Obolon'-Brovar vs Nyva Vinnytsya Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Obolon'-Brovar
AI Predicted Score
2 - 0
Nyva Vinnytsya
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Obolon'-Brovar Win
Recommended Bets: Obolon'-Brovar vs Nyva Vinnytsya
Obolon'-Brovar vs Nyva Vinnytsya: Match Preview
Obolon'-Brovar approach this friendly with a statistical edge, having lost just twice in 13 matches this season and posting a positive goal difference of +4. Their recent form has been steady if unspectacular, with a 'DLLWD' run in their last five, including a 2-0 home win and two draws. Nyva Vinnytsya, by contrast, have endured a tough campaign, losing all three of their season matches and conceding at a rate of 2.67 per game.
The matchup tilts towards the home side both in attack and defence: Obolon'-Brovar average 1.38 goals scored per game and have allowed just 1.08, while Nyva Vinnytsya's attack has managed only 0.67 per game. The visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet in any match this season, and their last five have seen them concede at least once every time. Obolon'-Brovar's shot output (5.6 per game in the last five) and set-piece threat (2.6 corners per game) should see them control territory, though neither side has shown a high ceiling for goals.
Given these rates, the model expects a low-to-moderate scoring environment, with Obolon'-Brovar's defensive structure likely to keep Nyva Vinnytsya at bay. The most probable outcome is a home win to nil, with a 2-0 scoreline the modal result. The main risk is a low conversion rate from the hosts, but the visitors' weak away record and lack of attacking threat keep the home side in control.
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Expected goals · model says 1.85
Expected goals · model says 0.75
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS: Yes
44%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 2-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Obolon'-Brovar vs Nyva Vinnytsya Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Obolon'-Brovar vs Nyva Vinnytsya that most previews miss.
- 1Obolon'-Brovar's home matches average just 2.0 goals per game this season (15 scored, 11 conceded in 11 games).
- 2Nyva Vinnytsya have conceded 2+ goals in every season match and have a 0% clean sheet rate.
- 3BTTS has landed in only 2 of Obolon'-Brovar's last 5, but in 4 of Nyva Vinnytsya's last 5, suggesting a clash of defensive records.
Who do you think wins: Obolon'-Brovar vs Nyva Vinnytsya?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Obolon'-Brovar vs Nyva Vinnytsya(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Obolon'-Brovar Win
Obolon'-Brovar have a season scoring rate of 1.38 per game and have already beaten Nyva Vinnytsya 2-0 this season, while Nyva Vinnytsya concede 2.67 per game and have lost all three season matches.
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BTTS: No
Nyva Vinnytsya have failed to score in one of their last five and have not kept a clean sheet all season, while Obolon'-Brovar have conceded just 1.08 per game and kept Nyva Vinnytsya scoreless in their only H2H.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Obolon'-Brovar's season over 2.5 rate is only 38.46%, and their last five average just 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, suggesting a moderate goal environment.
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More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This Obolon'-Brovar vs Nyva Vinnytsya Prediction
Obolon'-Brovar's defensive stability and home scoring rate set them up as clear favourites against a Nyva Vinnytsya side that has struggled badly away from home. The underlying rates point to a low-scoring match, with the home side's ability to keep clean sheets and the visitors' lack of attacking output the decisive factors.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →The only head-to-head this season finished 2-0 to Obolon'-Brovar.
Defence
- →Obolon'-Brovar average 1.38 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game over the season.
- →Nyva Vinnytsya have lost all three season matches, conceding 2.67 per game and scoring just 0.67.
🚩 Obolon'-Brovar vs Nyva Vinnytsya Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.6 corners for Obolon'-Brovar and 5 for Nyva Vinnytsya, for an expected total of 9.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 62% · Over 10.5: 37%.
How Obolon'-Brovar and Nyva Vinnytsya Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Obolon'-Brovar vs Nyva Vinnytsya Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Obolon'-Brovarlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Nyva Vinnytsyalast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Obolon'-Brovar have been difficult to beat, losing just twice in 13 matches and posting a positive goal difference. Their recent form string of 'DLLWD' includes a convincing 2-0 win and two draws, suggesting a stable but not explosive run. Nyva Vinnytsya, meanwhile, have lost all three of their season matches, conceding heavily and struggling for attacking output.
Obolon'-Brovar vs Nyva Vinnytsya — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Obolon'-Brovar vs Nyva Vinnytsya
The only previous meeting this season saw Obolon'-Brovar win 2-0 at home, keeping Nyva Vinnytsya scoreless. There is no evidence from head-to-head data to suggest the visitors can reverse that trend.
Obolon'-Brovar vs Nyva Vinnytsya Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
1
Obolon'-Brovar wins
0
Draws
0
Nyva Vinnytsya wins
Things to Watch: Obolon'-Brovar vs Nyva Vinnytsya
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Limited away data for Nyva Vinnytsya (only three season matches).
- ⚠️No detailed corners, cards, or set-piece stats for the away side.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Obolon'-Brovar 2–0 Nyva VinnytsyaThe model projects a 2-0 win for Obolon'-Brovar, driven by the hosts' superior season-long scoring rate (1.38 per game) and the visitors' porous defence (2.67 conceded per game). The likeliest way this goes wrong is if Obolon'-Brovar's attack underperforms or Nyva Vinnytsya convert a rare chance, but the underlying rates support a home win to nil.
Obolon'-Brovar vs Nyva Vinnytsya: Common Questions
Who will win Obolon'-Brovar vs Nyva Vinnytsya?
Obolon'-Brovar are strong statistical favourites, with a 62% probability of victory based on their season scoring/conceding rates and Nyva Vinnytsya's winless, leaky record. The draw is rated at 27%, while the visitors have only an 11% chance.
Will both teams score in Obolon'-Brovar vs Nyva Vinnytsya?
Both teams to score is rated at just 31%, with 'No' at 69%. Obolon'-Brovar have conceded just 1.08 per game this season, while Nyva Vinnytsya have failed to score in one of their last five and average only 0.67 per game.
Is over or under 2.5 goals more likely in this match?
Under 2.5 goals is slightly favoured at 51%, given Obolon'-Brovar's season over 2.5 rate of just 38.46% and their recent low-scoring matches. Over 2.5 is rated at 49%.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Obolon'-Brovar vs Nyva Vinnytsya: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 12 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.