Alfreton Town vs Chorley Prediction

Alfreton Town

Chorley
📍 The Impact Arena, Alfreton, Derbyshire
🗓️ Tuesday, 31 Mar 2026 at 18:45
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 19.0%
Draw: 37.0%
Away: 44.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
double_chance — X2
Chorley have a stronger season record, better recent form, and Alfreton are struggling near the bottom. Chorley have also performed well away, while Alfreton's home form is inconsistent. X2 covers both draw and away win, which are both relatively likely.
over_under_2_5 — over
Both teams have high over 2.5 goal percentages (Alfreton 47%, Chorley 56%). Recent matches for both sides have seen goals at both ends, and neither keeps many clean sheets.
btts — yes
BTTS has landed in 3 of Alfreton's last 5 and 4 of Chorley's last 5. Both teams' defences are weak and clean sheet rates are low.
Match Analysis
Chorley travel to Alfreton Town as favourites based on form, league position, and attacking output. Alfreton are fighting against relegation and have struggled defensively, conceding nearly two goals per game. Chorley, while inconsistent away, have a much better attack and have shown the ability to score on the road. Expect a competitive match with both teams likely to score, but Chorley have the edge and should avoid defeat.
Key Factors
- →Chorley have scored 60 goals in 39 matches (1.54 per game), Alfreton only 36 in 38 (0.95 per game).
- →Alfreton have the league's second-worst defence (69 conceded in 38).
- →Chorley have a poor away record (4-5-10) but still better than Alfreton's recent form.
- →Neither side keeps clean sheets: Alfreton 13%, Chorley 10%.
- →Recent H2H is balanced but Chorley won the last away meeting.
- →Both teams' last 5 matches show high BTTS and over 2.5 rates.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value/edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No shot/corner/foul data for recent matches, reducing confidence in set piece/card/corner predictions.
- ⚠️Lineups unknown; late injuries or rotations could impact outcome.
- ⚠️Both teams are inconsistent, especially Chorley away and Alfreton at home.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.