Aarhus vs Lyngby Predictions
Superliga · Denmark
Aarhus
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Lyngby
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Aarhus Win
Recommended Bets: Aarhus vs Lyngby
Aarhus vs Lyngby: Match Preview
Aarhus come into this fixture buoyed by back-to-back home wins in all competitions and a single defeat in seven home league matches this season. Their recent form string of WDLWW reflects a side that has tightened up defensively, conceding just once in their last two league outings. Lyngby, by contrast, sit 10th and have struggled on their travels, losing six of seven away matches and conceding over two goals per game on the road.
From a statistical perspective, Aarhus’ home attack (1.71 goals per game) faces a Lyngby defence shipping 2.29 per away match. Lyngby’s attack has been more reliable away than their record suggests, netting in six of seven, but their defensive record undermines their efforts. Both teams’ matches have cleared the 2.5 goal line in 57% of league games, and Lyngby’s away games average 3.57 total goals. Notably, Aarhus have scored five of their last six goals in the second half, while Lyngby’s goals are split evenly across halves.
The model projects a moderately high-scoring encounter, with Aarhus’s home edge and Lyngby’s defensive numbers pointing towards a 2-1 home win. The most likely deviation comes from Aarhus’s tendency to draw (six in 14), but Lyngby’s away concession rate and the historical head-to-head dominance of Aarhus at home tip the balance.
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Expected goals · model says 1.70
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Aarhus vs Lyngby Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Aarhus vs Lyngby that most previews miss.
- 1Aarhus have won four consecutive home games against Lyngby, conceding just one goal in that span.
- 2Lyngby’s away matches average 3.57 total goals, the second-highest in the league.
- 3Aarhus have drawn six of their 14 league matches, the joint-most in the division.
Who do you think wins: Aarhus vs Lyngby?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Aarhus vs Lyngby(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Aarhus Win
Aarhus have lost just once at home all season (W3 D3 L1), while Lyngby have taken only three points from seven away matches, conceding 16 goals on the road.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 8 of 14 league matches (57.14%), and Lyngby’s away games average 3.57 total goals.
BTTS: Yes
Lyngby have scored in 6 of 7 away matches, while Aarhus have kept just two clean sheets in their last five and only one in their last five home league games.
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More Superliga Predictions
The Case For This Aarhus vs Lyngby Prediction
Aarhus’ strong home form and Lyngby’s defensive frailties on the road shape this as a contest where the hosts are statistically favoured, but the underlying goal rates suggest an open match with both sides likely to contribute on the scoresheet.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams average 1.36 goals scored per game across the season.
Defence
- →Aarhus average 1.71 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per home match.
- →Lyngby concede 2.29 goals per away match and have lost six of seven on the road.
🚩 Aarhus vs Lyngby Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.3 corners for Aarhus and 3.6 for Lyngby, for an expected total of 8.9. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (60%). Over 8.5: 54% · Over 10.5: 29%.
How Aarhus and Lyngby Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Aarhus vs Lyngby Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Aarhuslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Lyngbylast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Aarhus have picked up three wins from their last five in all competitions, including two home league victories, and have conceded just one goal in their last two league games. Lyngby, meanwhile, have lost six of their last seven away in the league and are coming off a narrow 0-1 defeat at Silkeborg, with their only recent bright spot a home win over Randers.
Aarhus vs Lyngby — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
What History Says: Aarhus vs Lyngby
Aarhus are unbeaten in the last 10 meetings with Lyngby, winning seven and drawing three, including four straight home wins. The most recent encounter ended 2-2, but Lyngby have not won away at Aarhus in this period and have rarely scored more than once at this venue.
Aarhus vs Lyngby Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
7
Aarhus wins
3
Draws
0
Lyngby wins
Things to Watch: Aarhus vs Lyngby
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value calculations are not possible.
- ⚠️Both teams have inconsistent recent form, with Aarhus drawing six of 14 and Lyngby drawing five.
- ⚠️Lineups and late injuries are unknown at time of prediction.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Aarhus 2–1 LyngbyAarhus are projected to edge this 2-1, primarily on the back of Lyngby’s 2.29 goals conceded per away match and their poor away record. The main risk is Aarhus’s high draw rate, which could see the visitors take a point if the hosts fail to convert chances.
Aarhus vs Lyngby: Common Questions
Who will win Aarhus vs Lyngby?
Aarhus are favoured with a 48% probability of victory, compared to 21% for Lyngby and 31% for the draw. This is driven by Aarhus’s strong home record and Lyngby’s defensive struggles away.
Will both teams score in Aarhus vs Lyngby?
There is a 54% probability of both teams scoring, as Lyngby have found the net in six of seven away matches and Aarhus have kept only two clean sheets in their last five.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Aarhus vs Lyngby?
The model gives a 56% chance for over 2.5 goals, supported by both teams’ 57% over 2.5 rate this season and Lyngby’s high-scoring away matches.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Aarhus vs Lyngby: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 13 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.