Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Ittihad FC Prediction
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Ittihad FC
📍 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
🗓️ Friday, 6 Mar 2026 at 19:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 54.0%
Draw: 28.0%
Away: 18.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
52.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 3.9
EV: 62.0%
Model probability for BTTS yes (0.48) is much higher than the implied probability from odds (0.256). Both teams have failed to score in 0 of their last 5, and H2H history shows several BTTS outcomes. Value is strong.
1x2 — draw@ 3.8
EV: 5.0%
Draw probability is slightly higher than market implied. Both teams have drawn 2 of last 10 H2H, and away side has 6 draws in 12 away games.
Match Analysis
Al-Ahli Jeddah enter this Jeddah derby in superb form, winning their last five matches and remaining unbeaten at home all season. Their attack has been prolific, averaging 3 goals per game over the last five, while the defense has also been solid, with two clean sheets. Al-Ittihad FC have improved recently but remain inconsistent away, with a tendency to concede. H2H history is balanced, but Al-Ahli's current momentum and home edge make them favorites. Expect a competitive match with both teams likely to score, but Al-Ahli Jeddah's quality and form should see them edge it.
Key Factors
- →Al-Ahli Jeddah: 5 wins in last 5, unbeaten at home (9W, 3D, 0L)
- →Al-Ittihad FC: 1 win in last 5 away, 6 draws in 12 away games
- →Both teams have scored in 7/10 recent H2H meetings
- →Al-Ahli average 3 goals scored per game in last 5; Ittihad 1.8
- →Al-Ahli have failed to score in 0 of last 5; Ittihad 0 of last 5
- →No major injuries reported for either side
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, possession, corners) missing for several recent games, increasing model uncertainty.
- ⚠️Lineups not confirmed for this fixture; late changes could impact goal or card markets.
- ⚠️H2H is balanced; derby matches can be unpredictable regardless of form.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.