AD Ceuta FC vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction
Segunda División · Spain
AD Ceuta FC
Deportivo La Coruna
📍 Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
🗓️ Saturday, 14 Mar 2026 at 20:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 26.0%
Draw: 31.0%
Away: 43.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
59.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — away@ 1.75
EV: -2.0%
Deportivo La Coruna are stronger away (8W/3D/4L), have won all H2H, and have better season stats, but the odds are short and value is marginal.
btts — yes@ 4.33
EV: 77.0%
Model probability (41%) is much higher than implied (23.1%). Both teams have some attacking threat but also defensive lapses; value on BTTS yes.
double_chance — X2
Deportivo are unbeaten in all H2H, have a strong away record, and Ceuta rarely draw at home but do lose to top teams. X2 is a safe option.
Match Analysis
Deportivo La Coruna visit AD Ceuta FC in a clash with playoff implications. Deportivo have a strong away record and have dominated previous meetings, while Ceuta are formidable at home but vulnerable against top sides. Expect a competitive match, with Deportivo's superior attack and H2H edge giving them a slight advantage. Goals are likely but not guaranteed, with both sides showing some inconsistency in front of goal recently.
Key Factors
- →Deportivo La Coruna have won all three recent H2H matches.
- →Ceuta are strong at home (10W/1D/3L), but Deportivo's away record (8W/3D/4L) is among the best in the league.
- →Both teams average over 1 goal per game but concede regularly.
- →Ceuta's recent form (LWWWL) is solid but includes a heavy 0-4 loss last time out.
- →Deportivo are 4th in the table, Ceuta 8th; both are motivated for playoff spots.
- →No key injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some missing match-level stats for recent games (shots, cards, etc.).
- ⚠️Corners and cards data is incomplete; estimates are based on available averages.
- ⚠️Ceuta's home form is strong, so home upset risk remains.
- ⚠️Market odds on BTTS are wide due to both teams' recent low BTTS rates.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.