Al Okhdood vs Al-Fayha Prediction
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
Al-Fayha
📍 Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City, Najran
🗓️ Saturday, 7 Mar 2026 at 19:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 16.0%
Draw: 24.0%
Away: 60.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
56.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
over_under_2_5 — over@ 2.2
EV: 18.8%
Both teams have over 2.5 goals in 58% of matches this season, and Al Okhdood's defence is leaky (2.08 conceded per game). Al-Fayha's attack is stronger than the home side's defence. Model probability for over 2.5 is slightly higher than market implied, creating a small value edge.
1x2 — away@ 1.36
EV: -18.0%
Al-Fayha have won all previous H2H (5/5), have better form, and Al Okhdood are struggling at home. However, the odds are short and value is limited.
Match Analysis
Al Okhdood are fighting relegation and have struggled defensively, conceding 50 goals in 24 matches and winning just 2 of 12 home games. Al-Fayha, while inconsistent, have a much stronger attack and a perfect record in the last five H2H encounters. Both teams' recent matches tend to see goals, and Al Okhdood's leaky defence suggests more of the same. Expect Al-Fayha to control the game, with the hosts relying on counter-attacks or set pieces for their chances.
Key Factors
- →Al Okhdood have the league's second-worst defence (2.08 conceded per game).
- →Al-Fayha have won all 5 recent H2H meetings, including both away games.
- →Both teams have over 2.5 goals in 58% of league matches.
- →Al Okhdood's home record: 2W 3D 7L, 14-27 goal difference.
- →Al-Fayha's away record: 3W 1D 8L, 13-27 goal difference.
- →Al Okhdood have only kept 2 clean sheets all season (8.3%).
- →Recent form: Al Okhdood WLLLL, Al-Fayha LDWLW.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Al-Fayha's away record is inconsistent (3W 1D 8L); they are not dominant travellers.
- ⚠️Al Okhdood have shown occasional attacking threat, scoring in 4 of last 5.
- ⚠️Some missing match stats (shots, lineups) for recent games limits model precision.
- ⚠️Market odds on Al-Fayha are short, limiting value.
- ⚠️Model probabilities for BTTS and draw are close to market, reducing value.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.