Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic Predictions
FA Trophy · England
Spennymoor Town
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Scarborough Athletic
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Correct Score: 1–1
Recommended Bets: Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic
Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic: Match Preview
Spennymoor Town and Scarborough Athletic approach this FA Trophy tie with little momentum, both having struggled for consistency in recent weeks. Spennymoor halted a four-game losing run with a 2-0 home win over Chorley, but their last five matches still show a negative goal difference and two matches without scoring. Scarborough, meanwhile, have lost their last two and only managed one win from five, conceding twice per game on average and failing to keep opponents at bay.
The statistical matchup points to a cagey affair. Spennymoor's attack has produced just 0.8 goals per game recently, while Scarborough's away defence has allowed two per match and kept only one clean sheet in five. Both teams have shown a slight first-half scoring tendency—Scarborough netted four of their last six goals before the interval—but overall, the attacking output is limited, and neither side has established a reliable defensive platform. Set-piece and discipline data are sparse, but both teams have picked up minimal cards and corners, suggesting few secondary threats.
With neither side able to generate sustained attacking pressure and a long-standing pattern of draws in their head-to-head record, the model expects another closely-fought contest. The likeliest scenario is a low-scoring draw, with 1-1 the modal outcome, as both teams' recent form and historical meetings point to a lack of separation.
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS: Yes
48%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic that most previews miss.
- 1Seven of the last nine head-to-heads have ended as draws, with five finishing 1-1 or 2-2.
- 2Scarborough Athletic have scored four of their last six goals in the first half, but only once in their last five have they kept a clean sheet.
- 3Spennymoor Town have failed to score in two of their last five, averaging just 2.2 shots and 1.2 shots on target per game in that span.
Who do you think wins: Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Seven of the last nine head-to-head meetings have ended level, and both sides' recent scoring and conceding rates point to a low-scoring, balanced contest.
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Double Chance: Draw or Scarborough Athletic
Scarborough Athletic have not lost to Spennymoor Town in their last nine meetings, and Spennymoor have only one win in their last five matches.
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More FA Trophy Predictions
The Case For This Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic Prediction
This fixture brings together two sides with parallel struggles, both searching for consistency after mixed recent results. Spennymoor Town snapped a four-match losing streak with a 2-0 home win last time out, but their average of just 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game in the last five underlines ongoing issues at both ends. Scarborough Athletic have fared only marginally better, taking four points from their last five and averaging 1.2 goals scored but conceding two per match, with a current run of two consecutive defeats. Statistically, neither side has a clear edge. Spennymoor's home attack has been blunt, failing to score in two of their last five, while Scarborough's away defence has managed just one clean sheet in the same span. The head-to-head record is striking: seven of the last nine meetings have ended in draws, including five straight 1-1 or 2-2 results, and neither team has managed more than a single goal in any of the last four encounters. Both teams show a slight first-half scoring bias—Scarborough have netted four of their last six goals before the break—yet overall goal volume remains modest. Given the low attacking output and the overwhelming draw trend in the H2H, the model expects a tight, low-scoring contest with little to separate the sides. The most likely outcome is a draw, with 1-1 the modal scoreline, reflecting both teams' inability to sustain attacking pressure and a lack of clear defensive superiority.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Seven draws in the last nine head-to-head meetings, including five consecutive 1-1 or 2-2 results.
Defence
- →Spennymoor Town average just 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game over their last five matches.
- →Scarborough Athletic have scored 1.2 and conceded 2.0 per game in their last five, with only one clean sheet.
How Spennymoor Town and Scarborough Athletic Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Spennymoor Townlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Scarborough Athleticlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Spennymoor Town have endured a difficult spell, losing four straight before a 2-0 home win in their most recent outing. Scarborough Athletic have also struggled, with just one win in their last five and back-to-back defeats, conceding two goals per game on average. Both teams have lacked attacking consistency and defensive solidity in recent weeks.
Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic — Last 5 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
What History Says: Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic
The head-to-head record is dominated by stalemates: seven of the last nine meetings have ended all square, with five straight finishing 1-1 or 2-2. Scarborough Athletic are unbeaten in this run and have won the last two, but neither side has managed to establish dominance.
Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic Head-to-Head History
Last 9 meetings between these sides
0
Spennymoor Town wins
7
Draws
2
Scarborough Athletic wins
Things to Watch: Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic
- ⚠️No current season-long home/away splits or league standings available, reducing confidence in underlying team strength.
- ⚠️Missing bookmaker odds prevents calculation of value edges or expected value on recommended bets.
- ⚠️Limited recent match data for shots, possession, and set-piece output.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Spennymoor Town 1–1 Scarborough AthleticThe model projects a 1-1 draw, driven by the overwhelming draw trend in recent head-to-heads and both teams' muted attacking output. The single strongest data point is the seven draws in the last nine meetings, including five consecutive 1-1 or 2-2 results. The main risk is that one side capitalises on defensive lapses—particularly Scarborough's tendency to concede twice per game—or that Spennymoor's recent home win signals a genuine upturn.
Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic: Common Questions
Who will win Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic?
The model gives Spennymoor Town a 28% chance to win, Scarborough Athletic a 31% chance, and a draw the highest probability at 41%. The most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw, reflecting both teams' recent form and the head-to-head record.
Will both teams score in Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic?
Both teams to score has a 54% probability, based on each side averaging over 0.8 goals scored and 1.8+ conceded per game in their last five, and five of the last nine head-to-heads ending 1-1 or 2-2.
Is a draw likely between Spennymoor Town and Scarborough Athletic?
A draw is the most probable result at 41%, supported by seven draws in the last nine meetings and both teams' recent inability to sustain attacking pressure.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 7 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic Resources
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Scarborough Athletic Predictions
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Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic Stats
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Model Accuracy
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