Accrington ST vs Notts County Prediction
League Two · England
Accrington ST
Notts County
📍 The Wham Stadium, Accrington
🗓️ Tuesday, 17 Mar 2026 at 19:45
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 22.0%
Draw: 28.0%
Away: 50.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
double_chance — X2
Notts County are stronger overall, with a better away record and league position. Accrington's home form is patchy and their recent results are poor. X2 covers both the draw and away win, which together are modelled at 78%.
over_under_2_5 — over@ 1.92
EV: -1.0%
Notts County's matches go over 2.5 goals in 51% of games and they have a strong attack. Accrington are inconsistent defensively. Model edge is small but leans over.
Match Analysis
Notts County travel to Accrington ST as clear favourites, given their superior league standing and more consistent form. Accrington have struggled recently, both in attack and defence, and their home performances have dipped. Notts County's away record is solid and their attack has been productive, especially in the second half of games. While Accrington have taken some points off Notts in recent H2H, the visitors' promotion motivation and recent scoring trends make them likely to come away with at least a point, and probably all three.
Key Factors
- →Notts County are 4th in the table, Accrington ST are 15th.
- →Notts County average 1.54 goals scored per game, Accrington only 1.09.
- →Accrington's recent form is poor (DLLLW), Notts County are better (WLWLD).
- →Notts County have a positive away record (8W 4D 5L), Accrington's home form is mixed (8W 4D 6L).
- →H2H is fairly even, but Notts County have won 3 of last 5 meetings.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Accrington have occasionally upset stronger sides at home.
- ⚠️Recent H2H includes a 1-0 Accrington away win this season.
- ⚠️Some missing match stats (shots, lineups) for recent games reduces confidence in precise attack/defence ratings.
- ⚠️Small sample sizes for some derived stats (corners, cards).
- ⚠️No odds for double chance market provided; value edge not calculated for this bet.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.