
Who do you think wins: King's Lynn Town vs Stourbridge?
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Where the Model Sees Value: King's Lynn Town vs Stourbridge(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both sides have averaged just over a goal per game in their last five, with King's Lynn Town scoring 1.0 and Stourbridge 2.0, but both have also shown defensive resilience (three clean sheets for King's Lynn in five, two for Stourbridge). The draw is the most probable outcome in a low-scoring environment.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
The model estimates a 56% probability for under 2.5 goals, with both teams' recent matches trending under (King's Lynn's last five averaging 2.2 total goals, Stourbridge's at 2.8 but with two clean sheets).
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More FA Trophy Predictions
The Case For This King's Lynn Town vs Stourbridge Prediction
Statistical indicators point to a low-scoring, closely contested tie with neither side holding a decisive edge. King's Lynn Town have alternated results in their last five (WLDDW), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, while Stourbridge arrive on a three-match winning run, netting 2.0 per match but also keeping two clean sheets. The historical head-to-head is balanced, with all three previous FA Trophy meetings ending by a single-goal margin or less. The matchup is defined by King's Lynn's defensive solidity at home (three clean sheets in five) against Stourbridge's recent attacking output, but the visitors' average of 0.8 goals conceded per game in their last five and a season away record of just 0.5 conceded per match suggest they are unlikely to be overrun. Both teams have failed to score in at least one of their last five, and only one of King's Lynn's last five has seen both teams score. Given the statistical shape, the model expects a tight contest with limited chances, most likely decided by set pieces or a single defensive lapse. The predicted scoreline is 1-1, with under 2.5 goals the most probable outcome and a high likelihood of the match being level at the break.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →All three previous FA Trophy meetings between these sides have finished with under 3.5 goals.
Defence
- →King's Lynn Town have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches, conceding only 1.2 goals per game.
- →Stourbridge are on a three-match winning streak, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game in that span.
How King's Lynn Town and Stourbridge Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
King's Lynn Town vs Stourbridge Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
King's Lynn Townlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Stourbridgelast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
King's Lynn Town have alternated results in their last five matches, with two wins, two draws, and a heavy defeat, but have kept three clean sheets in that period. Stourbridge, by contrast, are on a three-match winning streak, scoring four against Kettering Town and keeping two clean sheets themselves. Both sides show defensive strengths, but Stourbridge have been more consistent in attack recently.
King's Lynn Town vs Stourbridge — Last 5 Matches
Strengths
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: King's Lynn Town vs Stourbridge
The head-to-head record in the FA Trophy is narrowly in favour of King's Lynn Town, with two wins out of three encounters. All meetings have been decided by a one- or two-goal margin, and none have produced more than four goals. The most recent fixture saw King's Lynn win 2-1 away in 2023.
King's Lynn Town vs Stourbridge Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
2
King's Lynn Town wins
0
Draws
1
Stourbridge wins
Things to Watch: King's Lynn Town vs Stourbridge
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds are available, so value cannot be formally assessed.
- ⚠️Season-long data for King's Lynn Town is unavailable, limiting confidence in home/away splits.
- ⚠️Absence of detailed match stats (shots, possession) restricts analysis of attacking/defensive process.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
King's Lynn Town 1–1 StourbridgeThe model calls this as a 1-1 draw, with under 2.5 goals the most supported outcome based on both teams' recent scoring and concession rates. The strongest data point is King's Lynn Town's three clean sheets in their last five, suggesting a controlled defensive approach, while Stourbridge's away record points to a disciplined, low-risk game. The main risk is that Stourbridge's recent attacking form (2.0 goals per game) translates to a breakthrough against a King's Lynn side whose season-long data is incomplete.
King's Lynn Town vs Stourbridge: Common Questions
Who will win King's Lynn Town vs Stourbridge?
The model gives King's Lynn Town a 36% chance to win, Stourbridge a 27% chance, and a draw a 37% probability. The most likely outcome is a draw, with both sides closely matched on recent form.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in King's Lynn Town vs Stourbridge?
Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 56% probability, reflecting both teams' recent defensive records and the history of low-scoring head-to-head matches.
Will both teams score in King's Lynn Town vs Stourbridge?
Both teams to score is rated at 49%, with King's Lynn Town involved in just one BTTS match in their last five, suggesting a slight lean towards at least one side keeping a clean sheet.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for King's Lynn Town vs Stourbridge: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 7 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.