Arsenal W vs Tottenham Hotspur W Prediction
FA WSL · England
Arsenal W
Tottenham Hotspur W
📍 Emirates Stadium, London
🗓️ Saturday, 28 Mar 2026 at 17:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
3 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 74.0%
Draw: 18.0%
Away: 8.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
56.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
over_under_2_5 — over@ 3.2
EV: 70.0%
Both teams have high over 2.5 rates (Arsenal 43.75%, Spurs 55.56%), recent matches show attacking intent, and Tottenham's defence is leaky away (20 conceded in 9). Odds offer strong value versus model probability.
1x2 — home@ 1.07
EV: -1.0%
Arsenal are unbeaten at home, in top form (W5 streak), and have dominated H2H. However, the odds are very short and offer no value.
first_half_goals_ou_0_5 — over
Model expects early Arsenal pressure and a high chance of a goal before half-time, supported by both teams' attacking stats and Spurs' tendency to concede early.
Match Analysis
Arsenal W approach this North London derby in imperious form, riding a five-match winning streak and boasting an unbeaten home record. They have been defensively solid (0.2 goals conceded avg in last 5) and prolific in attack (3.4 scored avg). Tottenham Hotspur W, meanwhile, have been inconsistent, with two straight losses and a leaky defence, especially away (20 conceded in 9). H2H history is overwhelmingly in Arsenal's favour, especially at home. Expect Arsenal to dominate possession, create more chances, and likely secure a comfortable win, though Spurs' attack has shown flashes and could grab a consolation.
Key Factors
- →Arsenal W: 5 straight wins, 4 clean sheets in last 5, unbeaten at home.
- →Tottenham W: 2 straight losses, 0 clean sheets in last 5, 20 goals conceded in 9 away games.
- →Arsenal home record: 5W 3D 0L, 15:4 GF:GA.
- →Tottenham away record: 4W 1D 4L, 20:20 GF:GA.
- →H2H: Arsenal 6W in last 10, including 3-0, 4-0, 5-0 home wins.
- →Arsenal last 5: 3.4 goals scored, 0.2 conceded avg.
- →Tottenham last 5: 2.4 scored, 2.6 conceded avg.
- →No major injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, corners, possession) are missing for several recent games.
- ⚠️Odds for some markets (e.g. first half goals) not available; value calculation limited.
- ⚠️Tottenham's attack can be volatile (7 goals vs Villa, but blank vs Chelsea).
- ⚠️Derby factor may increase unpredictability.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.