AS Roma vs Cremonese Prediction
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
Cremonese
📍 Stadio Olimpico, Rome
🗓️ Sunday, 22 Feb 2026 at 19:45
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 74.0%
Draw: 19.0%
Away: 7.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
86.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — home@ 1.07
EV: -1.0%
Roma's strong home record (8W/1D/3L), much higher league position, and Cremonese's very poor away attack (0.77 goals per away game, 4/5 recent matches failed to score) point to a high probability of a home win, despite the low odds.
btts — no@ 1.1
EV: -5.0%
Roma concede just 0.5 goals/game at home, Cremonese have failed to score in 4 of last 5, and only 1/5 recent matches saw BTTS for Cremonese. H2H also trends low-scoring for the away side.
over_under_2_5 — under@ 1.18
EV: -8.0%
Roma's season over 2.5 rate is just 24%, and Cremonese's is 36%. Both teams average under 2.0 total goals per game in recent matches, so under is likely, though odds are short.
Match Analysis
Roma, currently 4th and strong at home, host a struggling Cremonese side who are winless in their last five and have scored just once in that run. Roma's defense is among the best in Serie A, especially at home, while Cremonese's away attack is one of the weakest. Expect Roma to control the match, limit chances for the visitors, and likely win by a modest margin in a low-scoring affair.
Key Factors
- →Roma's home record: 8 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, only 6 goals conceded.
- →Cremonese have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- →Roma average 1.24 goals scored and 0.64 conceded per game this season.
- →Cremonese away: 10 goals scored, 18 conceded in 13 games.
- →H2H: Roma have won 3 of last 5 meetings, often with low scores for Cremonese.
- →Both teams' season over 2.5 goal % is low (Roma 24%, Cremonese 36%).
- →Motivation: Roma in top 4 race, Cremonese just above relegation zone.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Roma's recent form is not dominant (DWLDD), but opposition has been stronger.
- ⚠️Cremonese occasionally pull off away draws, but rarely win.
- ⚠️Low odds on all favorites mean little value; upsets, while unlikely, are possible in football.
- ⚠️Some missing detailed stats for Roma's last 5 matches; model relies on season averages and results.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.