Angers vs Nice Prediction

Angers

Nice
๐ Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers
๐๏ธ Saturday, 14 Mar 2026 at 18:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 35.0%
Draw: 38.0%
Away: 27.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
68.0% confidence
๐ฐ Recommended Bets(2)
1x2 โ draw@ 3.05
EV: 9.0%
Both teams have struggled to score recently, and Angers are solid at home while Nice are poor away. The form and defensive stats suggest a tight, low-scoring match with high draw probability. Odds for the draw offer a slight value edge.
over_under_2_5 โ under@ 1.17
EV: 1.0%
Both teams have low recent scoring rates, high failed-to-score counts, and Angers have a 24% over 2.5 rate this season. Model probability for under 2.5 is high, making this a strong but low-value safety play.
Match Analysis
This Ligue 1 clash features two sides in poor scoring form and defensive vulnerability, but Angers' home solidity contrasts with Nice's away struggles. Angers have won 6 of 12 at home and rarely concede more than one, while Nice have lost 9 of 12 away and failed to score in 4 of their last 5. Both teams average under a goal per game in their last 5, and neither side has shown attacking sharpness. The head-to-head history is dominated by Nice, but recent form and league position favor a cautious, low-scoring encounter likely to end level.
Key Factors
- โAngers have 2 wins and 3 losses in last 5, but both wins were 1-0 clean sheets.
- โNice have not won in 5 (LLDLD), scoring only 3 goals in that span.
- โAngers' home record is solid (6W, 2D, 4L), Nice's away record is poor (2W, 1D, 9L, 27 conceded).
- โBoth teams have low shots and shots on target averages in the last 5.
- โAngers have a 36% clean sheet rate this season, Nice just 12%.
- โHead-to-head: Nice have dominated historically, but Angers won the reverse fixture 1-0 away.
- โOver 2.5 goals has landed in just 24% of Angers' matches, but 56% of Nice's (driven by defensive frailty).
- โNo significant injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- โ ๏ธSome match stats (shots, possession, etc.) missing for a few recent games.
- โ ๏ธLineups not available at time of analysis.
- โ ๏ธBoth teams' recent attacking output is erratic; a single early goal could open the game.
- โ ๏ธNice's high over 2.5% is driven by defensive collapses, but Angers rarely score more than once.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ always gamble responsibly.