Almeria vs Real Sociedad II Prediction
Segunda División · Spain
Almeria
Real Sociedad II
📍 UD Almeria Stadium, Almeria
🗓️ Sunday, 29 Mar 2026 at 19:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 62.0%
Draw: 24.0%
Away: 14.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
62.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
1x2 — home@ 1.23
EV: -2.0%
Almeria have a strong home record (10W/2D/3L), superior league position, and recent form. Real Sociedad II struggle away (4W/2D/9L). Odds are short, so value is limited, but probability of home win is high.
over_under_2_5 — over@ 3.4
EV: 22.0%
Both teams average above 1.5 goals scored in recent matches, and H2H history shows goals (2-2, 3-1, 2-0). At 3.4, the over 2.5 has a small positive edge.
Match Analysis
Almeria come into this match as strong favourites, sitting 2nd in the table with an excellent home record and recent form (WLWDW). Real Sociedad II have been inconsistent, particularly away from home, and sit mid-table. Almeria's attack has been effective, and while Real Sociedad II can score, their away defence is vulnerable. Expect Almeria to control the match, with a decent chance of both teams getting on the scoresheet but a higher likelihood of a home win in a match that could see two or three goals.
Key Factors
- →Almeria's home record: 10W/2D/3L, 36 scored in 15 home games.
- →Real Sociedad II away: 4W/2D/9L, 19 scored, 23 conceded.
- →Recent form: Almeria (WLWDW), Real Sociedad II (LWWLW).
- →Head-to-head: Almeria unbeaten in last 3 vs Real Sociedad II (2W, 1D).
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
- →Almeria averaging 1.8 goals scored, 1 conceded in last 5; Real Sociedad II 2.2 scored, 1.4 conceded.
- →Motivation: Almeria in promotion race, Real Sociedad II mid-table.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Season averages for shots, goals, and defensive stats are missing; reliance on last 5 and standings.
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, possession, etc.) missing for several recent games.
- ⚠️Over/under and BTTS probabilities have moderate uncertainty due to incomplete season-long data.
- ⚠️No known injuries, but lineups are not confirmed for this fixture.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.