AS Roma vs Lecce Prediction
Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
Lecce
π Stadio Olimpico, Rome
ποΈ Sunday, 22 Mar 2026 at 17:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 72.0%
Draw: 22.0%
Away: 6.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
79.0% confidence
π° Recommended Bets(4)
correct_score β 2-0
Roma's strong home defense (0.64 goals conceded per home game), Lecce's poor away attack (0.71 goals per away game), and the H2H trend (Roma clean sheets in 4 of last 5) support a 2-0 home win.
1x2 β home@ 1.08
Roma are 6th, Lecce 17th; Roma have a 64% home win rate, Lecce have lost 9/14 away. H2H is heavily Roma-favored.
btts β no@ 1.12
Roma's home matches and Lecce's away matches both show low BTTS rates; Lecce have failed to score in 7 of 14 away games.
over_under_1_5 β over
Roma have scored at least 2 goals in 5 of 14 home games; Lecce concede 1.43 per away game.
Match Analysis
AS Roma are heavy favorites at home against a struggling Lecce side. Roma's home form is solid, with a strong defensive record and an attack that, while not prolific, is efficient against weaker opposition. Lecce's away form is poor, with a low scoring rate and a leaky defense. Recent H2H history is overwhelmingly in Roma's favor, with Lecce rarely finding the net. Expect Roma to control the match, likely keeping a clean sheet and securing a routine win.
Key Factors
- βRoma: 9W/2D/3L at home, only 9 goals conceded in 14 home games.
- βLecce: 3W/2D/9L away, only 10 goals scored in 14 away games.
- βRoma have won 8 of last 10 H2H, 4 clean sheets in last 5.
- βLecce's last 5: 2 wins, 3 losses; Roma's last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses (tougher opposition).
- βRoma's clean sheet %: 41%; Lecce's failed to score in 50% of away games.
- βOver 2.5 goals hit in only 34% of Roma games, 38% for Lecce.
Risk Notes
- β οΈRoma's recent form is mixed (LDLDW), but mostly against stronger teams.
- β οΈLecce fighting relegation, may play defensively.
- β οΈSome missing data for corners and fouls in recent Lecce matches.
- β οΈOdds are very short on Roma, limiting value in main markets.
- β οΈInjury to Bove (Roma) and MarchwiΕski (Lecce) have minor impact.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk β always gamble responsibly.