Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Najma Prediction
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Najma
📍 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
🗓️ Thursday, 19 Feb 2026 at 19:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
3 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 91.0%
Draw: 7.0%
Away: 2.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
87.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
correct_score — 3-0
Al-Ahli Jeddah have a dominant home record and strong defensive stats, while Al Najma are winless away and average less than 1 goal per game. The most likely scenario is a comfortable home win with a clean sheet.
over_under_2_5 — over@ 1.33
EV: -1.2%
Al Najma concede an average of 2 goals per away game and Al-Ahli Jeddah average 2.2 scored in their last 5. The home side should cover the line themselves.
btts — no@ 1.14
EV: -0.7%
Al-Ahli Jeddah have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5, and Al Najma have failed to score in 2 of their last 5. The away side's attack is very weak against a top defense.
Match Analysis
This fixture is a strong mismatch between title-chasing Al-Ahli Jeddah and bottom-placed Al Najma. Al-Ahli Jeddah boast an unbeaten home record and one of the league's best defenses, while Al Najma are winless on the road and have the league's worst defensive record. Expect Al-Ahli Jeddah to dominate possession, create numerous chances, and control the game from the outset. Al Najma will likely struggle to threaten, with the hosts expected to keep a clean sheet and win comfortably.
Key Factors
- →Al-Ahli Jeddah are unbeaten at home (8W 3D 0L) and have conceded just 10 goals in 11 home matches.
- →Al Najma have not won away all season (0W 2D 9L), conceding 22 goals in 11 away games.
- →Al-Ahli Jeddah have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5 league matches.
- →Al Najma have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 and average less than 1 goal per game.
- →The only previous H2H ended 1-0 to Al-Ahli Jeddah away.
- →Al Najma's season clean sheet rate is under 10%.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Al Najma's recent win may indicate a slight morale boost.
- ⚠️Some missing detailed stats for Al Najma's recent matches (shots, possession, etc).
- ⚠️Odds for many markets are extremely short, limiting value.
- ⚠️Cup/continental rotation risk for Al-Ahli Jeddah, but no injuries reported.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.