Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg Predictions

Arminia Bielefeld Predictions1. FC Magdeburg Predictions2. BundesligaH2H Stats
Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
2. Bundesliga2. Bundesliga · Germany
high confidence
Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld

AI Predicted Score

2 - 2

1. FC Magdeburg

1. FC Magdeburg

🗓️ Friday, 20 Nov 2026 at 18:30 CET (venue time) · 17:30 UTC (your time)

Win Probability (1X2)

Arminia Bielefeld 35%Draw 32%1. FC Magdeburg 33%

Best Value Pick

BTTS: Yes

Read the Preview Play With the Prediction See the Value Calls View Team Form

Recommended Bets: Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg

BTTS: Yes
8/10
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
7/10

Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg: Match Preview

Arminia Bielefeld enter this fixture on a three-match winning streak in the league, having taken 11 points from their last five and remaining unbeaten at home (3W, 2D). Magdeburg sit two places higher in fourth, having scored 25 goals in 11 matches, but their away record is less convincing, with just one win from five on the road. Both teams are in the thick of the promotion hunt, separated by only three points and with little margin for error.

The matchup is defined by high attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities. Bielefeld average 2.4 goals per home game but have kept just one clean sheet at home, while Magdeburg's 2.27 goals per game is the third-best in the division. Both sides have seen BTTS in four of their last five league games, and Bielefeld's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 82% of cases. Magdeburg's away defence is marginally better (1.2 goals conceded per away match), but their shot volume (12.4 per game last five) suggests they will create chances.

Given these rates, the model projects a high-probability goal environment, with both teams likely to score and the draw a live outcome. The most probable scoreline is 2-2, reflecting the attacking strengths and defensive lapses on both sides. Set-piece threat is moderate, with both teams combining for just 5.6 corners per match in their last five, and the cards projection is above average, with both averaging over two yellows per game recently.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Arminia Bielefeld1.70

Expected goals · model says 1.70

1. FC Magdeburg1.65

Expected goals · model says 1.65

Win Probability
Arminia Bielefeld 40% Draw 23% 1. FC Magdeburg 38%

Over 2.5 Goals

65%

BTTS: Yes

66%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
35%
32%
33%
Arminia Bielefeld 35%Draw 32%1. FC Magdeburg 33%
Both Teams to Score
70%
30%
Yes 70%No 30%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
68%
32%
Over 2.5 68%Under 2.5 32%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
30%
70%
Over 9.5 30%Under 9.5 70%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg that most previews miss.

  • 1Bielefeld's home matches average 3.6 total goals per game, with 82% finishing over 2.5 goals.
  • 2Magdeburg have scored at least once in four of five away games, but have only one away win all season.
  • 3In the last six H2H meetings, four have produced three or more goals, and the home side has won four times.

Who do you think wins: Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More 2. Bundesliga Predictions

20-Nov-2026SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC HeidenheimView prediction →08-Nov-2026VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SCView prediction →08-Nov-20261. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. PauliView prediction →08-Nov-20261. FC Heidenheim vs Hannover 96View prediction →07-Nov-2026Hertha BSC vs VfL WolfsburgView prediction →07-Nov-20261. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98View prediction →

The Case For This Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg Prediction

The statistical profile suggests a high-scoring, evenly matched contest between two sides whose attacking output outpaces their defensive reliability. Bielefeld's home scoring rate (2.4 goals per home game) is offset by a low clean sheet percentage, while Magdeburg bring the league's third-best attack but only a single away win all season. The likeliest scenario is both teams finding the net, with the distribution of goals spread across both halves.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Bielefeld have scored in every home match but have just an 18% clean sheet rate across the season.
  • →Magdeburg average 2.27 goals per game and 1.2 goals conceded per away game, with only one away win.

Match Context

  • →Both teams have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5 league matches.

🚩 Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg Corners Prediction

medium confidence
8.1expected total corners
Over 30%
Under 70%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Arminia Bielefeld and 3.3 for 1. FC Magdeburg, for an expected total of 8.1. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (70%). Over 8.5: 43% · Over 10.5: 20%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Arminia Bielefeld and 1. FC Magdeburg Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeldlast 5 matches
Joel Grodowski
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

T. Handwerker
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

C. Forster
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Isaiah Young
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Maximilian Grosser
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. Bauer
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

1. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburglast 5 matches
Mateusz ZukowskiXI
4 goals in 5
80%

In exceptional form

Roko Simicsub/out
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Garcia MacNultyXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Herbert Bockhornsub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Tobias MüllerXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

E. IyohaXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Bielefeld have built momentum with three straight league wins, including back-to-back home victories and an away win at Holstein Kiel. Magdeburg have alternated results but recently thrashed St. Pauli 4-1 and have scored 11 goals in their last three league matches, though their away form remains patchy.

Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg — Last 10 Matches

Arminia BielefeldArminia BielefeldLast 10 results
W2-1
W3-1
L0-1
W2-1
W1-0
D2-2
L1-2
D2-2
L1-4
W3-0
W@ Holstein Kiel2-1
Wvs Eintracht Braunschweig3-1
L@ Hertha BSC0-1
Wvs VfL Osnabrück2-1
W@ VfL Bochum1-0
Dvs 1. FC Heidenheim2-2
L@ SV Darmstadt 981-2
Dvs FC St. Pauli2-2
L@ 1. FC Nürnberg1-4
Wvs Energie Cottbus3-0

Strengths

  • +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 81.82% of games this season

Concerns

  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
1. FC Magdeburg1. FC MagdeburgLast 10 results
W4-1
D1-1
W6-1
L0-2
W3-0
D1-1
W3-0
L1-2
W2-0
W3-0
Wvs FC St. Pauli4-1
D@ SV Darmstadt 981-1
Wvs Karlsruher SC6-1
L@ Dynamo Dresden0-2
Wvs Hannover 963-0
D@ SpVgg Greuther Fürth1-1
Wvs 1. FC Kaiserslautern3-0
L@ Hertha BSC1-2
Wvs Holstein Kiel2-0
W@ VfL Osnabrück3-0

Strengths

  • +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games

Concerns

  • −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg

Home advantage has been telling in this fixture, with the home side winning four of the last six meetings and only one draw. Most recent encounters have been high-scoring, with four of six producing at least three goals and neither side keeping more than one clean sheet.

Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg Head-to-Head History

Last 6 meetings between these sides

3

Arminia Bielefeld wins

1

Draws

2

1. FC Magdeburg wins

50%17% draws33%
15 Feb 261. FC Magdeburg vs Arminia Bielefeld0-2
12 Sept 25Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg2-0
28 May 23FC Magdeburg vs Arminia Bielefeld4-0
13 Nov 22Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Magdeburg3-1
17 Feb 19Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Magdeburg1-3
17 Sept 18FC Magdeburg vs Arminia Bielefeld0-0

Things to Watch: Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis, so value edges cannot be computed.
  • ⚠️Recent friendlies included in Bielefeld's last 5 may slightly distort form indicators.
  • ⚠️Neither side reports injuries, but late changes to lineups could shift probabilities.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 1. FC Magdeburg

The model expects a 2-2 draw, driven by both teams' high season-long scoring rates and a shared inability to keep clean sheets—Bielefeld's 18% clean sheet rate and Magdeburg's one away shutout in five. The main way this projection could miss is if either side sharpens up defensively or fails to convert a high volume of chances, but the underlying rates point strongly to a high-scoring, competitive contest.

Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg: Common Questions

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

The probabilities are closely split: 35% for a Bielefeld win, 32% for a draw, and 33% for Magdeburg, reflecting the similar attacking and defensive outputs of both sides.

Will both teams score in Arminia Bielefeld vs Magdeburg?

Yes is favoured at 70% probability, as both teams have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5 league matches and neither has kept a clean sheet in that span.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?

There's a 68% probability for over 2.5 goals, supported by Bielefeld's 82% over 2.5 rate this season and Magdeburg's average of 2.27 goals scored per game.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 13 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg Resources

→

Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

All Arminia Bielefeld fixtures & tips

→

1. FC Magdeburg Predictions

All 1. FC Magdeburg fixtures & tips

→

Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg Stats

Full H2H record & season stats

→

2. Bundesliga Predictions

All fixtures for this competition

→

Model Accuracy

Track record & verified results