AjaxvsNEC Nijmegen

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Predictions

All AI-powered predictions and betting tips for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen fixtures. 1 prediction available.

Most Recent Prediction

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen
Saturday, 21 Feb 2026Eredivisie

Predicted Score

2 - 1

Match Odds (1X2)

Home: 51.0%

Draw: 32.0%

Away: 17.0%

Both Teams to Score

Yes

61.0% confidence

💰 Recommended Bets(2)

bttsyes@ 3.25

EV: 98.0%

7
/ 10
Stake
2u

Both teams have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, both have strong attacks and weak clean sheet rates, and NEC's away games are high-scoring. Model probability is much higher than odds-implied.

1x2draw@ 3.9

EV: 25.0%

5
/ 10
Stake
1u

Ajax have drawn 9 of 23 league games, NEC 5 of 22, and recent H2H includes several draws. Model probability is higher than market.

Match Analysis

Ajax host NEC Nijmegen in a clash between two top-4 Eredivisie sides. Both teams are in solid form, with Ajax unbeaten in their last five league matches and NEC winning four of their last five. Ajax's home record is strong, but NEC are prolific scorers away and have the league's highest over 2.5 goals rate. Recent head-to-heads have been competitive, often featuring goals from both sides. Expect an open, attacking contest with Ajax slight favourites, but NEC's threat on the road makes a draw or high-scoring game very plausible.

Key Factors

  • Ajax unbeaten in last 5 league matches, strong at home (8W, 2D, 2L)
  • NEC Nijmegen have highest over 2.5 goals rate in Eredivisie (86%)
  • Both teams average over 2 goals scored per game, but low clean sheet rates
  • Last 10 H2H: 6 Ajax wins, 3 draws, 1 NEC win, but recent games more balanced