Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Fateh Prediction
Pro League ยท Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Fateh
๐ Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium, Ad Dammฤm (Dammam)
๐๏ธ Thursday, 19 Feb 2026 at 19:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 40.0%
Draw: 33.0%
Away: 27.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
56.0% confidence
๐ฐ Recommended Bets(1)
1x2 โ draw@ 3.75
EV: 8.0%
Both sides are inconsistent, Al-Ettifaq are stronger at home but Al-Fateh have a strong H2H record. Recent form and low-scoring trends suggest a close, cagey match. Model probability for draw is higher than market implied.
Match Analysis
Al-Ettifaq host Al-Fateh in a mid-table clash where both teams are looking to solidify their league positions. Al-Ettifaq have shown stronger recent form at home, but Al-Fateh have historically performed well in this fixture, winning 7 of the last 10 H2Hs. Both teams are coming off losses, with Al-Ettifaq slightly better defensively at home and Al-Fateh struggling to score away. Expect a tight, low-scoring match with neither side likely to dominate.
Key Factors
- โAl-Ettifaq have won 3 of their last 5, but have failed to score in 2 of those matches.
- โAl-Fateh are winless in 5 (LDDDL), with only 0.8 goals scored per game in that span.
- โAl-Fateh have not kept a clean sheet in their last 5 and concede 1.6 goals per game in that period.
- โHead-to-head: Al-Fateh have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, including 3 of the last 4 away at Al-Ettifaq.
- โAl-Ettifaq's home record is solid (5W 4D 2L), while Al-Fateh's away form is weak (2W 4D 4L).
- โBoth teams have a negative goal difference and limited attacking output recently.
- โNo significant injuries reported.
Risk Notes
- โ ๏ธLack of detailed shot/possession data for Al-Ettifaq's recent matches reduces model confidence in attack/defence strength.
- โ ๏ธBoth teams have been inconsistent, increasing variance.
- โ ๏ธH2H sample may overstate Al-Fateh's edge due to squad changes.
- โ ๏ธMarket odds on BTTS 'no' are too short for value despite model lean.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ always gamble responsibly.