Angers vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1Ligue 1 ยท France
Angers

Angers

vs
Nice

Nice

๐Ÿ“ Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Saturday, 14 Mar 2026 at 18:00

Prediction Summary

Predicted Score

1 - 1

Match Odds (1X2)

Home: 35.0%

Draw: 38.0%

Away: 27.0%

Both Teams to Score

No

68.0% confidence

๐Ÿ’ฐ Recommended Bets(2)

1x2 โ€” draw@ 3.05

EV: 9.0%

6
/ 10
Stake
1u

Both teams have struggled to score recently, and Angers are solid at home while Nice are poor away. The form and defensive stats suggest a tight, low-scoring match with high draw probability. Odds for the draw offer a slight value edge.

over_under_2_5 โ€” under@ 1.17

EV: 1.0%

8
/ 10
Stake
2u

Both teams have low recent scoring rates, high failed-to-score counts, and Angers have a 24% over 2.5 rate this season. Model probability for under 2.5 is high, making this a strong but low-value safety play.

Match Analysis

This Ligue 1 clash features two sides in poor scoring form and defensive vulnerability, but Angers' home solidity contrasts with Nice's away struggles. Angers have won 6 of 12 at home and rarely concede more than one, while Nice have lost 9 of 12 away and failed to score in 4 of their last 5. Both teams average under a goal per game in their last 5, and neither side has shown attacking sharpness. The head-to-head history is dominated by Nice, but recent form and league position favor a cautious, low-scoring encounter likely to end level.

Key Factors

  • โ†’Angers have 2 wins and 3 losses in last 5, but both wins were 1-0 clean sheets.
  • โ†’Nice have not won in 5 (LLDLD), scoring only 3 goals in that span.
  • โ†’Angers' home record is solid (6W, 2D, 4L), Nice's away record is poor (2W, 1D, 9L, 27 conceded).
  • โ†’Both teams have low shots and shots on target averages in the last 5.
  • โ†’Angers have a 36% clean sheet rate this season, Nice just 12%.
  • โ†’Head-to-head: Nice have dominated historically, but Angers won the reverse fixture 1-0 away.
  • โ†’Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 24% of Angers' matches, but 56% of Nice's (driven by defensive frailty).
  • โ†’No significant injuries reported for either side.

Risk Notes

  • โš ๏ธSome match stats (shots, possession, etc.) missing for a few recent games.
  • โš ๏ธLineups not available at time of analysis.
  • โš ๏ธBoth teams' recent attacking output is erratic; a single early goal could open the game.
  • โš ๏ธNice's high over 2.5% is driven by defensive collapses, but Angers rarely score more than once.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ€” always gamble responsibly.

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