Alfreton Town vs Worksop Town Prediction

National League - NorthNational League - North Β· England
Alfreton Town

Alfreton Town

vs
Worksop Town

Worksop Town

πŸ“ The Impact Arena, Alfreton, Derbyshire

πŸ—“οΈ Friday, 3 Apr 2026 at 14:00

Prediction Summary

Predicted Score

1 - 2

Match Odds (1X2)

Home: 19.0%

Draw: 36.0%

Away: 45.0%

Both Teams to Score

Yes

54.0% confidence

πŸ’° Recommended Bets(2)

double_chance β€” X2

7
/ 10
Stake
2u

Worksop Town are in better form (WWLWL), have a stronger away record than Alfreton's recent home form, and Alfreton are on a two-game losing streak with the worst defense in the league. The model gives X2 a strong probability edge.

over_under_2_5 β€” over

5
/ 10
Stake
1u

Both teams have high over 2.5 goal rates (Alfreton 48.7%, Worksop 53.7%), and both concede frequently. Recent matches for both sides have seen multiple goals.

Match Analysis

Alfreton Town, struggling in 23rd and fighting relegation, host mid-table Worksop Town. Alfreton's recent form is poor, with two consecutive losses and just one win in five, conceding heavily (1.8 goals/game last 5). Worksop arrive with two straight wins, a solid away scoring record, and momentum. While Worksop's defense is not watertight, their attack is more reliable and they have not failed to score in their last five. A competitive match is expected, but Worksop's edge in form, motivation, and season-long performance makes them favorites for at least a point.

Key Factors

  • β†’Worksop Town have won 3 of their last 5, Alfreton just 1.
  • β†’Alfreton have conceded 72 goals in 39 games (worst in league).
  • β†’Worksop have scored in every one of their last 5 matches.
  • β†’Alfreton's home record is mediocre (W7 D4 L7), Worksop's away record (W6 D3 L11) is similar.
  • β†’Only one recent H2H: Worksop won 1-0 at home in December.
  • β†’No key injuries reported for either side.
  • β†’Both teams' matches frequently go over 2.5 goals.

Risk Notes

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
  • ⚠️No shots, possession, corners, or cards data for last 5 matches; reduces confidence in set piece and discipline predictions.
  • ⚠️Only one recent H2H, so limited historical matchup insight.
  • ⚠️Lineups unavailable; late injuries or rotations could impact outcome.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk β€” always gamble responsibly.

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