AS Roma vs Juventus Prediction
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
Juventus
📍 Stadio Olimpico, Rome
🗓️ Sunday, 1 Mar 2026 at 19:45
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 36.0%
Draw: 35.0%
Away: 29.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
64.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
correct_score — 1-1
Both teams are defensively solid, recent form and H2H suggest a low-scoring, tight match. Draw is highly probable given Roma's home solidity and Juventus' recent struggles.
double_chance — 1X
Roma's home record is strong (9W, 1D, 3L), Juventus are winless in their last 5 and on a 3-match losing streak. Roma are less likely to lose.
under_2.5_goals — under@ 1.13
EV: -6.5%
Both teams have strong defensive records, Roma's over 2.5% is just 26.9%, and Juventus' attack is struggling. H2H also trends low-scoring.
Match Analysis
This is a crucial clash in the Serie A top-four race, with Roma holding a narrow edge in form and home advantage. Roma's defense has been excellent at home, conceding just 6 in 13 matches, while Juventus are on a three-game losing streak and have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five. Both teams are generally low-scoring, and their recent head-to-heads have been tight affairs. Expect a tactical, cagey match with few clear chances, likely settled by a single goal or ending in a draw.
Key Factors
- →Roma's strong home defensive record (0.46 conceded per home game)
- →Juventus on a 3-match losing streak and no clean sheets in last 5
- →Last 10 H2H: 6/10 under 2.5 goals, 4 draws
- →Both teams average under 1.5 goals conceded per game
- →Roma have more momentum (WDWLD) vs Juventus' poor form (LLLDL)
- →Both teams have top-5 defences by goals conceded in Serie A
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Juventus have attacking potential but are underperforming recently
- ⚠️Roma's attack is not prolific, but recent home form is strong
- ⚠️Injury to E. Bove unlikely to impact Roma's core lineup
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds for under/btts markets are very short, limiting value
- ⚠️Some missing data for shots in several recent matches
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.