Silkeborg vs Lyngby Predictions
Superliga · Denmark
Silkeborg
Full Time
1 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 1
Lyngby
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
6.8/10Silkeborg Edge Past Lyngby in Tight Superliga Clash at JYSK Park
Silkeborg clinched a narrow 1-0 victory over Lyngby at JYSK Park in a tightly contested Superliga fixture. The hosts broke the deadlock in the 57th minute and managed to hold off Lyngby, who failed to register a single shot on target despite enjoying a slight edge in possession. The match was characterized by disciplined defending and a midfield battle, with Silkeborg’s three-man backline proving resolute. Lyngby’s 4-4-2 setup allowed them to control 52% of the ball, but their lack of attacking threat ultimately cost them, as Silkeborg’s clinical moment proved decisive.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
1 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
57' — Goal
O. Ross scores the only goal of the game, putting Silkeborg ahead.
64' — Yellow Card
Silkeborg’s M. Larsen booked for a late challenge as Lyngby push forward.
75' — Yellow Card
Silkeborg’s J. Gammelby receives a yellow, reflecting the increasing tension.
80' — Yellow Card
Lyngby’s G. Fraulo shown a yellow card for dissent.
Silkeborg
Silkeborg executed their 3-4-2-1 formation with discipline, restricting Lyngby to just four shots and none on target. While their own attacking output was modest—ten shots with only two on target—they capitalized on their best chance to secure the win. The midfield worked tirelessly, and the defense remained organized, especially in the closing stages as Lyngby pressed for an equalizer.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Lyngby
Lyngby controlled possession for long stretches with 52% of the ball and looked comfortable in midfield, but their 4-4-2 formation failed to translate control into clear chances. With only four shots and none on target, their attack struggled to break down Silkeborg’s back three. Defensively, they were largely solid except for the lapse that led to the only goal.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Silkeborg’s 3-4-2-1 provided defensive solidity, with wing-backs dropping deep to form a back five when out of possession. This stifled Lyngby’s attempts to play through the middle, forcing them wide where they struggled to deliver telling balls into the box. The hosts’ midfield pressed energetically, disrupting Lyngby’s rhythm despite conceding a slight possession disadvantage. Lyngby’s 4-4-2 aimed for control in midfield and quick transitions, but their forwards were isolated, and the lack of width limited their ability to stretch Silkeborg’s defense. Set-piece opportunities were rare, with Lyngby winning just one corner and Silkeborg none, highlighting the lack of sustained attacking pressure from both sides.
Turning Point
O. Ross’s goal in the 57th minute, which shifted the momentum and forced Lyngby to chase the game.
Man of the Match
O. Ross
Provided the decisive goal and led the line with energy and purpose.
Silkeborg vs Lyngby: Match Preview
Silkeborg return to Jysk Park having drawn four of their six home matches this season, their only home win coming against Odense in early August. They sit 9th, four points clear of Lyngby, who are 11th and have lost five of six away. Both sides are under pressure to turn draws into wins, with Silkeborg's recent form string (DLDWD) underlining their habit of sharing the spoils, while Lyngby arrive on a four-match winless league run and the league's worst defensive record.
The numbers point to a match shaped by defensive frailty rather than attacking flair. Silkeborg average 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over their last five, while Lyngby have shipped 19 goals in their last five competitive outings (3.8 per game) and failed to keep a single clean sheet. Both teams' shot and BTTS rates are elevated, and Lyngby's away games average exactly 4 goals, with only one away clean sheet all season. Set-piece threat is limited, with both teams averaging under 3 corners per game recently, and discipline is moderate, with Silkeborg picking up 2 yellows per match in their last five.
Given these trends, the model expects a contest with multiple goals and a strong likelihood of both teams finding the net. Silkeborg's home solidity is relative, not absolute, but Lyngby's defensive numbers are sufficiently poor to tip the edge towards the hosts. The likeliest scenario is a close Silkeborg win, but the draw remains a significant runner given both teams' high draw counts and volatility in recent H2H results.
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Silkeborg vs Lyngby Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Silkeborg vs Lyngby that most previews miss.
- 1Lyngby have conceded 15 goals in just 6 away matches (2.5 per game), the highest away concession rate in the league.
- 2Silkeborg matches have finished level in 6 of 12 this season, including 4 of 6 at home.
- 3Only one of the last ten H2H meetings ended goalless, and the last three at Jysk Park have all seen at least three goals.
Who do you think wins: Silkeborg vs Lyngby?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Silkeborg vs Lyngby(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams average over 1.4 goals scored and at least 1.7 conceded per game, with 50% (Silkeborg) and 58% (Lyngby) of their matches going over 2.5 goals this season, supporting a high goal expectancy.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
Silkeborg and Lyngby have both scored in 3 and 4 of their last 5 league games respectively, and Lyngby have failed to keep a single clean sheet in their last 5, pointing to a strong BTTS profile.
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More Superliga Predictions
The Case For This Silkeborg vs Lyngby Prediction
Statistically, this fixture matches two of the league's most porous defences, with both sides conceding over 1.6 goals per game and a combined over 2.5 goal rate above 50%. Silkeborg's home record (1W, 4D, 1L, 8:9 goals) is marginally more resilient than Lyngby's away form (1W, 0D, 5L, 9:15 goals), but neither side excels at shutting up shop. Shot volumes and BTTS rates reinforce the expectation of a lively contest with chances at both ends.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Lyngby concede 2.25 goals per game, the worst defensive rate in the league.
- →Silkeborg's last five matches average 3.6 total goals (scored plus conceded) per game.
- →Neither side has more than one clean sheet in their last five league outings.
🚩 Silkeborg vs Lyngby Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.7 corners for Silkeborg and 3.6 for Lyngby, for an expected total of 7.3. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (80%). Over 8.5: 31% · Over 10.5: 12%.
How Silkeborg and Lyngby Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Silkeborg vs Lyngby Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Silkeborglast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Lyngbylast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Silkeborg are unbeaten in their last three (W1 D2), but have drawn four of their last five at home, highlighting a lack of cutting edge. Lyngby, by contrast, have lost four of their last five in all competitions and are winless in six league matches, conceding heavily throughout.
Silkeborg vs Lyngby — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
What History Says: Silkeborg vs Lyngby
The head-to-head record is balanced, but recent meetings have skewed high scoring, with Silkeborg winning 4-0 away in September and 5-0 at home in 2023. Draws are less common, but volatility is high, with both teams capable of big wins.
Silkeborg vs Lyngby Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Silkeborg wins
2
Draws
3
Lyngby wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Silkeborg vs Lyngby
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, limiting the ability to identify explicit value edges. However, the model's probabilities suggest that over 2.5 goals and both teams to score would be value if priced above 1.65 and 1.64 respectively (implied probability under 61%).
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Silkeborg vs Lyngby
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Both teams have drawn a high number of matches, increasing draw probability uncertainty.
- ⚠️Recent head-to-heads have included outlier scorelines, adding volatility to correct score estimates.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Silkeborg 2–1 LyngbyThe model projects a 2-1 home win, primarily on the back of Lyngby's 2.25 goals conceded per game and their inability to keep clean sheets away from home. The biggest risk to this outcome is Silkeborg's tendency to draw, with four home stalemates already this campaign and a volatile H2H history.
Silkeborg vs Lyngby: Common Questions
Who will win Silkeborg vs Lyngby?
Silkeborg are favoured with a 44% win probability, compared to 24% for Lyngby and 32% for the draw, reflecting their marginally better home form and Lyngby's defensive struggles.
Will both teams score in Silkeborg vs Lyngby?
Both teams to score is rated at 61%, supported by both sides' high BTTS rates in recent matches and Lyngby's poor defensive record.
How many goals are expected in Silkeborg vs Lyngby?
There's a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals, with both teams averaging over 1.3 goals scored and at least 1.7 conceded per game this season, and 54% of their combined matches finishing above the 2.5 line.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Silkeborg vs Lyngby: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 30 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.