Al Okhdood vs Al-Fateh Prediction
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
Al-Fateh
📍 Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City, Najran
🗓️ Sunday, 5 Apr 2026 at 15:55
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 16.0%
Draw: 25.0%
Away: 59.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
56.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
1x2 — away@ 1.38
EV: -4.0%
Al-Fateh are stronger away than Al Okhdood are at home, have a much better season record, and have dominated the H2H. However, odds are short and value is marginal.
over_under_2_5 — over@ 1.6
EV: -8.0%
Both teams have high over 2.5 rates (Al Okhdood 58%, Al-Fateh 50%). Both defences are leaky, but odds are not generous.
Match Analysis
Al Okhdood, deep in relegation trouble, face a mid-table Al-Fateh side who have the clear edge in quality and recent H2H record. Al Okhdood’s defence has been porous all season, especially at home, while Al-Fateh have shown more attacking threat and have scored in most recent away games. The visitors’ form is inconsistent but their attacking output and historical dominance in this matchup make them favourites, though both teams' defensive frailties could see goals. Expect Al-Fateh to control the game, with Al Okhdood struggling to keep them out, but the hosts may find a consolation given Al-Fateh’s own defensive issues.
Key Factors
- →Al Okhdood have lost 19 of 26 league games and have the worst defence in the league (57 conceded).
- →Al Okhdood’s home record: 2W, 3D, 8L, 14-32 GF-GA.
- →Al-Fateh are 13th, with a significantly better record and have scored 34 goals in 26 matches.
- →Al-Fateh away: 2W, 4D, 6L, but have scored in most away games.
- →Recent H2H: Al-Fateh have won 4 of last 6, including both previous visits to Al Okhdood.
- →Both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5 matches.
- →Al Okhdood average 2.8 goals conceded per game in last 5; Al-Fateh average 2.0.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some recent match stats (shots, possession, etc.) missing for Al-Fateh’s last 5 games, reducing model certainty.
- ⚠️Al Okhdood’s attack is inconsistent; two recent matches with 0 goals.
- ⚠️Al-Fateh’s away form is not strong (only 2 wins in 12), but contextually much better than Al Okhdood’s home form.
- ⚠️Market odds are quite efficient; little value on main outcomes.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.