Widzew Łódź vs Unia Skierniewice Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Widzew Łódź
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Unia Skierniewice
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Widzew Łódź vs Unia Skierniewice
Widzew Łódź vs Unia Skierniewice: Match Preview
Widzew Łódź arrive unbeaten in their last ten competitive matches, combining a robust home record with an attack averaging 2.1 goals per game. Their last five outings have produced a mixed WLDDL form string, but the underlying numbers remain solid, with 13.6 shots and 4 on target per match. Unia Skierniewice, despite playing at a lower level, have been prolific in attack with 2.6 goals per game this season, though recent form (WLLLD) highlights defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 2.2 per match over their last five.
The statistical matchup tilts towards an open contest. Widzew's home attack faces an Unia side whose away defence has conceded 1.67 per match, while Unia's own scoring threat is real—five goals in their most recent away game. Both teams' goals skew to the second half (Widzew 5/7, Unia 7/10 in last five), suggesting tactical patience or late-game openness. Set-piece and discipline data is thin for Unia, but Widzew's 6 corners per game and 2.2 yellow cards per match point to a moderate risk of bookings and some set-piece threat.
Given the gulf in league quality but Unia's proven ability to score, the model expects Widzew's higher baseline to prevail, but not without resistance. The most likely scenario is a 2-1 home win, with both sides contributing to the scoreline and the bulk of goals arriving after half-time. A lower-intensity friendly could dampen the edge, but the underlying rates point to goals at both ends.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Widzew Łódź vs Unia Skierniewice Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Widzew Łódź vs Unia Skierniewice that most previews miss.
- 1Widzew Łódź have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 5, despite facing top-flight opposition.
- 2Unia Skierniewice's last 5 matches have averaged 4.2 total goals, with BTTS in 4 of 5.
- 3Widzew's last 5 home matches have seen an average of 6 corners per game, hinting at attacking intent.
Who do you think wins: Widzew Łódź vs Unia Skierniewice?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Widzew Łódź vs Unia Skierniewice(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 2–1
Widzew Łódź average 2.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, while Unia Skierniewice's away record is 2 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per match; the most probable outcome is a narrow home win with both sides likely to score.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have high season-long scoring rates (Widzew Łódź 2.1, Unia Skierniewice 2.6 goals per game) and 60% of combined matches this season have gone over 2.5 goals.
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BTTS: Yes
Unia Skierniewice have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5 and Widzew Łódź in 3 of their last 5; neither defence is dominant, with clean sheet rates at 40%.
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More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This Widzew Łódź vs Unia Skierniewice Prediction
Statistically, this friendly brings together two sides with above-average attacking output and only moderate defensive records. Widzew Łódź have not lost in ten competitive outings this season and average over two goals per game at home, while Unia Skierniewice, though from a lower division, have posted a strong 2.6 goals per game across all competitions, albeit against weaker opposition. Both teams' recent form points to open matches: Widzew have scored in four of their last five, while Unia's last five have averaged 4.2 total goals. The matchup is shaped by Widzew's shot volume (13.6 per game, 4 on target) and Unia's tendency to concede (2.2 per game over their last five). Widzew's defence is not watertight (1.2 conceded per last five), but Unia are even more porous away, conceding 1.67 per game. Both sides are more productive after the break, with Widzew scoring five of their last seven goals in the second half, and Unia netting seven of their last ten in the same period. Set-piece data is limited, but Widzew's 6 corners per game suggests some threat from dead balls. The model expects Widzew's higher baseline and home advantage to tell, but Unia's attacking approach and recent scoring flurries mean a clean sheet is unlikely. The most probable scenario is a competitive match with chances at both ends, a modest edge to the hosts, and a decent probability of three or more goals.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have seen BTTS in at least 60% of their last five matches.
Defence
- →Widzew Łódź average 2.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match this season.
- →Unia Skierniewice have scored 2.6 goals per game but conceded 0.9, with a weaker record away from home.
🚩 Widzew Łódź vs Unia Skierniewice Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.5 corners for Widzew Łódź and 5 for Unia Skierniewice, for an expected total of 9.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 61% · Over 10.5: 35%.
How Widzew Łódź and Unia Skierniewice Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Widzew Łódź vs Unia Skierniewice Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Widzew Łódźlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Unia Skierniewicelast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Widzew Łódź enter this match off a 3-0 win and have not lost in ten games, with a WLDDL run in their last five but consistent attacking output. Unia Skierniewice's recent form is less steady (WLLLD), but they have shown firepower with 5 goals in their latest away fixture, offset by a leaky defence.
Widzew Łódź vs Unia Skierniewice — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 70% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Widzew Łódź vs Unia Skierniewice
Head-to-head history is limited, with Widzew Łódź unbeaten in two previous meetings—a 4-0 cup win and a 0-0 friendly draw. No clear goal pattern emerges, but Widzew have been the stronger side historically.
Widzew Łódź vs Unia Skierniewice Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
1
Widzew Łódź wins
1
Draws
0
Unia Skierniewice wins
Things to Watch: Widzew Łódź vs Unia Skierniewice
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Limited set-piece and discipline data for Unia Skierniewice restricts accuracy on corners/cards markets.
- ⚠️Friendly status introduces rotation risk and possible changes in intensity or lineups.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Widzew Łódź 2–1 Unia SkierniewiceThe model projects a 2-1 win for Widzew Łódź, anchored by their superior scoring rate (2.1 per game) and home advantage. The strongest data point is Unia Skierniewice's defensive record—2.2 conceded per last five—against a top-division attack. The main risk is underestimating Unia's attacking form or the impact of friendly match rotation, which could skew the goal count or open the door to a draw.
Widzew Łódź vs Unia Skierniewice: Common Questions
Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Unia Skierniewice?
Widzew Łódź are favoured with a 48% win probability, compared to 20% for Unia Skierniewice and 32% for the draw. The home side's higher scoring rate and unbeaten record tip the balance.
Will both teams score in Widzew Łódź vs Unia Skierniewice?
Both teams to score is rated at 56%, driven by BTTS in 4 of Unia's last 5 and 3 of Widzew's last 5, plus both sides' strong attacking averages.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in Widzew Łódź vs Unia Skierniewice?
There's a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals, reflecting both teams' season-long scoring rates (Widzew 2.1, Unia 2.6 per game) and the high goal averages in their recent fixtures.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Widzew Łódź vs Unia Skierniewice: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 12 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.