Alemannia Aachen vs FC Schweinfurt 05 Prediction
3. Liga · Germany
Alemannia Aachen
FC Schweinfurt 05
📍 Tivoli, Aachen
🗓️ Wednesday, 4 Mar 2026 at 18:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
3 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 66.0%
Draw: 22.0%
Away: 12.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 4.33
EV: 126.0%
Both teams have high BTTS rates in their last 5 (Aachen 5/5, Schweinfurt 4/5), and both defenses are conceding regularly. Bookmaker odds significantly undervalue the chance of both teams scoring.
1x2 — home@ 1.18
EV: -2.0%
Aachen are strong favorites based on form, league position, and Schweinfurt's terrible away record, but odds are very short and offer minimal value.
Match Analysis
Alemannia Aachen host bottom side FC Schweinfurt 05 in a fixture that heavily favors the home team. Aachen have found scoring form recently, averaging 2.4 goals per game in their last 5, and have not failed to score in any of those matches. Schweinfurt, while struggling defensively (2.6 conceded per game in last 5, 61 goals against in 26 matches), have managed to find the net in 4 of their last 5. Both teams' matches are high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals landing in over two-thirds of their games. The reverse fixture saw Aachen win 5-1 away, further underlining the gulf in quality. Expect an open game with Aachen likely to dominate, but Schweinfurt's recent attacking output gives BTTS a strong chance.
Key Factors
- →Aachen's last 5: 2.4 scored, 1.8 conceded per game, 5/5 BTTS
- →Schweinfurt's last 5: 1.4 scored, 2.6 conceded per game, 4/5 BTTS
- →Aachen have not kept a clean sheet in last 5, Schweinfurt have 0 clean sheets in last 5
- →Both teams have high season over 2.5 goal rates (Aachen 73%, Schweinfurt 69%)
- →Aachen's home record is poor (3W 1D 8L), but Schweinfurt's away is worse (1W 0D 12L, 9:35 goals)
- →No significant injuries reported
- →Reverse fixture: Schweinfurt 1-5 Aachen
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Aachen's home record is weak despite overall superiority
- ⚠️Some missing detailed match stats (shots, possession) for several recent games
- ⚠️Only one recent H2H, so limited long-term trend data
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds for BTTS may reflect Schweinfurt's low overall scoring, but recent uptick noted
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.