Albacete vs Las Palmas Prediction
Segunda División · Spain
Albacete
Las Palmas
📍 Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete
🗓️ Monday, 16 Mar 2026 at 19:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 23.0%
Draw: 37.0%
Away: 40.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
79.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — away@ 1.85
EV: -1.0%
Las Palmas are in far better form (WWDDD), have a strong away record (5W 7D 2L), and have the best defensive record in the league. Albacete are winless in 5 and struggle to score. However, the odds are not high enough for a strong value edge.
ou_2_5 — under@ 1.7
EV: -2.0%
Both teams have under 2.5 in the majority of their games (Albacete 59%, Las Palmas 62%), and recent form points to low scoring. Odds are fair but not a big value.
double_chance — X2
Las Palmas are much stronger overall, unbeaten in 5, and Albacete are in poor form. X2 covers both the away win and draw, which is highly likely given all data.
Match Analysis
Las Palmas travel to Albacete as clear form favorites, boasting a 5-match unbeaten run and the league's best defensive record. Albacete are struggling for goals and wins, with their last 5 yielding just 3 points and only 3 goals scored. Las Palmas have been particularly solid away from home, losing just twice all season, and come off a 4-0 win. Expect a tight, cagey affair with few chances and Las Palmas likely to edge it, possibly by a single goal. A low-scoring match is strongly indicated by both teams' recent stats and season averages.
Key Factors
- →Las Palmas: 5-match unbeaten run, only 0.76 goals conceded per game (best in league)
- →Albacete: winless in last 5, only 0.6 goals scored per game in last 5
- →Las Palmas away record: 5W 7D 2L, 15:11 goal difference
- →Albacete home record: 5W 3D 6L, 16:21 goal difference
- →Head-to-head: Las Palmas 4 wins in last 9, Albacete 2, 3 draws; many low-scoring games
- →Both teams have high under 2.5 rates (Albacete 59%, Las Palmas 62%)
- →No significant injuries for either side
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Odds for most markets are efficient; little value edge detected
- ⚠️Low-scoring games can be decided by a single moment or set piece
- ⚠️Las Palmas' attack is not prolific; if Albacete defend well, a draw is very possible
- ⚠️Albacete's home form is inconsistent, but not disastrous
- ⚠️No lineup data available yet; late changes could affect predictions
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.