Alemannia Aachen vs Energie Cottbus Prediction
3. Liga · Germany
Alemannia Aachen
Energie Cottbus
📍 Tivoli, Aachen
🗓️ Friday, 13 Mar 2026 at 18:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 23.0%
Draw: 29.0%
Away: 48.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 3.45
EV: 86.0%
Both teams have high over 2.5% (71%), Aachen have BTTS in 4/5, and both sides average 1+ goal per game. The odds for BTTS 'yes' are much higher than model probability, offering strong value.
1x2 — draw@ 3.6
EV: 4.0%
Both teams have drawn multiple recent matches, Cottbus have 8 draws in 28, and the model sees a higher-than-market probability for a draw.
Match Analysis
Alemannia Aachen come into this match in solid form, winning 4 of their last 5, but their home record is poor (4W, 1D, 8L), conceding almost 2 goals per home game. Energie Cottbus are second in the table, with strong away form (7W, 2D, 4L) and a tight defence recently, conceding just 0.6 goals per game in their last five. However, their attack has slowed a bit, with just 1 goal per game in the same span. The head-to-head favours Cottbus (3 wins, 2 draws in last 5), and the standings suggest Cottbus are the stronger, more motivated side. Expect a competitive match, with Cottbus likely to edge it but both teams having a good chance to score.
Key Factors
- →Aachen's home record is weak (4W, 1D, 8L, 15:25 GF:GA)
- →Cottbus are 2nd in the league and strong away (7W, 2D, 4L, 21:19 GF:GA)
- →Aachen have scored in all of their last 5 matches; BTTS in 4/5
- →Cottbus have kept 2 clean sheets in last 5, but also 3 BTTS
- →Both teams have high season over 2.5 goal rate (71%)
- →Head-to-head: Cottbus unbeaten in last 5 vs Aachen (3W, 2D)
- →No significant injuries reported
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Limited shots and possession data for away team in recent matches
- ⚠️Recent Cottbus matches have been low-scoring, which could temper BTTS/over bets
- ⚠️Aachen's home attack is underwhelming compared to away form
- ⚠️No lineups available at time of prediction
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.