Alemannia Aachen vs SV Wehen Prediction

Alemannia Aachen

SV Wehen
📍 New Tivoli, Aachen
🗓️ Sunday, 5 Apr 2026 at 17:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 44.0%
Draw: 32.0%
Away: 24.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 3.8
EV: 105.2%
Both teams have attacking strengths and defensive weaknesses: Aachen have scored in all last 5, Wehen's away defence is average, and the price is generous compared to the model probability.
1x2 — draw@ 3.7
EV: 18.5%
The draw is a plausible outcome with both teams evenly matched and a history of close games; the odds marginally exceed the model probability.
Match Analysis
Alemannia Aachen enter this match in excellent form, riding a four-game winning streak and showing strong attacking output (2.2 goals/game in last 5). However, their home record is poor, with more losses than wins and a leaky defence. SV Wehen are more solid overall but have struggled to score recently (0.8 goals/game in last 5) and are inconsistent away from home. The match is likely to be competitive, with Aachen's recent momentum and Wehen's defensive stability balancing each other out. Expect both teams to create chances, with a slight edge to the hosts due to recent form.
Key Factors
- →Aachen's 4-game winning streak and 2.2 goals/game in last 5.
- →Wehen's away record: only 4 wins in 15, but 1.13 goals conceded per away game.
- →Aachen have failed to score at home only once in last 5.
- →Head-to-head is balanced, but recent meetings have produced goals.
- →Aachen's home defence is weak (26 conceded in 14).
- →Wehen's attack has underperformed lately, but season average is 1.4 goals/game.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Aachen's home form is inconsistent despite recent overall results.
- ⚠️Wehen's recent attacking output is low, increasing risk for BTTS and overs.
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, on target) are missing for several recent games.
- ⚠️No injury data, but lineups are not available for all recent matches.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.