AFC Totton vs Horsham Prediction
National League - South · England
AFC Totton
Horsham
📍 Snows Stadium, Totton, Hampshire
🗓️ Saturday, 7 Mar 2026 at 15:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 28.0%
Draw: 37.0%
Away: 35.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
double_chance — X2@ 1.7
EV: 13.0%
Horsham have a strong away record (7W 6D 4L) and are above Totton in the table. AFC Totton are solid at home but have defensive issues (1.66 conceded per game). Recent form is similar, but Horsham's away resilience gives value to X2.
1x2 — draw@ 3.4
EV: 8.0%
Both teams are evenly matched in form and stats, with Totton drawing 2 of their last 5 and Horsham drawing 3 of their last 5 in the league. The model's draw probability is higher than the market implies.
Match Analysis
AFC Totton host Horsham in a mid-table National League South clash. Totton are strong at home (10W 4D 3L), but have a leaky defence (1.66 conceded per game). Horsham are hard to beat on the road, with only 4 away losses and a solid defensive record (0.88 conceded per away game). Both sides have similar recent form and limited attacking output in the last five matches. The match is likely to be tight, with a slight edge to Horsham avoiding defeat, and a draw a strong possibility.
Key Factors
- →AFC Totton's home record is strong but their defence concedes regularly.
- →Horsham have the 6th best away record in the league and concede less than a goal per away game.
- →Both teams average just over 1 goal scored per game in their last 5 matches.
- →Recent H2H is split 1-1, both away teams winning, but sample is very small.
- →Neither side has significant injuries.
- →Horsham's overall season defensive record is superior.
- →Both teams draw frequently (Totton: 5/32, Horsham: 13/34).
Risk Notes
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available for most markets; value edges are illustrative.
- ⚠️No shots, corners, or cards data for recent matches; set piece and discipline estimates are model-based.
- ⚠️Small H2H sample (2 games) limits historical insight.
- ⚠️Lineups unavailable; late changes could impact predictions.
- ⚠️Non-league data can be volatile due to squad rotation, pitch conditions, etc.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.