Molde vs Bodo/Glimt Predictions
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
AI Predicted Score
2 - 2
Bodo/Glimt
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
Recommended Bets: Molde vs Bodo/Glimt
Molde vs Bodo/Glimt: Match Preview
Molde enter the contest in explosive attacking form, having scored 22 goals in their last five league matches, but defensive frailty remains with 11 conceded in that span and no clean sheets. Bodo/Glimt, sitting second with 62 points, have been more balanced, boasting the league's best defensive record (0.88 conceded per game) and a robust away record (9 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). Both sides are still in the hunt for European places, with Molde needing points to secure a top-four finish and Bodo/Glimt chasing the title.
Statistically, this is a meeting of the league's highest-scoring home side and the strongest away defence. Molde's home matches average 3.85 goals, underpinned by 16.8 shots and 7 on target per game in their last five. Bodo/Glimt, while less prolific away, still average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away match. H2H trends reinforce the expectation of goals: the last five at Aker Stadion have averaged 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in four of those.
Given the attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities on display, the model anticipates a high-tempo match with both sides likely to score. The most probable outcome is a high-scoring draw, with a 2-2 scoreline slightly more likely than a narrow win either way. The attacking rates and over 2.5 goal percentages (Molde 73%, Bodo/Glimt 69%) point to a match where defences are unlikely to dominate.
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Expected goals · model says 1.60
Expected goals · model says 1.80
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS: Yes
67%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Molde vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Molde vs Bodo/Glimt that most previews miss.
- 1Molde have scored at least twice in 11 of 13 home games this season (2.69 avg), but have kept only two clean sheets at Aker Stadion.
- 2Bodo/Glimt's away matches average just 2.99 total goals, but they've scored in 12 of 13 on the road.
- 3Six of the last ten H2H meetings have seen both teams score, with four draws and four away wins in that span.
Who do you think wins: Molde vs Bodo/Glimt?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Molde vs Bodo/Glimt(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes
Both Molde and Bodo/Glimt have averaged over 2.4 goals scored per game this season, and Molde have seen BTTS in all of their last five league matches, conceding 11 goals but scoring 22 in that span. Bodo/Glimt's away defence is strong, but Molde's home attack (35 goals in 13 games) makes BTTS highly probable.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Molde's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 73% of league games, while Bodo/Glimt's rate is 69%. Molde's last five have averaged 6.6 total goals per game, and the H2H record features high-scoring draws and wins.
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More Eliteserien Predictions
The Case For This Molde vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction
This fixture brings together the league's most prolific attack in recent weeks (Molde, 22 goals in last five) and the division's most consistent defence (Bodo/Glimt, 0.88 goals conceded per game season-long, 13 conceded in 13 away). The hosts average 2.7 goals per home match, but have kept just two clean sheets at Aker Stadion, while Bodo/Glimt are unbeaten in 11 of 13 away games and have scored in all but one of those outings. Molde's home attack is relentless, with 35 goals in 13 matches (2.69 per game), but their defensive record is vulnerable—15 conceded at home, and 2.2 per game in their last five overall. Bodo/Glimt's away defence is among the league's best (1.00 conceded per away game), yet their last five in all competitions have seen both teams score on three occasions. The H2H data is loaded with high-scoring draws and away wins, including a 3-3 and a 2-2 in Molde over the last two seasons. The model expects an open contest with both attacks finding space, especially given Molde's aggressive shot volume (16.8 per game last five) and Bodo/Glimt's ability to punish in transition. With both sides averaging over 2.4 goals scored per game and a combined over 2.5 rate above 70%, the likeliest scenario is a high-scoring draw or narrow away win, with a 2-2 result marginally favoured.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Molde average 2.69 goals scored per home match but concede 1.15 per home game.
- →Bodo/Glimt have the league's best away defensive record (1.00 conceded per away game) and 46% clean sheet rate overall.
Match Context
- →BTTS has landed in 100% of Molde's last five league matches and 60% of the last 10 H2H meetings.
🚩 Molde vs Bodo/Glimt Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Molde and 4.8 for Bodo/Glimt, for an expected total of 9.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 64% · Over 10.5: 39%.
How Molde and Bodo/Glimt Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Molde vs Bodo/Glimt Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Moldelast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
In exceptional form
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Bodo/Glimtlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Molde are in the midst of a prolific run, netting 22 goals in their last five league fixtures but conceding 11 in the same span, with no clean sheets. Bodo/Glimt's recent form is steadier but less explosive: three wins in their last five, including a 2-0 away victory at Tromso, and just one defeat in their last seven league matches. Both sides arrive with attacking confidence, but Bodo/Glimt's defensive numbers remain superior over the season.
Molde vs Bodo/Glimt — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 4.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 73.08% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +46.15% clean sheet rate this season
- +Over 2.5 goals in 69.23% of games this season
What History Says: Molde vs Bodo/Glimt
The last ten meetings between Molde and Bodo/Glimt have produced 39 goals, averaging nearly four per game. Bodo/Glimt have won four of those, including a 4-1 away win in the most recent friendly, while Molde have managed three victories. Draws are common, with three in the last ten, and both teams have scored in six of those encounters.
Molde vs Bodo/Glimt Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Molde wins
3
Draws
4
Bodo/Glimt wins
Things to Watch: Molde vs Bodo/Glimt
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value calculations are omitted.
- ⚠️Recent Molde matches have featured extreme goal variance (5-5, 6-1), which may not sustain.
- ⚠️Bodo/Glimt's Champions League involvement could affect rotation or fatigue, but no injury data signals major absences.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Molde 2–2 Bodo/GlimtThe model projects a 2-2 draw, driven by Molde's relentless attacking output (4.4 goals per game last five) against a Bodo/Glimt side that rarely leaves empty-handed on their travels. The single strongest data point is Molde's 73% over 2.5 rate combined with Bodo/Glimt's 69%, making a high-scoring contest the default scenario. The main risk is Bodo/Glimt's defensive solidity asserting itself, especially if Molde's recent goal surge regresses, but the underlying rates make a goal-rich draw the most plausible outcome.
Molde vs Bodo/Glimt: Common Questions
Who will win Molde vs Bodo/Glimt?
Bodo/Glimt are marginal favourites with a 40% win probability, but the draw (29%) and Molde win (31%) are both live outcomes. The model expects a close contest, with a 2-2 draw the most likely result.
Will both teams score in Molde vs Bodo/Glimt?
Yes is strongly favoured at 72%, as Molde have seen BTTS in all of their last five matches and Bodo/Glimt have scored in 12 of 13 away games. The H2H record also supports this, with both teams scoring in six of the last ten meetings.
Is over 2.5 goals a good bet for Molde vs Bodo/Glimt?
The model assigns a 68% probability to over 2.5 goals, reflecting Molde's 73% and Bodo/Glimt's 69% over 2.5 rates this season. Both teams' recent matches and H2H history point to a high-scoring encounter.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Molde vs Bodo/Glimt: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 13 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.